Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (3/11/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/9)-(3/1/7/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/11/9)-(3/1/7/11/9)-(3/1/7/11/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/11/9)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/11/9)-(2/5/6/3)-(8/6/1/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-2   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3)-(8/6/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/3)-(8/6/1/5/7)-(2/9/6/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-3   WIN (8/6/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/5/7)-(8/6/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/5/7)-(8/6/1/5/7)-(8/6/1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/1/5/7)-(2/9/6/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/5/7)-(2/9/6/8/1)-(9/8/6/5/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
HOU-4   WIN (2/9/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/8/1)-(2/9/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/8/1)-(2/9/6/8/1)-(2/9/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/6/8/1)-(9/8/6/5/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/8/1)-(9/8/6/5/10)-(4/10/3/1/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
HOU-5   WIN (9/8/6/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/5/10)-(9/8/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/5/10)-(9/8/6/5/10)-(9/8/6/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/6/5/10)-(4/10/3/1/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/5/10)-(4/10/3/1/5)-(5/3/4/10/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
HOU-6   WIN (4/10/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/1/5)-(4/10/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/1/5)-(4/10/3/1/5)-(4/10/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/3/1/5)-(5/3/4/10/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/3/4/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/10/7)-(5/3/4/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/10/7)-(5/3/4/10/7)-(5/3/4/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/07/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERY UNLIKELY Jan12 Nov15 Oct19 Sep28 Aug25 (calhoun will)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.50 ★    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of SINGWITHTHEBIRDS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  VIOLET KITTEN Aug03 Jul06       (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  GLOBAL ALLURE Nov13 Sep01       (gustafson austin)PARKER L 122 3.00 76% 0.30    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of ONE HOT ROMANCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  WILD STEEL Jan12 Nov15 Oct19 Oct02 Sep05 (cruz eduardo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of NEEDS NO ICE by POLAR COORDINATE)
5  RITZY MISCHIEF Oct02         (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  MY SWEET LOVE Nov29 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  MULTIPLICATION Jan09 Nov21 Oct27 Sep26   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 ★    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ZENSATIONAL BEAUTY by ZENSATIONAL)
8  THE Y FACTOR Jan12 Nov15 Oct19     (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PIOUS ASHLEY by INCLUDE)
9  BELLERIA BABY Nov09 Oct12       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FIFTEEN CHURCH by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  BREAK THE LAW Dec29         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SMASHING SERENA by VIOLENCE)
11  MAYBE SO Jan19 Dec05 Nov18     (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of EDIT by NAHUEL)
 
HOU-2   02/07/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAD'S SWEETHEART Jan24 Jan12 Sep17 Sep11 May05 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.00    
2  OH DOO DAH DAY Jan12 Dec12 Nov09 Oct04 Aug31 (craddock kar)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 1.80 26% 2.90    
3  KOLKATA Nov16 Oct26 Sep18 Jun30 May18 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 121 8.00 10% 8.70    
4  BOSSADUSU Jan03 Dec06 Nov18 Oct24 Apr16 (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 121 6.00    
5  CATHERINE BLAZE Jan17 Nov13 Sep30 Aug20 Jun16 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
6  NATURAL TOUCH Jan25 Dec06 Aug31 Aug12 Jul31 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 15% 5.70    
7  POETIC UNION Jan26 Jan03 Dec06 Nov16 Oct26 (chacaltana dom)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
 
HOU-3   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 35 M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAITH AND DEVOTION         (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 123 15.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  WHERE DREAMS BEGIN Oct19 Oct02 Aug22     (pish danny)PARKER L 123 2.50    
3  EAGLE VISION Jan17 Jan05 Nov25     (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 123 20.00    
4  MADDIE'S MAVERICK Jan17 Jan10 Dec12 Nov18   (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 6.00    
5  ALONG CAME THUNDER Nov22 Oct31 Aug31 Jul03 Jun21 (baldillez )PEREZ ANGEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS MOTOR MOUTH         (gelner j)SANCHEZ OBED 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
7  WESTERN SKY Jun21 Jun08 May11 Apr21   (d)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MOONLIGHT GLOW Jan04 Nov21       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
9  JULIA ANN Jan03 Oct19 Oct02 Sep07   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50    
10  CALEB'S CANDY Jan17 Nov19       (cravens ii)DIEGO V 118 20.00    
 
