Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Tuesday - April 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(1/7/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-2   WIN (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/3)-(1/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-3   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/2)-(2/1/5)-(3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(3/2/6)-(2/6/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FP-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(2/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(2/6/5/4)-(2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-6   WIN (2/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/4)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-7   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING RAQUEL         (becker scott)WALES T 118 4.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of ESPANOLA WAY by COZZENE)
2  FLIGHTNING BOLT Mar16         (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 2.00 66% 0.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
3  REALTA Apr10 Mar26 Dec28 Nov07 Sep14 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SOUL OPPOSITION by THUNDER GULCH)
4  MEGANTHEEBATTALION         (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of CAUSAL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
5  LA CLASICA Apr17 Mar13 Feb27     (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of GOLDEN CAPTURE by UNCAPTURED)
SCR  EPIC MOMENT Mar29 Mar14 Oct19 Oct03   (clay pat)BETHKE A 126 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FLASHY GAL by BOLD N' FLASHY)
 
FP-2   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEXT TIME YOU WIN Oct26 Oct12 Sep24 Jul06 May11 (nesbitt amy)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  ELLIE DELI Jul28 Jun30 Jan26 Dec30 Oct05 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 124 2.00    
3  ONACOUNTA Oct24 Oct15 Sep21 Aug31 Aug03 (bentle)BAILON JADHIR 124 12.00 6% 16.00    
4  MAMBA OUT Mar27 Dec21 Nov29 Oct22 Sep24 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  LIFE OF SATURDAYS Oct31 Oct17 Aug31 Aug13 Jul16 (randazzo )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 10.00    
6  SMILE AT THE STORM Apr13 Oct31 Oct17 Sep21 Jun08 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  BETHY Jul23 Jun15 May28 May11 Apr16 (randazzo c)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
 
FP-3   04/29/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERNESTINA Oct22 Oct08 Sep01 Aug08 Jul21 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  HALLIE'S RAINBOW Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Jul16 Jul02 (mosier harold)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00 10% 9.20    
3  CHANEL POINT Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 (randazzo te)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
4  TINA'S TAPIZAR Oct31 Oct08 Sep21 Sep01 Aug03 (manley steve)FELIX E 124 3.00    
5  JERSEY GOLD Dec19 Nov27 Nov10 Oct24 Oct12 (nesbitt amy)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
6  ENGLISH Oct12 Oct21 Sep05 Aug19 Sep09 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
7  SERENDIPITY COCO Jun08 May25 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
FP-4   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEYTONS HONOR Oct29 Oct15 Sep07 Jul16 Jun22 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
2  BIKINI MARTINI Oct29 Oct15 Aug24 Jul23 Jul09 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 116 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  BAR MONEY Oct29 Sep07 Aug20 May07 Apr14 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00    
4  AIR GERRI Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 Aug10 (manley steve)WALES T 124 4.00    
5  TOO MUCH TUESDAY Oct29 Oct05 Sep17 Aug27 Jul06 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
6  WICKED SKY Oct29 Sep24 Jul13 Jun22 May07 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
FP-5   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANCE Oct29 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 Aug06 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00    
2  MIDNITE ALEX Oct31 Oct22 Oct08     (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 6.00 27% 2.60    
3  RAVIN'S RANSOM Oct29 Jul14       (rivelli larry)FELIX E 116 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  TRUIST Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.00    
5  RED MOSCATO Oct15 Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Jul25 (lopez eli)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00    
6  SPAN Apr10 Jan02 Nov21 Oct29 Oct15 (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-6   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRL FRANKIE Oct29 Oct10 Sep19 Aug20 Jul02 (rednour joh)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 12.00    
2  SMOKED Apr03         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 118 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  FASTTIMESATMIDNITE Oct29         (becker scott)WALES T 124 4.00    
4  TRY Oct29 Oct12 Sep28 Sep08 Aug24 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HALO HONEY Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 Jul09   (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 116 10.00 9% 10.80    
6  WIN WITH COLOR Oct29 Oct15 Sep21 Aug10   (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
7  HUCKLEBERRY HUSTLE Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 Aug10 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00    
 
FP-7   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO GOLDEN ROAD Nov13 Oct23 Sep23 Sep12 Aug11 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 116 15.00    
2  FLATHEAD FINALE Mar27 Dec19 Nov02 Oct15 Oct01 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
SCR  BREAKFASTRUN Oct01 Sep16 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 10.00    
4  FRENCHYS TOAST Apr03 Aug17 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 20.00 24% 3.10    
5  LILY'S HOME Mar28 Feb07 Jan29 Nov07 Oct08 (quinonez max)FELIX E 124 12.00 7% 12.40    
6  BABAS GAL Apr13 Oct22 Oct08 Sep01 Aug20 (bahena fe)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 4.00    
SCR  TILL Dec26 Dec04 Oct31 Sep10 Aug13 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD ENCORE Oct31 Oct22 Oct08 Sep21 Aug31 (martinez-linares )LOPEZ A 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.