Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/6/5)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(4/1/3)-(11/4/5/10/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(11/4/5/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(11/4/5/10/8)-(7/8/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-5   WIN (11/4/5/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/5/10/8)-(11/4/5/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/5/10/8)-(11/4/5/10/8)-(11/4/5/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/5/10/8)-(7/8/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/4/5/10/8)-(7/8/1/6)-(10/2/3/4/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-6   WIN (7/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/6)-(10/2/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/6)-(10/2/3/4/6)-(9/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-7   WIN (10/2/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/3/4/6)-(10/2/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/3/4/6)-(10/2/3/4/6)-(10/2/3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/3/4/6)-(9/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/2/3/4/6)-(9/1/2)-(4/7/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-8   WIN (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/2)-(9/3/10/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/2)-(9/3/10/1/2)-(9/3/10/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/2)-(4/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2)-(4/7/5/3)-(3/6/5/9/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-9   WIN (4/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/3)-(3/6/5/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SA-10   WIN (3/6/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/9/7)-(3/6/5/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/9/7)-(3/6/5/9/7)-(3/6/5/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/16/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINAL EDITION (IRE) Nov24 Oct27 Jun15 May03   (cerin vladim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.50 30% 2.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOST GIFTED by WAR FRONT)
NITTI (IRE) Jun01 Apr07 Mar16 Feb18   (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
  (by MAKE BELIEVE out of BABY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
GOODFELLA (IRE) Sep28 Aug11 Jun01 Apr26   (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 8% 11.80    
  (by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND out of MUSICAL JEWEL by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
OVER THE OCEAN Nov23 Oct24 Aug13     (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TIDE IS HIGH by WHISKEY WISDOM)
MYSTERIOUS HUSBAND Nov23 Oct26 Aug25 Aug03 May05 (glatt mark)SMITH E 124 3.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of FREE FEE LADY by VICTORY GALLOP)
MY HERO Nov23 Sep29       (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of GENRE by BERNARDINI)
MIDNIGHT STRIKE Nov23         (drysdale neil)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of RIGGED SMART by SMART STRIKE)
 
SA-2   01/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGERSUN Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
BOSTON BURGLAR Dec15 Nov23       (truj)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 10.00    
RIVER'S BENCHMARK Dec28 Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 Nov02 (perez sergio )AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IM GUNNA Dec15 Nov23 Nov02 Oct07 Sep08 (gilmour jim)COUTON JULIEN 124 4.50    
MOOLA MAN Dec15 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 Sep22 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
GETEMDUSTY Nov30 Nov02 Oct19 Sep20 Sep02 (miyadi s)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
CANGREJO Dec15 Nov23 Oct11 Sep13   (sherman stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.50    
 
SA-3   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITOS WITH A TWIST Dec06 Nov08 Sep13 Jul04 Jun14 (torr)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 5.00    
DONTTESTYOURLUCK Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 Jul06 Jun09 (morfin se)RAMIREZ S 124 4.50    
BOBBY ANTON Nov30 Nov10 Oct19 Sep22 Aug04 (taylor faith)OROZCO E 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
OUR EXPECTATION Dec15 Nov16 Oct20 Aug16 Jan13 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 2.00    
OH GREAT (IRE) Dec18 Dec01 Nov24 Nov08 Oct11 (maravilla j)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DR. FLASH DANCER Dec15 Nov24 Nov01 Sep29 Sep08 (taylor fai)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOOD FOCUS Nov30 Nov15 Sep29 Sep01 Aug09 (gilmo)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 20.00    
 
SA-4   01/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY MATTERS Jan07         (blacker daniel)PYLE WILLIAM 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by VRONSKY out of CHARISMA MATTERS by CHARISMATIC)
DESERT ROCKET Nov16 Oct04 Aug25 Jul28 Jun09 (callaghan s)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of DESERT STEEL by DESERT CODE)
TOPPERS WAGER Dec07 Oct27 Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 (polanco marc)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
CANANI Dec28 Oct04       (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by PAVEL out of BAS by FLOWER ALLEY)
DANZING WILD CAT Oct19 Aug11       (galvin w)BAZE C 124 10.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of WILD CAT COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
FIGHT BACK Oct27 Sep27 Aug24 Jul28 Jun07 (callaghan )HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
 
SA-5   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Dec07 Sep22 Sep15 Jul07 Mar10 (vallejo ge)ORANTES R 117 15.00    
GRAZEN SUN Dec13 Nov15 Oct13 Sep28 Aug09 (morfin se)RAMIREZ S 122 12.00    
SCR  ROGUE SON Dec06 Oct31 Oct06 Sep05 Aug08 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00    
WOUND UP Dec18 Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 Aug12 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
MAJOR TOM Dec15 Dec01 Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 (maravilla j)HERRERA A 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
EREBUS Dec06 Nov22 Oct31 Oct06 Sep15 (lopez georg)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 15.00    
GOOD VIBES ONLY Dec15 Dec08 Nov16 Nov08 Oct12 (nunez jesus)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 12.00    
SQUALOTORO Dec08 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
NO D'ORO Dec08 Nov24 Nov09 Oct19 Sep13 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 122 12.00    
10  SATANTA Dec18 Nov24 Nov10 Oct19 Oct06 (ramo)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 15.00 5% 17.30    
11  CAJUN BROTHER Dec07 Nov08 Oct11 Sep06 Aug04 (knapp steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
SA-6   01/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIBBEAN KING Nov22 Oct19 Aug25 Aug10 May27 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  RHYTHEM ON STAGE Nov23 Oct20 Aug30 May25 May04 (gaines carla)BAZE C 124 20.00    
BLUE CHEESE OLIVE Mar03 Jan20 Dec15 May06 Apr09 (knapp steve)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 15.00    
YACOWLEF (IRE) Nov23 Oct20 Aug29 Jul21 Jun21 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Jan01 Oct20 Aug15 Jun14 May19 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 124 20.00    
TEQUILA TALKIN Dec29 Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 Sep08 (castaneda)RAMIREZ S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
REXFORD Nov23 Oct20 Aug22 May04 Aug17 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
INVINCIBLE Oct20 Sep22 Aug24 Jul20 Dec03 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
 
