Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - January 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/4/1/3)-(3/8/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/3)-(3/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/3)-(3/8/7/5)-(2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/5)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/5)-(2/3/1)-(3/6/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/6/4/8)-(4/5/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/8)-(4/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/8)-(4/5/1/2)-(6/3/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(6/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2)-(6/3/4/8)-(9/7/5/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/8)-(9/7/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/7/5/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/2/3)-(9/7/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/2/3)-(9/7/5/2/3)-(9/7/5/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNA MARY Jan10         (schiano-dicola ra)HO WESLEY 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
2  FLAMME FATALE Nov17 Oct27       (couchenour lee)REYNOLDS C 124 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  DANCESWITHGREATNES Dec14 Sep21       (racanelli ma)LEWIS M 122 20.00    
4  SARONIC BAY Jan17 Dec12       (brown w)BOCACHICA O 118 1.40    
5  BARAPHA Jan15 Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  REECE'S DRAMA Jan15 Sep27 Jul18     (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.00    
 
CT-2   01/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POUR ME A DRINK Jan18 Jan04 Dec14 Dec04 Nov14 (ramos a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 11% 7.80    
2  SISTER WINNIE Dec04 Nov06 Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
3  ESSENTIAL MAGIC Jan04 Dec14 Nov08 Oct15 Oct05 (caison l)LARROSA G 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  FUNNY ROAD Jan16 Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  K'S LANEE Jan04 Dec14 Nov08 Oct17 Sep01 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
6  LUZIA Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct04 Aug22 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.00    
7  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jan04 Dec14 Nov08 Oct17 Oct01 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
8  HOLY MOAT Jan03 Nov29 Nov20 Oct31 Oct18 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
 
CT-3   01/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFERNO Jan10 Dec14 Nov28 Nov09 Aug25 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 20.00    
2  SWEETHEART MOON Jan18 Nov10 Oct03     (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
3  IMPETUS ECHO (GB) Jan01 Dec13 Nov17 Sep20 Sep13 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  UAINTRIGHT Nov09         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00    
5  ARYAAM Dec07 Sep26 Aug26     (ramgeet andre )CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ATOMIC KISS Nov08         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
7  LAURA'S THUNDER Jan04 Dec11 Nov10 Oct26 Oct11 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  SATURN'S GHOST Jan08 Dec13 Nov17 Oct05 Sep07 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
CT-4   01/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABIDALE Dec12 Sep27 May20 Mar12 Feb14 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUNAWAY BEAUTY Jul05 Jun14 May30 Apr13 Mar07 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 0.60 62% 0.60    
3  XANTHE Dec12 Aug16 Aug02 Jun22 Apr13 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
4  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jan15 Dec12 Nov30 Nov21 Nov09 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 122 12.00    
SCR  SOMETHINGWONDERFUL Jan18 Dec07 Nov16     (aguirre a)BETANCOURT R 124 15.00    
SCR  QUANTICO CREEK Jan15 Dec12 Nov30 Oct25 Oct04 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
SCR  I CAN DO IT Dec12 Nov16 Oct19 Aug11 Jul20 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 4.50    
 
CT-5   01/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKERS ROSE GOLD Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 Oct26 Oct10 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
2  SKY BUY Oct16 Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 Aug07 (sterling michael )LARROSA G 122 12.00    
3  LOVELY LUCY Jan15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Sep12 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
4  SUNNY SUNSHINE Jan15 Dec22 Nov28 Nov08 Oct18 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 122 5.00 7% 12.70    
5  ICED MOCHA Jan15 Nov28 Nov08 Oct03 Sep08 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 122 2.00    
6  BETHPAGE Dec03 Oct28 Oct15 Sep30 Aug28 (meeks karl)DIAZ JR 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  EXTRA DIRTY Jan23 Nov27 Aug22 Aug01 Jun23 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
8  BOBBI TWO STEPS Jan15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct03 Sep12 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MISS PEARL HART Jan15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct03 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 20.00    
 
CT-6   01/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU YEARS Nov20 Oct24 Jul13 Jun20 May24 (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 12.00 16% 5.40    
2  DIRECT APPEAL Jan10 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 (clatter)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00 13% 6.60    
3  BABY BOSS ALLEN Jan16 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
4  BIG JOE B Jan16 Dec11 Nov29 Nov16 Nov07 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 1.60 25% 3.10    
5  BID ON BLUE Jan16 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 Jul20 (brown keith )LEWIS M 120 1.80 21% 3.80    
6  CANO'S BABY Jan17 Jan03 Jul20 Jul11 Jun07 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 124 5.00    
7  LOVE IS WICKED Jan16 Dec04 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
 
CT-7   01/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARSHALL PEANUT Nov27 Nov07 Sep27 Aug17 Jul20 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 120 15.00    
2  JEFFERSON NATIVE Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Aug23 Jun27 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
3  HONEYQUIST Nov07 Oct12 Jul20 Jun15 May29 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  PENGUIN POWER Nov02 Oct12 Aug23 Jul12 Jun15 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
5  BERTRAM FLIGHT Dec13 Nov29 Nov06 Sep27 Aug15 (rose davi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 30.00    
6  DUNCAN IDAHO Nov02 Oct12 Aug23 Jun15 May25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 50% 1.00    
7  LITTLE ROO ROO Dec14 Nov27 Nov07 Oct12 Sep25 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 4.50    
8  HOPPING HENRY Nov29 Nov02 Sep13 Aug27 Aug03 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   01/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDAR'S WISH Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 Oct19 Aug23 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.80    
2  COACH RUBE Oct12 Jul29 Jul07 Jun01 May07 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 14% 6.20    
3  TIZ THE REASON Dec03 Nov19 Nov01 Oct24 Sep28 (meeks karl)DIAZ JR 120 12.00 6% 16.30    
4  LET'S DO THIS Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 Sep14 (aylor n)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
5  WITNESS THE ENERGY Jan04 Dec13 Nov21 Oct19 Jun28 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  AT THE HALF Jan04 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Oct19 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
7  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jan04 Dec13 Nov30 Nov22 Nov01 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
8  MACHEN REIGNS Jan02 Dec10 Nov10 Sep11 Aug11 (inirio o)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
9  EMBERLY Dec13 Oct31 Sep28 Aug23 Jul20 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.