Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - May 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/4/5)-(6/4/5/9/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(6/4/5/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(6/4/5/9/8)-(4/5/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/4/5/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/9/8)-(6/4/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/9/8)-(6/4/5/9/8)-(6/4/5/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/5/9/8)-(4/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/9/8)-(4/5/2/3)-(2/10/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/3)-(2/10/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/3)-(2/10/5/6)-(10/1/8/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/10/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/5/6)-(2/10/8/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/5/6)-(2/10/8/5/6)-(2/10/8/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/5/6)-(10/1/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/10/5/6)-(10/1/8/9)-(3/2/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/9)-(10/1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/9)-(10/1/8/9)-(10/1/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/8/9)-(3/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/8/9)-(3/2/5/1)-(4/6/11/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/1)-(4/6/11/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/1)-(4/6/11/3/9)-(4/6/9/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/6/11/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/11/3/9)-(4/6/11/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/11/3/9)-(4/6/11/3/9)-(4/6/11/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/11/3/9)-(4/6/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/6/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/10)-(4/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/10)-(4/6/9/10)-(4/6/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSONSGOINPRO Apr17 Mar28       (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
EYESONTHECANDY Apr17 Mar21 Feb21 Jan31   (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
BULLY'S NOTION Apr17 Mar28 Mar07 Jan31 Jan18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 58% 0.70    
SCR  LUNA MARY Mar21 Feb19 Jan29 Jan10   (jackson)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
JUBA'S TOPAZ May09 Apr23       (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIGER'S CANDY Apr18 Mar21 Mar14 Feb21 Feb14 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 122 15.00    
SCR  MISS NINE ONE O Apr17 Mar28 Mar06 Feb14 Dec14 (locklear james)JORGE JULIO 122 15.00    
EMILY KATHERINE Apr17 Mar14 Feb14 Jan30   (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
 
CT-2   05/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL BIG BOSS Apr18 Mar20 Feb27     (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 118 15.00    
SEA OF TRANQUILITY Apr03 Mar07 Jan25 Dec12 Nov27 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
DREAM FORCE Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Dec11 Nov20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
HAZEDNCONFUSED Mar13 Feb28 Jan16 Dec20 Nov10 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
ZIGGY STARDUST Apr03 Mar20 Jan31 Jan16 Dec04 (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
GRANDY Mar20 Feb15 Jan02 Nov07 Oct12 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80    
FREED FROM DESIRE Apr18 Apr10 Mar20 Mar07 Nov13 (farrior anthony)HO WESLEY 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
CANO'S BABY Apr04 Mar28 Mar07 Feb28 Feb13 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
 
CT-3   05/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY THE KID Apr23 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan03 (martin r)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
FLY FLY AWAY Apr03 Feb08 Jan18 Dec12 Nov27 (garber owen)JORGE JULIO 122 20.00    
EDWARD MADDEN Apr23 Mar07 Feb07 Jan25 Dec19 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
IMPERIAL KING Apr11 Mar20 Feb28 Jan02 Dec14 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
JAMES GANG Apr23 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
ADVANCE CASH Apr04 Feb06 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 (hanagan)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
GOLDEN ARM May09 Apr21 Mar28 Mar15 Feb22 (smith la)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
TIZAFASTBULLET Apr23 Mar22 Feb06 Jan18 Nov27 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHIP THE GOODS Apr23 Apr03 Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
10  HEY CONGRATS Apr17 Aug17 Jul27 May25 Mar22 (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   05/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODCUT Apr26 Mar16 Feb28 Jan18   (comi w)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
APRIL CLOVER May02 Apr21 May04 Mar19 Nov17 (jones mi)DAVIS A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIDBIT Mar08 Feb19 Jan15 Jan04 Nov13 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOVELY LUCY Apr24 Apr03 Mar13 Feb19 Jan29 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.00 48% 1.10    
REBEL REBEL (IRE) Apr10 Mar29 Mar13     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
LAURA'S GRAND Apr17 Mar21 Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
TALAVERA Apr24 Apr05 Oct11 Jun27 Jun12 (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00    
SCR  HIDDEN RIVER Apr24 Mar13 Feb19 Feb01 Jan11 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00    
 