HOU-4   02/07/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STIRRING UP DUST Jan04 Jul07 Jun01     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRACIE'S KITTEN Jan17 Jul14 Jun22 May31 May05 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Jan25 Nov09 Oct31 Oct19 Oct02 (gourneau jerry)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00    
4  SALTAMONTES DIVA Jan12 Jul20 Jun02 May05 Mar30 (h)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
5  RON'S LAVENDER Jan17 Sep26 Aug12 Jul30 Jun22 (kotara ronald)FUENTES MARIO 121 30.00    
6  SWEET KARAT CAKE Jan17 Oct25 Oct04 Sep11 Aug30 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Jan17 Nov13 Oct30 Jul14 Jun22 (k)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
8  HOLIDAY PRESENCE Jan17 Jul14 Jun22 May05 Apr06 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  ATHENA D'ORO Jan17 Mar29 Feb24 Feb04 Jun17 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
10  LEXINGTON DIVA Jan24 Jan12 Jan03 Dec12 Nov14 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
 
HOU-5   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SANTA FE (IRE) Jan31 Nov19 Oct26 Oct04 Sep19 (pish danny)PARKER L 121 4.00    
2  EVERLEIGH'S QUEEN Jun22 Apr07 Feb23     (gelner jayde)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00    
3  ALL AMERICAN LADY May27 May05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb24 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 121 12.00    
4  LIBBIES BABY Jan24 Jul06 May18 Apr28 Mar30 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
5  AVALING Jul07 Jun09 May17 May05 Apr06 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAJUN DOLL Jan12 Nov14 Oct31 Sep27 Aug31 (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
7  CRANKY SHEILA Jan12 Nov29 Oct17 Sep16 Aug13 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 6.00    
8  OOH LA DA STOOPS Jan12 Dec07 Jul12 May27   (schne)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
9  I'M ON EDGE Jul13 Jun23 Jun01     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 4.50 36% 1.80    
10  BACLIFF Jan24 Aug24 Jul06 Jun09 May12 (roberts joe )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   02/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUBBA'S RECKLESS Jan12 Dec11 Nov22 Aug23 Jul13 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 15.00 5% 18.40    
2  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Jan10 Oct26 Oct03 Aug29 Jul12 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00    
3  LUCKY PROMISE Jan11 Nov23 Oct16 Jun08 May10 (pomie)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 4.50 7% 12.60    
4  VINO TEXAS JESS Jul13 Jun28 May26 May04   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
5  RECKLESS RED Jan12 Jun22 Jun08 May10 Apr07 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOM SAWYER Jan25 Jan03 Oct31     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50    
7  PAINTED LAD Jan12 Oct16 Sep18 Aug30   (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00    
8  FLYING CAESAR Jun28 Jun16 May26 Mar17   (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
9  UNBRIDLED BLING Jan12 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Nov17 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
10  TURN NORTH Jan10 Aug09 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 121 8.00 12% 7.10    
11  MOVEN VAN Jan12 Nov19 Nov06 Oct16 Sep26 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00    
 
HOU-7   02/07/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYALIST Jan18 Nov14 Oct23 Sep14 Sep05 (cruz eduardo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FLOWERFUL by OVERANALYZE)
2  JUTE BOX Jan18 Dec15 Nov22 Oct02   (ashford ray)PARKER L 122 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of METMEYER by DROSSELMEYER)
3  BIG NICKEL Jan12 Dec07 Nov22 Aug31 Aug13 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 8.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MR. MONEY out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
4  INACLASSOFMYOWN Jan18 Nov22       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 7% 14.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WIN THE WAR by WAR FRONT)
5  OLD BOYS CLUB Jan12 Nov14 Oct23 Sep14 Jul14 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DOUBLE by BERNARDINI)
6  CHAHTA CITIZEN Jan12 Nov08 Oct11 Sep14 Aug16 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
  (by BLENDED CITIZEN out of CAUSEWAY CHROME by KARAKONTIE)
7  CAUSE MIMI SAID Jan19 Dec06 Oct31 Oct03   (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of SWEETEST APPEAL by GRAYDAR)
SCR  CAN'T KNOW Sep07         (rengstorf tony)SANCHEZ OBED 122 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FOXY FELICITY by MATT'S BROKEN VOW)
9  GET DREAMY Jan18 Nov22 Nov08     (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DAYDREAM by BELIEVE IT)
10  ROCKY ROCK IT Jan24 Jan04 Dec06 Nov18 Oct31 (willis mindy)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 6% 16.60    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.