SA-7   01/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECT LOVE Dec06 Nov17 Oct26 Sep28 Aug10 (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.50    
  (by HEARTWOOD out of EXPECT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
RIDEGOLD         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of GOLDEN MELODIE by GOLDENCENTS)
DARLIN TAMI         (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of HALO DARLIN by LUCKY PULPIT)
SEXY BLUE         (vega angel)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of HOT IN THE CITY by CITY ZIP)
LAVA LUCY Dec14         (mendez luis)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of ONE MORE SUMMER by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  MY SISTER LILLY         (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WIN THE SPACE out of SUNRISE AVENUE by CITY ZIP)
MIA PIA         (headley karen)MALDONADO E 122 20.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of SISTER ESPERANZA by STRONG HOPE)
EXPRESSIVE LOVE         (sanchez ama)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 12.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of LOVE ABOUNDS by NOT FOR LOVE)
CLUBHOUSE CUTIE         (kruljac e)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of TIZ MOLLY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
10  GOLD CURRENCY         (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of VIRTUAL CURRENCY by WILBURN)
 
SA-8   01/16/2025 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSIE FORECAST Oct25 Aug04 Jul01 May26 Apr23 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOONLIGHT TRYST Dec14 Aug02 Jun02 May12   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMELIA BLEU Nov29 Nov10 Oct13 Sep06 Aug15 (campuzano lorenzo)SMITH E 124 5.00    
SMOOTH AS BUTTER Nov29 Nov17 Sep29 Sep14 Sep05 (papaprodromou )LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) Jun01 May17 Apr11 Mar15 Jan12 (rheinford m)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00    
JAI HO Dec14 Nov17 Oct25 Aug09 Jun09 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
AUDITORY Nov29 Nov15 Oct25 Oct11 Sep05 (miyadi stev)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 10.00    
SABRES Dec13 Oct18 Sep06 Aug08 Jul28 (kitchingma)ORANTES R 117 15.00    
GEM MINE Nov17 Nov08 Oct18 Aug01 Dec01 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 73% 0.40    
10  BOLD CHOICE Nov22 Oct11 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 (knapp steve)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 6.00    
SCR  LEOPARDESS (GB) Nov29 Oct13 Sep06 Aug09 Jun07 (hess b)BAZE C 122 8.00    
SCR  TIANMA Oct31 Sep28 Aug03 Jun22 May26 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 12.00    
 
SA-9   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINING DISTRICT Dec07 Dec01 Nov10 Aug24 Aug08 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
NAUVOO Dec07 Oct31 Oct06 Sep13 Aug18 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 8.00    
SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Nov16 Oct31 Oct18 Sep15 Jul07 (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 117 12.00 5% 18.40    
PASS THE BATON Dec18 Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 Sep08 (mclean bill)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
MIO BAMBINO Dec08 Nov10 Oct19 Sep08 Aug02 (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  LIL RICHARDS BELLO Oct20 Sep01 Aug04 Mar24 Apr29 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
SPEED GRAZY Nov23 Oct31 Sep27 Aug23 Jul26 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
KERRY GOLD Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug09 (azcarate da)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00    
J DUTTON Dec07 Nov16 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 (bryant stev)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 20.00    
 
SA-10   01/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AURELIAN MAN Nov24 Oct20 Sep07 Aug01 Jun07 (marquez alfred)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
SBAGLIATO Nov22 Oct26 Oct11 Jun15 May05 (cerin vladimir)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
BIZZEE CHANNEL Nov16 Sep19 Sep04 Jul12 Jun23 (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.50 39% 1.50    
MAN FRIDAY Nov24 Oct06 Sep01 Aug04 Jun07 (cer)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 20.00    
GREAT KING (FR) Dec07 Nov24 Oct27 Feb24 Feb03 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 5.00 7% 12.70    
EXULTATION Nov24 Sep29 Jun30 Apr19 Feb10 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
SILENT HEAT Mar15 Feb17 Jan13 Nov17 Oct22 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEE CATCHER Dec06 Nov23 Nov15 Oct20 Sep01 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
MOODY JIM (IRE) Nov24 Oct20 Oct06 Sep01 Aug25 (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHOT OF COURAGE Dec18 Nov24 Nov08 Sep13 Aug22 (ledezma ser)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 10.00    
11  FLY THE SKY Nov09 Oct20 Sep27 Aug25 Jul27 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 30.00    
12  SYDNEY STREET (GB) Nov24 Aug25 Apr06 Feb03 Nov19 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00    
SCR  EASTBOUND Nov10 Oct20 Jun14 May04 Mar23 (ganbat ene)ORANTES R 117 30.00    
SCR  SO I'M TOLD Jan01 Nov19 Oct13 Aug10 Jul07 (valenzuela )AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.