Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/6)-(8/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6)-(5/4/3)-(3/1/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/1/2/7)-(2/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/7)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/7)-(2/1/3)-(7/3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(7/3/5/2)-(4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/2)-(4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/2)-(4/3/7)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(4/2/1)-(5/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOODOO PRIESTESS Feb21 Dec29 Dec07 Oct26 Oct06 (smith jas)CARRASCO R 122 12.00    
LACHICAFORTEQUILA Feb08 Feb02 Dec20 Dec07 Nov28 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS ELLARY Feb14 Dec18 Nov25 Oct29 Sep23 (truehart )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 8.00    
BY THE GLASS Feb28 Dec29 Dec13 Nov01 Aug01 (gorham mich)HAMILTON WESTON 126 4.50    
RIBBONSINHERHAIR Feb06 Jan10 Dec15 Oct26 Oct17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
AUDIBLY Feb28 Feb08 Dec22 Nov28 Oct18 (perri gi)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 126 6.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  FEELIN SO LUCKY Feb21 Jan31 Jan08 Dec14 Nov16 (mcmahon hug)DEL SARA 119 6.00    
GILDA'S GIRL Feb28 Feb01 Dec13 Nov13 Sep30 (geralis emanu)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
LRL-2   03/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT-12:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTMYFIRSTRODEO Feb23 Feb01 Dec20 Nov17 Oct25 (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.00    
FLASHY DUDE Feb23 Dec01 Nov17 Oct10 Sep22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 6.00    
LET'S HAVE A PARTY Feb28 Feb15 Dec14 Oct16 Sep14 (bailon he)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00 10% 8.60    
LIGHTNING BOSS Feb01 Dec20 Nov30     (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
MR. MENDELSLEW Feb28 Feb08 Jan17 Nov30 Nov09 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  BUDS ISLAND Feb23 Jan24 Dec21 Dec01   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.60    
 
LRL-3   03/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSGRAVE         (salinas giovann)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 27% 2.70    
IMPERIAL SPY Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 Dec22 Nov30 (parram )ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 8.00 10% 9.40    
TETCHED Feb21 Feb01 Jan17 Dec13 Nov30 (eubanks an)SANCHEZ J 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
FINN D'ORO Feb28 Jan26 Dec01 Oct17 Sep15 (dilodovic)CARRASCO R 124 5.00    
BYE BYE WICKED EYE Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 Dec14 Dec01 (perri gina)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50    
SEVERN RUN Feb21 Jan26 Dec21 Dec01   (capuano phi)HAMILTON WESTON 124 1.80    
FURIOUS GEORGE Feb21         (dilodovico )DEL SARA 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-4   03/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B WEST Feb21 Feb07 Jan17 Dec29 Nov16 (magee kiero)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 1.80 31% 2.30    
JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec08 Nov16 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.40 40% 1.50    
GOTTS GOT IT Feb23 Feb07 Dec28 Nov30 Oct08 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUNSET TOWN Feb23 Feb02 Jan25 Dec22 Nov30 (gorham mich)HAMILTON WESTON 126 4.50    
THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 Dec07 Nov09 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 119 10.00    
CACTUS Feb23 Jan17 Dec22 Sep29 Aug17 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
 
LRL-5   03/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYSON'S DELIVERY Mar14 Mar01       (bailes robe)CHAVEZ ANDRES 120 10.00    
REAL TALENTED Feb21 Feb01 Jan18     (gonzalez cl)DEL SARA 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
FAST TALKIN MAN Feb21 Jan30 Dec21 Dec01   (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
WARRIOR'S NOTION Feb01 Dec22       (walters hen)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
DOWNTOWN MAN         (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
MIKES MO TOWN Mar07 Feb14 Jan26 Dec20 Nov27 (mancilla ca)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 10.00    
ZERO BLITZ Mar07         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 41% 1.40    
WE CALLED SOL Feb28 Feb07 Jan15     (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 120 5.00    
 
LRL-6   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY STREET Feb14 Jul14 Jun16 Apr13 Mar16 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
SCR  DANCING ON MY OWN Sep10 Aug21 Jul01 May21 May01 (dunn fel)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00    
LOVELY CHARM Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Dec07 Nov16 (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 126 3.50 25% 3.00    
STOP THE CAP Feb16 Jan24 Dec29 Nov17 Oct20 (smith hamil)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
CALL ANOTHER PLAY Mar08 Jan18 Dec21 Oct27 Sep07 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 2.00    
DOCTOR ABBIE Jan29 Dec31 Nov27 Nov01 Oct17 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
DON'T TELL KELLY Jan18 Oct24 Oct06 Aug31 Aug10 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSUME NOTHING Feb15 Sep28 Jul20 Jun08 May18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
ST. JUDE Feb08 Dec27 Jan14 Mar26   (perkins ben)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.60 30% 2.30    
FAN CLUB Mar09 Feb16 Feb01 Dec29 Dec06 (gonzalez clau)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 10.00    
HITTHEROADJAK Mar08 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
CROSSLAND Feb21 Jan24 Dec13 Oct26 Oct12 (hohlbein kerry)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN GUY Feb06 Nov21 Sep27 Sep07 Aug10 (alvarado di)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
IRISH EXIT Jan13 Dec13 Nov20 Oct18 Sep15 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 4.00    
 
LRL-8   03/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LOTTA MOXIE Feb08 Jan25 Dec20 Nov17 Oct27 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 10.00 11% 8.30    
JUST THE THING Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 Jan03 Dec20 (corrales j)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 112 5.00    
QUIT QUAY Mar09 Feb08 Jan25 Jan17 Jan03 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 21% 3.70    
WAMPY Feb28 Feb02 Nov17 Oct10 Sep14 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50    
CLUCK CLUCK Feb22 Jan31 Dec14 Feb09 Jan06 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.40 29% 2.50    
MY SUGAR BOO Feb08 Dec22 Oct03 Sep06 Aug04 (aguirre ant)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.