Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/10/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/10/1/4)-(3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-2   WIN (2/10/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/1/4)-(2/10/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/1/4)-(2/10/1/4)-(2/10/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/10/1/4)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/10/1/4)-(3/5)-(4/9/5/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(4/9/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(4/9/5/3)-(5/9/4/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-4   WIN (4/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/3)-(4/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/3)-(4/9/5/3)-(4/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/5/3)-(5/9/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5/3)-(5/9/4/2)-(2/4/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-5   WIN (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/4/2)-(2/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/2)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/9/7/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/1)-(2/9/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/1)-(2/9/7/3/5)-(5/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/9/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/3/5)-(2/9/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/3/5)-(2/9/7/3/5)-(2/9/7/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/7/3/5)-(5/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   03/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANNAMARIA Mar16 Feb23 Jan26 Jan12 Nov03 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 123 15.00    
MISTY MOOD Feb14 Feb02 Jan04 Dec12 Nov14 (c)DE CRUZ 123 8.00 16% 5.10    
MISS ESCAPADE Mar15 Feb23 Jan18 Dec15 Nov21 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 2.50    
CATHERINE BLAZE Feb07 Jan17 Nov13 Sep30 Aug20 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00    
BOSSADUSU Feb07 Jan03 Dec06 Nov18 Oct24 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
HIGHLANDER HONEY Mar09 Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 Sep24 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 123 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
HOU-2   03/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATURDAY'S GOLD Feb16 Feb08 Jan02 Nov08 Sep04 (govea cesar)FUENTES MARIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAP HOT Mar09 Feb22 Jan28 Jan03 Dec14 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  PUDDING Mar14 Feb23 Jan18 Dec11 Nov19 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 20.00    
NORTHVALE ROAD Mar09 Feb16 Feb02 Jan05 Dec11 (gourneau jer)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRAYFORPEACE Feb22 Feb08 Aug20 Jun26 Jun05 (gourneau jerry)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00    
SCR  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Mar07 Feb16 Jan19 Nov21 Oct21 (p)DE CRUZ 123 3.50    
CIELO'S KNIGHT Feb16 Jan05 Dec05 Nov09 Oct24 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 121 15.00    
BLING BLING BLING Feb16 Sep25 Aug28 Aug07 Jul13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00    
PHILO BEDDOE Mar21 Jan04 Nov16 Sep28 Aug29 (rengstorf ton)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00    
10  STAYED IN FOR HALF Mar15 Feb16 Feb08 Nov08 Sep06 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
HOU-3   03/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE RAMA Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Nov18 Nov01 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 2.00    
EMPIRE'S BEST Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Nov30 Oct26 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 123 3.50    
BANDERA AZTECA Mar09 Feb22 Feb16 Jan05 Dec05 (gourneau jer)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 6.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  JUST OKIE Feb28 Feb14 Jan03 Dec11 Nov22 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 1.20    
IMPERIAL HORNET Feb28 Jan03 Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 15.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  LARIDAE Feb16 Dec05 Nov19 Nov06 Oct12 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
 
HOU-4   03/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLEJOHNS PRAYER Mar14 Feb14 Jan25     (gustafson austin)PARKER L 119 10.00    
RICH MOUNTAIN Mar14 Mar02 Jul06 Jun16 May26 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00    
FANDO Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 Jun02 May18 (uriegas henry)FUENTES MARIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE MY MONEY Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Nov06 Oct09 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
GOING TO SANANTONE Feb22 Feb01 Jun16 May04 Feb29 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 10% 9.50    
SUMMER HELP Mar07 Feb16 Jan12 Jul12 Jun22 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
NATURAL HIGH Jan30 Jan08 Dec20 Dec07 Aug23 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 121 30.00    
PRETTY MACHO Mar14 Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 Jan05 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00    
TOO INTIMIDATING Mar07 Jan24 Jul12 Jul04 May31 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
HOU-5   03/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLD BOYS CLUB Mar07 Feb07 Jan12 Nov14 Oct23 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00    
UPTONO BUENA Nov30 Nov01 Sep27     (c)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 6% 16.10    
UPTOWN TAPPIN Mar16 Mar02 Feb22 Jan25 Jan18 (werneth a)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
BIG NICKEL Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 Dec07 Nov22 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00 11% 7.70    
MOMISSIONER Mar01 Jan04       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 39% 1.50    
BEGGIN FOR TROUBLE Mar16 Feb28 Jan11 Sep28 Aug31 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
ROUSTABOUT Mar16 Jan25 Oct23 Sep05   (asmussen st)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
TREVAGGIO Jan25 Nov25 Oct25 Sep07 Jul14 (pish dann)TRIANA JR 122 3.50    
GOOD PRODUCT Feb28 Jul13 Jun15     (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
HOU-6   03/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE DON Mar07         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of SPRING THE TRAPPE by TRAPPE SHOT)
GO GO BOSS Mar07 Feb15 Jan19     (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 122 1.20 61% 0.60    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
HUMONGOUSAMONGUS Mar01         (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 20.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of WONDRSHEGOTTHUNDR by GRAYDAR)
EIGHT SEVEN MAGIC Mar09 Dec29       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 14% 5.90    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MAGGIE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ZORRO D' ORO Mar09 Feb07 Jan12     (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TREASURE BOX by LEMON DROP KID)
BERNARDO         (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ASHADO by SAINT BALLADO)
KEYS GOLDEN SONG Mar07 Feb15 Jan19 Jan04   (davila jes)PEREZ ANGEL 117 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MISS PERDIDO KEY by BROKEN VOW)
 
HOU-7   03/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RON'S LAVENDER Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Sep26 Aug12 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ OBED 121 30.00    
DAZZLING DUCHESS Feb15 Oct26 Sep25 Aug21 Jul23 (geln)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 1.50 39% 1.50    
BALI GIRLEE Mar02 Feb09 Oct05 Sep12 Jun30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00 7% 12.80    
SHE'S EXTRA Mar15 Mar01 Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 (govea cesar)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
TAPITSGOTAPISTOL Mar02 Feb09 Jan24 Jul06 Jun16 (davidson brent)PARKER L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Mar01 Feb09 Jan31 Jan12 Nov30 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 121 6.00    
FOOLISH AFFAIR Mar08         (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
MOONLIGHT GLOW Mar02 Feb07 Jan04 Nov21   (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 15.00    
GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE Mar02 Feb09 Jan17 Jan03 Sep24 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 16% 5.20    
10  IMMA GOING TO WIN Mar02 Feb09 Jan18 Dec19 Nov16 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
 
HOU-8   03/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMAL COURAGE Mar21 Feb16 Sep26 Sep03 Aug07 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 121 20.00    
BALSA Feb22 Nov16 Oct16 Oct02 Sep13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00    
SCR  WILD WEST JUSTICE Mar07 Feb02 Jan03 Oct17 Aug29 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 121 10.00    
TWENTYONE N CHANGE Feb08 Nov15 Nov08 Oct16 Sep20 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 123 1.80 13% 6.50    
JACKMAN'S RIDE Feb22 Feb08 Nov30 Sep04 Aug17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  DARK AFTERNOON Nov15 Oct18 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (gustafson austin)PARKER L 121 4.50    
CAMPFIRE CREED May12 Mar14 Nov24 Oct26 Oct11 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00    
SCR  CARLEA'S DREAM Mar02 Jan03 Oct23 Jul30 Jun23 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 12.00    
AVAILABLE STAR Feb08 Nov08 Sep06 Aug17 Jul12 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.