CT-5   05/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL GUNNER Apr05 Feb26 Jan18 Dec21 Nov22 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
LAWYER UP RILEY Apr10 Mar20 Feb21 Jan23 Dec11 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
MY YOKE Apr23 Mar28 Feb22 Feb05 Jan15 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
SCR  BLANCHES MULE May02 Mar20 Mar07 Feb13 Dec28 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
NO TIME TO BOOGIE Apr10 Mar20 Feb21 Jan15 Dec11 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
CASE ACE Apr18 Mar14 Feb22 Feb05 Dec06 (rideout)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET SCIENCE Mar20 Mar13 Feb05 Jan15 Nov27 (gillespi)DAVIS A 116 20.00    
PUNCH IT MARGARET Apr25 Mar28 Mar06 Jan25 Dec27 (stites w)ACOSTA D 116 5.00    
OMO DADA Jun24 May27 Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
10  FIRE OF ANATOLIA Apr18 Dec14 Dec01     (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 116 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
CT-6   05/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANGARRA Apr24 Apr05 Mar15 Mar06 Feb07 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Apr25 Apr03 Mar14 Feb19 Jan10 (shanley tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 30.00    
SPEAKERIT Apr26 Mar22 Nov10 Sep29 Sep01 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
DUBLSHOTOFCOURAGE Apr24 Jan30 Nov14 Oct10 Sep20 (hamlin )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
SCR  ARREBATO Apr24 Apr05 Mar30 Mar06 Feb09 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
SCR  SMOKIN BOW Apr24 Apr03 Feb13 Dec28 Dec12 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50    
BENISSIMO Apr05 Mar13 Feb26 Jan29 Dec14 (knudsen k)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00    
GALACTIC GLORY Apr24 Mar28 Mar06 Feb13 Jan23 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
THANK YA PETE Apr25 Apr03 Mar13 Feb26 Feb14 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  TWO TONS OF FUN Apr28 Apr20 Mar13 Jan31 Jan09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 68% 0.50    
11  STEAL THE CASH Apr25 Dec11 Nov27 Sep03 Jul01 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
 
CT-7   05/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACNICK TIME Apr26 Dec12 Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLIMATE CHANGE Apr24 Mar27 Feb26 Jan10 Sep12 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 116 4.50 14% 5.90    
OUR MISS CROSSBOW Apr23 Mar14       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
FULL OF CHARM Mar01 Jan11 Oct30 Oct04 Sep14 (craig e)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.50    
SUMMON THE GLAM Apr24 Nov02 Oct12 Oct05 Sep12 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 6.00 9% 10.50    
OUR STREET ANGEL Apr24 Mar14 Feb27     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00    
JUBA B WILD Mar27 Feb26 Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
RUBY BAY Apr19 Mar27 Mar14 Feb21 Jan30 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 12.00    
 
CT-8   05/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBBIELIKESHIM Apr18 Mar13 Jan16 Oct31 Oct12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
W V LAD Apr26 Apr03 Mar07 Jan23 Jan02 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00    
RIVER WARRIOR RVF Mar20 Feb15 Oct30 Sep27 Nov09 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 8% 11.80    
MR. DUMBLEDORE Apr25 Mar20 Dec13 Nov22 Oct18 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
BIG JOE B Apr19 Mar20 Mar01 Jan29 Jan16 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00    
BAD LINEAGE Dec04 Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
CECIL THE GREAT Apr17 Nov21 Oct24 Sep27 Aug23 (clement p)ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
SCR  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb15 Jan31 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 8.00    
DEFIANT GIANT May02 Apr24 Apr03 Mar01 Dec04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOCASHREFUNDS Apr25 Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
11  POWERED BY LOVE Apr23 Apr03 Mar15 Mar07 Feb15 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
CT-9   05/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ED'S PROPHECY Apr17 Feb28 Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 12.00    
MUSICAL ENTOURAGE Apr17 Mar21 Feb27 Feb13   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 5.00    
SPIRITUAL HORIZONS Apr17 Mar27 Jan17     (straughn wi)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 15.00    
JUBAGOTTHEMONEY Mar21 Mar14 Feb15 Feb01   (sigler )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.50 39% 1.60    
FAPPIANO HALO Nov06 Oct11 Sep14 Aug09 Jul18 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
FUNKLE Apr17 Mar27 Mar07 Jan31 Jan10 (robbins cli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 27% 2.80    
YAREAKH Apr17 Mar21 Jan10 Nov27 Oct11 (cornwell james )JORGE JULIO 124 6.00    
SCR  DADIO Mar27 Feb27 Jan24 Jan17 Jan04 (hess g)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
MIST OVER CORK Apr17 Mar27 Feb13 Nov29 Oct26 (boggs joanna)DIAZ JR 124 12.00 6% 16.50    
10  CAPO TOO Mar14 Jan31       (boggs jo)DAVIS A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.