Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(5/3/2)-(3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/6/2)-(6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(6/5)-(2/6/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/6/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/6/7/1)-(2/3/4/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-5   WIN (2/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/1)-(2/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/1)-(2/3/4/5)-(6/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/5)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/5)-(6/1/5)-(2/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-7   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(2/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(2/6/5/1)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-8   WIN (2/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/1)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAH NIGH Apr19 Apr10 Feb21 Jan29 Dec14 (dussette alv)EDISON JOCELYN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
EASY EDDIE A Apr19 Apr05 Feb12 Jan29 Jan04 (prejean raymon)ARANA KELVIN 119 15.00    
NATIVE REQUITE Apr04 Feb05 Dec14 Nov29 Sep23 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
IRON FORTUNE Mar21 Jan01 Dec12 Nov20 Sep23 (zenon char)ALBERT S 124 6.00    
WICKED PUNCHES Apr05 Feb21 Jan18 Mar06 Feb09 (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 10.00 11% 7.70    
FLAMINGTHUNDERBIRD Apr24 Apr05 Jan31 Jan10   (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 124 2.50    
BEAUDEAN Apr11 Mar21 Mar06 Feb21 Feb07 (granger randall)ROSIER R 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
EVD-2   05/03/2025 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAASAI WARRIOR Apr09 Mar04 Feb08 Jan17 Dec27 (leonard geor)BARRERA J 120 3.00    
TREATY Mar14 Feb14 Feb16 Jan15 Dec16 (munoz y)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TIWANAKU Mar30 Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 Jan05 (cano muno)ARANA KELVIN 115 10.00 29% 2.50    
SENDERO Mar07 Feb14 Jan17 Dec16 Nov22 (sanchez c)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
MR MCGREGOR Apr09 Mar13 Jan25 Jan10 Dec26 (cano munoz)ROSIER R 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT Mar18 Feb21 Jan30 Jan09 Dec16 (gelner j)THORNTON G 120 1.80    
 
EVD-3   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PATIENCE WILL PAY Dec14 Nov22       (delany sarah)BARRERA J 119 2.50    
CONNECTIQUE Apr04 Feb22 Jan24 Jan04 Nov30 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
KENMORE WEST Mar18 Feb20 Jan18 Dec27 Nov28 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 122 1.80 67% 0.50    
THE BOSS SOSS Apr11 Mar04 Feb14 Jan24 Dec07 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 3.00    
GIVEMEASECOND Apr11 Mar18 Jan18 Dec21 Nov28 (ducoing st)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50    
BRITTANY'S DREAM Mar18 Mar01 Jan24 Jan10 Dec16 (wilson shan)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-4   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRISE SUNRISE Feb22 Jan24 Jan11 Dec07 Nov22 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 124 2.50    
SCR  CHIMES LAKE Feb22 Jan24 May25 May04   (dison phillip )ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
SCR  CHILEAN WIND Apr18 Feb12       (silva walter)POMPELL L 121 6.00    
NICEPROBLEMTOHAVE Apr16 Mar29 Mar08 Feb13 Jan28 (west henry)EDISON JOCELYN 119 8.00    
PRIOR QUEEN Mar14         (david b)BARRERA J 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
THE COQUETTE Apr05 Feb26 Feb07 Jan16   (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 1.20 60% 0.70    
 
EVD-5   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOSTILE AFLEET Apr23 Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Feb12 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC BET Apr11 Feb14 Dec14 Jan25 Dec18 (gonzalez isai )FLORIAN JOSE 117 8.00 39% 1.60    
CHAOSMOS Apr16 Feb12 Jan11 Nov23 Nov02 (richard russell)POMPELL L 122 15.00    
APPLEWOOD Apr23 Feb12 Dec21 Nov23 Nov02 (matthieu ronal)ARANA KELVIN 117 10.00    
MR. FOUR SEVENS Apr23 Mar09 Feb14 Feb01 Jan03 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 119 3.50    
SAM'S PROMISE Feb06 Jan04 Dec04 Nov06 Oct16 (wong jonat)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
STAR READY Apr09 Mar21 Mar03 Feb14 Jan24 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.00 12% 7.30    
IT'S A BIRD Nov27 Nov13 Oct25 Aug15 Jul04 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 2.50    
 
