Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Wednesday - December 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(1/4/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/4/5/9)-(7/3/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-2   WIN (1/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/9)-(1/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/9)-(1/4/5/9)-(1/4/5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/5/9)-(7/3/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/9)-(7/3/2/8)-(9/4/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PLN-3   WIN (7/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/8)-(7/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/8)-(7/3/2/8)-(7/3/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/2/8)-(9/4/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/8)-(9/4/6/7)-(7/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-4   WIN (9/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/7)-(9/4/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/7)-(9/4/5/6/7)-(9/4/5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (9/4/6/7)-(7/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/4/6/7)-(7/4/3)-(5/7/2/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PLN-5   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/5/1/3)-(7/4/5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(5/7/2/1/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(5/7/2/1/9)-(9/4/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PLN-6   WIN (5/7/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1/9)-(5/7/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1/9)-(5/7/2/1/9)-(5/7/2/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/7/2/1/9)-(9/4/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/1/9)-(9/4/7/2)-(2/7/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PLN-7   WIN (9/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/2)-(9/4/10/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/2)-(9/4/10/7/2)-(9/4/10/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (9/4/7/2)-(2/7/9/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/2)-(2/7/9/3)-(2/5/6/3/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PLN-8   WIN (2/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/3)-(2/7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/3)-(2/7/9/3)-(2/7/9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/9/3)-(2/5/6/3/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PLN-9   WIN (2/5/6/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3/10)-(2/5/6/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3/10)-(2/5/6/3/10)-(2/5/6/3/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-1   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST BOADIN Dec07 Nov09 Oct19 Aug04 Jun29 (haley gl)BAUTISTA L 118 20.00    
ALOHA CHROME Nov23 Nov02 Oct05 Sep02 Jul28 (rodriguez fr)OROZCO E 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRAVEL THE MAP Feb02 Dec01 Oct29 Dec30 Dec03 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 4.00    
ADIOS NICANOR Nov09 Oct19 Aug17 Jul07 Jun22 (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 3.00 18% 4.70    
MAJESTIC COTTON Nov09 Oct19 Sep13 Jul14 Jun28 (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.00 41% 1.40    
LIGHT THE BEAM Nov29 Oct19 Sep29 Apr20 Mar22 (thomas jam)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50    
 
PLN-2   12/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORSE DOCTOR Nov24 Jun23 Jun08 May19 Apr18 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 5.00 43% 1.30    
SATANTA Nov24 Nov10 Oct19 Oct06 Sep13 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
SCR  LASMUIGH (GB) Nov24 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 Nov18 (gilmo)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 30.00    
MAN OVERBOARD Dec01 Nov02 Oct04 Sep06 Aug11 (greiner gary)ALVARADO T 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
DEFENSE WINS Nov16 Oct13 Sep30 Sep07 Aug08 (gilmour jim)COUTON JULIEN 123 3.50 10% 9.30    
POUR ON THE COLE Nov29 Nov10 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 (puentes )BAUTISTA L 114 30.00    
SCR  LOOKOUT POINT Dec01 Nov08 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 121 30.00    
WOUND UP Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 Aug12 Jul21 (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 2.50    
IRREFUTABLE Nov30 Nov02 Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 (lenzini mic)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-3   12/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY AMIGO Nov24 Sep13 Aug17 Jul14 May20 (puent)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 8.00    
SARK Nov24 Aug02 Jul04 May12 Apr20 (h)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
THIRSTY FRIEND Nov24 Oct20 Oct05 Sep22   (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
DAPITAN STAR Jun13 May18 Apr20     (bonde jeff)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 12.00    
HYDROPLANE Dec08 Nov03 Aug17 Aug04   (haley gl)BAUTISTA L 114 6.00    
SCR  REMEMBER THAT NITE         (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 6.00    
GUAGUARERO Dec08 Nov03       (ruvalcab)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 1.00 61% 0.70    
UNA BRAVA         (preciado g)CRUZ DIAZ 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-4   12/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT BETTY Nov08 Oct25 Oct11 Jul26 Jun15 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
GADDING Dec01 Oct04 Aug09 Jun07 May10 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 12.00    
READY TO GIG Dec01 Nov08 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 (thomas jam)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
CASTAGNA Nov23 Oct27 Oct04 Aug10 Jul06 (o'neill )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
HARNEY LANE Dec01 Nov16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 (tamayo isidr)OROZCO E 123 6.00    
CRYPTO CRUSH Nov17 Jun24 May30 Apr24 Aug05 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
ACCLAIMED PREACHER Nov23 Oct19 Sep14 Jul28 Jun14 (truji)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUN FOR MY HONEY Nov17 Aug24 Jul05 May26 Jun17 (ordo)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 6.00    
OPEN SOUL AUTISM Dec01 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04   (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
PLN-5   12/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINERAL RIGHTS Nov23 Oct13 Jul13 Jun15 May31 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 2.50    
ABOVE THE FOLD Nov30 Nov23 Oct11 Sep14 Sep18 (ramirez miguel)HERRERA HUGO 123 8.00    
GEEJAYTEE Nov24 Nov10 Sep14 Aug02 Jun29 (bella)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
LEEDSTHESKY Nov24 Nov10 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
YOUR ROYAL FLYNESS Nov23 Oct27 Sep14 Jul07 Jun14 (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 125 3.00    
CONQUEST SECRET Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 (perez s)ALVARADO T 123 8.00    
MAGIC WANDERER Dec06 Mar09 Jan15 Dec29 Nov19 (miyadi steven)FLORES P 125 8.00 76% 0.30    
SCR  UNION HARBOR Nov08 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 Jul27 (thomas jamey)OROZCO E 125 4.00    
BLUE BREEZE Aug18 May27 May05 Mar31 Mar10 (haley gl)BAUTISTA L 118 10.00    
10  TIZTHEHARTOFDIXIE Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 Sep14 Sep01 (mcdonald mela)COUTON JULIEN 125 30.00    
 
