Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/3/8/4)-(2/1/9/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-2   WIN (5/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/4)-(2/1/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/4)-(2/1/9/6/4)-(9/6/4/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-3   WIN (2/1/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/6/4)-(2/1/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/6/4)-(2/1/9/6/4)-(2/1/9/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/9/6/4)-(9/6/4/2/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/9/6/4)-(9/6/4/2/5)-(6/1/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-4   WIN (9/6/4/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/2/5)-(9/6/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/2/5)-(9/6/4/2/5)-(9/6/4/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/4/2/5)-(6/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/6/4/2/5)-(6/1/3)-(7/5/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(7/5/3/4)-(5/3/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/4)-(5/3/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/3/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/9)-(5/3/1/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/9)-(5/3/1/7/9)-(5/3/1/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATAGORA BAY Nov23 Oct26 Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SKY WALK by SKYWALKER)
2  HONEST Aug27 Aug11 Jul12 Jun21 Feb18 (h)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of ROCKINTOTHERHYTHM by BROAD BRUSH)
3  SECRET KNOCK Nov18 Oct26 Aug22 Jul20   (davis sha)TRIANA JR 123 4.50    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of GEM ON TOP by CONGRATS)
4  HELLO GOODBYE Nov26 Nov18 Oct04 Nov21 Nov01 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DEEDEEZEE by CONGRATS)
5  CIRCA STAR Dec07 Nov13 Sep19 Jul12 Jun07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  SISTER HONEY Sep24 Aug08 Apr21 Mar31 Aug31 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HONEY BUNNY by TAPIZAR)
 
HOU-2   01/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAIL TOWN Jan19 Oct21 Sep03 Aug10 Jun25 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
2  MAGNA TAP Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Aug22 (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 121 2.50    
3  BRILLIANT SPIN Nov26 Oct17 Sep18 Aug31 Jul26 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  LEVIATHAN AXE Nov26 Nov15 Oct31 Sep28 Sep06 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NO TROUBLE (IRE) Dec17 Nov04 Aug24 Jun14 May10 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 50% 1.00    
6  BALI ROLLING TIDE Nov29 Nov01 Sep28 Sep14 Aug13 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
7  GOLD PRIZE Nov30 Oct25 Oct03 Sep18 Aug23 (j)DE CRUZ 121 3.50    
8  SLEW SKIES Nov16 Oct16 Aug31 Aug13 Jul13 (gelner j)PARKER L 123 4.00 11% 8.40    
 
HOU-3   01/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN EAGLE Nov22 Oct10       (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by EAGLE out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
2  FAMOUS HIGHWAY Nov28         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by HIGHWAY TO FAME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  BAR HOPPIN BILLY Nov16 Oct24 Oct03 Aug17   (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of GOING AWAY BABY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
4  ROCK ISLAND ROCKET         (pish danny)PARKER L 122 10.00 8% 12.30    
  (by GORMLEY out of FOLLY ISLAND by LONE STAR SPECIAL)
5  WITT'S RINGER Nov30         (gourneau jer)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
  (by BELL RINGER out of MARYLYN'N MARYLOU by BOB AND JOHN)
6  BETTER EDGE Jul12 Jun28 Jun01     (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00 10% 9.40    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of BETTER THAN MO by UNCLE MO)
7  CONSESSION May12         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of BERN OBSESSION by BERNSTEIN)
8  HI PLAINS HUNK Nov18         (gelner jayde)ALVAREZ L 122 8.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of SEVENTH TEE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
9  CLOUDY PAST         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CONFESSA by REPENT)
 
HOU-4   01/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHTWIND Jul13 Jun14 May04 Apr05 Mar29 (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
2  FORT HOOD Dec11 Nov19 Jun23 Jun01 May10 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 6% 16.20    
3  BANDERA BLING Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 May12 Apr19 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
4  SHARP LORENZO Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 May10 Mar23 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00 6% 14.80    
5  I'M A COWBOY Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Aug26 Jul16 (pish danny)PARKER L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SON OF A BLING Jun28 Jun02 May12 Mar16 Feb17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  MISTER MONTE CARLO Sep11 Aug30 Aug09 Jun21 Jun09 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 8.00    
8  BLING MOUNTAIN Dec05 Nov06 Sep26 Sep06 Jul06 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 3.50    
9  TIGERS 'N BEARS Dec11 Nov22 Nov06 Oct04 Sep20 (pish danny)DIEGO V 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
10  TEAM GORMLEY Nov06 Oct04 Sep11 Aug30 Jun21 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 121 6.00    
 
HOU-5   01/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZ RITHYM Nov29 Nov13 Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 (y)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
2  MISTY MOOD Dec12 Nov14 Oct19 Sep21 Sep11 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
3  CALLIN FOR DOLLARS Oct30 Oct10 Sep26 Sep14 Aug20 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE'S A GOLD LADY Nov13 Oct25 Oct10 Sep11 Aug16 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 123 1.80    
SCR  COMMANDEERESS Nov02 Oct09 Sep21 Aug30 May19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
6  CHAINSAW CITY Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 Aug31 Jul07 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  HOLLYWOODBOULEVARD Oct24 Oct09 Sep11 Aug16 Jun22 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 4.50    
8  UTSIRA Oct30 Oct10 Sep14 Sep04 Aug20 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
 
HOU-6   01/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Darby's Daughter Division Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITYCITYBLINGBLING Jul07 Jun23 Jun01     (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 117 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SILVER IN THE CITY by SILVER CITY)
SCR  IMAGOLDENSONG         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 15.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of POSITIVE SPIN by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
3  MOONLIGHT GLOW Nov21         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHWAY TO FAME out of SLINGSHOTSLEW by MALIBU MOON)
4  STIRRING UP DUST Jul07 Jun01       (asmussen steven )PARKER L 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of DIXIE DUST by DIXIELAND HEAT)
5  EVENING EDGE Oct15         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of EVENING SHOW by DEVONGATE)
6  BLINGSTER Dec06 Jun01 May11     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 117 4.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPLENDORED by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  TEQUILA KISS Jul13 Jun01       (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SHEILA TEQUILA by INDEFATIGABLE)
8  EDGE CHASER Jun23 Jun01       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 117 10.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of CONQUEST BEBOP by SCAT DADDY)
 
HOU-7   01/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST My Dandy Division Purse ($75K) 3 C/G PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZABLING Dec15 Nov24       (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 117 5.00 ★    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
2  FREEWAY Nov22         (gelner j)PARKER L 117 20.00    
  (by HIGHWAY TO FAME out of BLOWIN YOUR MIND by SAINT AFLEET)
3  ROCKY ROCK IT Dec06 Nov18 Oct31 Oct10   (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 117 4.00 12% 7.20    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
4  MIKEL W         (padilla a)DIEGO V 117 30.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SOPHIA'S NIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  RING SEEKER Nov26 Sep29 Jul13 Jun01   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 0.80 65% 0.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MY ITALIAN RABBI by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
6  DAPILOT Nov16 Oct31 Oct10 Sep12   (pish danny)WETHEY JR 117 15.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of LISSOM by BRADESTER)
7  GOLDEN GRIT Dec06 Jul12 Jun28     (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLYING BY FAYTH by FLYING BARON)
8  KEYS GOLDEN SONG         (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of MISS PERDIDO KEY by BROKEN VOW)
9  RAGS ROYAL PRINZ Dec11 Jul12 Jun28 Jun01   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of PRINCESS Z OHSIX by PAYNTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.