EVD-6   05/03/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ragin Cajun Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIFT GIVER Apr17 Mar18 Dec19 Oct11 Aug31 (fuselie)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of UNION METTLE by DIXIE UNION)
PATIENCE WILL PAY Dec14 Nov22       (delany sarah)BARRERA J 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by DAAHER out of SO WELL READ by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
STAR ROCK STAR Mar20 Mar04 Feb14 Dec29 Dec14 (castille carro)THORNTON G 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of AFTER THOUGHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
HE'S LATE AGAIN Mar22 Mar01 Jan19 Jan02   (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00 8% 11.60    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of PIXIE DEVIL by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
COOL GUITAR Apr17 Mar23 Mar07 Feb21   (landry ray)FUSILIER C 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of COOL KITTY by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS)
MAJORITY OPINION Mar22 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec14 (johnson he)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 5.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of MAGGIES RANSOM by THUNDER GULCH)
YORKTOWN PANTHER Apr25 Mar22 Mar04 Feb19 Feb07 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 116 4.00    
  (by YORKTON out of CALICO by ARCH)
 
EVD-7   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST EVD Classic Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLAND CREEK Apr12 Mar18 Feb15 Jan16 Dec14 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00 10% 8.90    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of MIZZENWAY by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT Apr12 Mar23 Mar01 Feb01 Dec14 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 124 8.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of GINGERTINI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
COSMIC TRAIN Apr12 Mar23 Dec14 Nov23 Aug31 (delhomme jerry)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of COSMIC EMERGENCY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SAINT GABRIEL Apr12 Feb19 Feb01 Jan10 Dec27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 4.50    
  (by DAAHER out of LA BELLE BEAR by ARCH)
BLUE CHEESE Apr12 Mar01 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LEMONDROPKISSES by LEMON DROP KID)
TOUCHUPONASTAR Mar22 Feb01 Dec14 Nov08 May27 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 124 1.00 63% 0.60    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TOUCH MAGIC by LION HEART)
BENOIT Mar23 Mar01 Jan16 Dec14 Nov23 (duhon jose)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 12.00    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of KATIEBARTHEDOOR by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
EVD-8   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST King Creole Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR AS A BELE Mar23 Feb17 Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 (terre david)BARRERA J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MY FRIEND BELE by MY FRIEND MAX)
GEAUX SUGAR Mar22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by HALF OURS out of FIFOLET by STORMY ATLANTIC)
HI YAH Mar15 Feb28 Jan23 Dec15 Nov23 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of HOMESTAKE by AFLEET ALEX)
RANCH BADGE Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 Nov30 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
  (by PROUDINSKY out of MS ALDEBARAN by ALDEBARAN)
OTRA COSA Apr18 Feb19 Jan25 Dec05 Nov06 (larrosa a)PEREZ CARLOS 120 5.00 5% 18.30    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of JEMIMA'S PEARL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MARKS PROMISE Mar22 Feb27 Feb01 Jan08 Nov22 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of PRIVATE PROMISE by EXPLOIT)
DOCTORED DEAL Feb19 Jan25 Jan08 Dec14 Nov27 (nelson r)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of LIKE A DOC by MAUK FOUR)
SCR  F T W SLAM Mar23 Feb22 Jan25 Jan03 Nov24 (jeansonne ju)MAGNON H 122 20.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of DEBBIE ANN by POSSE)
HE'S JUST LUCKY Apr10 Mar22 Feb27 Feb01 Jan08 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 6.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ANEA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
EVD-9   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCALLYWAG (GB) Apr19 Apr04 Feb21 Feb12 Jan19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 1.80 49% 1.00    
BOBBY MERLOT Apr10 Feb22 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
LITTLE JONY Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 Jul12 Nov11 (journet albert)ARANA KELVIN 119 12.00    
SCR  LOVE A FIGHTER Apr10 Mar20 Mar06 Feb22 Feb01 (morrell cy)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.50    
MR RAMIREZ Apr19 Apr04 Sep12 Aug31 Jun22 (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50    
MECKES PRIORITY Apr16 Jul20 Jun15 May24 May04 (dussette a)ALBERT S 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
COUNT ON RAIN Apr05 Feb20 Jan30 Dec07 Nov15 (benoit james)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.