PLN-6   12/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZELAIA Oct27 Oct11 Aug11 Aug03 May12 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
REMEMBER SUE Nov16 Oct27 Sep21 Jun21 Sep18 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 5.00 6% 15.00    
BOURBON GLAZE Nov23 Oct25 Sep15 Aug11 Jul06 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 8.00    
A CROWN FOR KITTEN Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 Aug23 Aug03 (maravilla jor)SANGUINETTI A 121 20.00    
TURA LURA Nov23 Nov01 Sep21 Aug03 Jun09 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 1.40 41% 1.40    
CLAY'S OPAL INDY Nov30 Nov23 Nov10 Oct25 Oct12 (perez se)BAUTISTA L 114 30.00    
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Nov23 Nov01 Oct06 Jul28 Jul04 (greiner ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00 26% 2.80    
KITTEN'S KID Nov23 Nov01 Oct25 Aug17 Jul07 (trujillo ma)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 15.00    
SHELBY GOLD Nov16 Oct27 Sep08 Aug25 Aug03 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  POINT AND SHOOT Sep21 Aug17 Apr28 Mar08 Feb16 (thomas r)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 8.00    
 
PLN-7   12/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BET Nov23 Nov03 Sep05 Aug17 Aug02 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 3.00    
UNBRIDLED RHYTHM Dec07 Nov23 Nov03 Sep13 Aug17 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRACEFUL MISCHIEF May26 May11 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 (preci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 30.00    
BABY WAYLON Sep07 Aug10 Dec31 Nov26 Oct21 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
ELEGANT BOY Nov23 Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 Sep22 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 20.00    
WESTERN CAPE Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 Aug25 (miller quenti)COUTON JULIEN 125 15.00    
DRINKS AT THE CLUB Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Sep13 Aug17 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
KAMAINA CRUISER Nov03 Sep28 Sep01 Jun29 Jun01 (jauregui o )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 30.00    
MAXIMUM CAPACITY Nov29 Oct26 Sep22 Aug23 Jun14 (rodriguez )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
10  CROWN MAGIC Nov23 Oct26 Aug16 Jul28 Jun30 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 4.50    
 
PLN-8   12/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC DROP Nov24 Nov01 Oct14 Sep28 Aug04 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00    
PASS THE BATON Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 Sep08 Aug16 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
COUSIN RICHIE Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 Aug04 Jul07 (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 127 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN RIVER Dec01 Nov09 Oct06 Sep14 Sep01 (ruvalcaba albe)HERRERA HUGO 123 12.00    
BEAUTY N THE BOLT Nov23 Oct18 Sep08 Aug23 Jun28 (mccanna tim)FLORES P 120 2.50    
J. B. BOOKS Nov24 Oct14 Apr06 Mar01 Jan06 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 123 12.00    
TRUSTY RUSTY Nov24 Nov01 Oct14 Sep28 Sep08 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 8.00 33% 2.00    
VERITAS AEQUITAS Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 Aug04 Jun21 (mark)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 10.00    
SHOT OF COURAGE Nov24 Nov08 Sep13 Aug22 Jul28 (l)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 5.00 9% 10.50    
 
PLN-9   12/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE AND WHISKY Nov24 Nov08 Oct11 Oct04 Aug02 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
SEA OF LIBERTY Nov29 Nov10 Oct14 Sep23 Sep08 (gilmour jim)COUTON JULIEN 125 4.00 62% 0.60    
AMANOFMYSTATURE Nov29 Nov08 Oct11 Oct04 Aug18 (lenz)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
GORDY'S BOY Dec01 Nov01 Oct12 Sep21 Sep08 (preciado gui)OROZCO E 125 12.00    
BROTHER O' BRIEN Nov15 Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 Jun28 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 123 3.00 8% 11.10    
COOPERKLIMT Dec06 Nov17 Oct04 Sep21 Jul27 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUPERMAZEL Nov24 Oct25 Sep02 Jul20 Jun16 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
OH GREAT (IRE) Dec01 Nov24 Nov08 Oct11 Sep21 (maravill)BAUTISTA L 118 10.00    
HEAT N REHEAT Nov10 Oct04 Sep21 Jul21 Jun07 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 3.50    
10  NORTH COUNTRY Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 Sep13 May05 (badilla manue)SANGUINETTI A 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.