Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fanduel Racing
Tuesday - October 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAN-1   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(4/1/3)-(2/3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-3   WIN (2/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7)-(2/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/7)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/7)-(2/5/4)-(5/6/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FAN-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/6/2/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/6/2/8/3)-(6/4/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FAN-5   WIN (5/6/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/8/3)-(5/6/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/8/3)-(5/6/2/8/3)-(5/6/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/2/8/3)-(6/4/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/8/3)-(6/4/7/1)-(4/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FAN-6   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1/3)-(6/4/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/1)-(4/5)-(8/9/6/1/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FAN-7   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(8/9/6/1/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
FAN-8   WIN (8/9/6/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/1/5)-(8/9/6/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/1/5)-(8/9/6/1/5)-(8/9/6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAN-1   10/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISTILLED FOCUS         (appleton josh)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of IN FOCUS by TIZWAY)
2  MIDNITE ALEX Oct08         (burdess t)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of HAVANA STROLL by STROLL)
3  DIRTY THOUGHTS Oct08         (wells duan)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TUMBADORA by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  TRICKY MOMENT Oct08 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Jul15 (martin dawn)SAMPSON KIM 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of ESSENTIA by HAT TRICK (JPN))
5  STORMY ATTACK Sep10 Aug24       (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MISS GIGI by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
6  ALLEGRISSIMO Sep23 Sep14 Aug09 Jul26   (arnett jon )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of FAST MACHINE by DROSSELMEYER)
7  BOUJI IS A WORD Oct11 Sep26       (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 117 5.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SILVER THREADS by UNION RAGS)
8  HEARTBREAK GAME Oct03         (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SURPRISE GUEST by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
FAN-2   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THINK BLUE Oct13 Sep22 Sep05 Jul06 May25 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  DOROTA Aug20 Jul06 May28 May11 Apr16 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00    
3  QUILTING PARTY Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr14 (childe)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
4  GHALY POSSE Aug31 Aug13 Jul13 Jun11 May04 (becker scott)WALES T 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  MAMBA OUT Sep24 Sep07 Aug13 Jul27 Jul06 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 6.00    
SCR  JOLIE RULER Sep21 Sep05 Jul27 Jul06 Jun16 (martinez a)LOPEZ A 124 3.00    
 
FAN-3   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUE TRIBE         (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
2  ISABELLA'S BEAUTY Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug04   (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  WILDWOOD ENCORE Oct08 Sep21 Aug31     (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
4  DERBY DAY GOLD Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul27 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 126 4.50    
5  HIGHLAND GIRL Oct08 Sep17 Aug06     (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 6.00    
6  HOT N FRESH Nov14 Nov07 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 (fridley stev)GILES EMMANUEL 126 8.00    
7  W W LAST HURRAH Oct08 Sep17 Aug06 Jun30   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  IZZY GAP A RONI Oct06         (dizeo )BAILON JADHIR 120 8.00    
 
FAN-4   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROW STRIKE Oct05 Sep10 Aug27 Jul30 Jun08 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.50    
2  SANTINO'S FANTASY Oct05 Sep24 Sep03 Jul27 Jul13 (martinez a)LOPEZ A 126 4.00 53% 0.90    
3  SEMINOLE BEACH Oct05 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug03 (blea jr)DIEGO JAVIER 126 5.00    
4  SWISS GUARD Oct05 Sep14 Aug27 Aug13 Jul27 (plasters lori)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  KING DOODLE Oct05 Sep14 Apr16 Nov04 Oct17 (becker scott)WALES T 126 3.00 19% 4.40    
6  MOHAAFETH Oct10 Sep12 Aug25 Jul28 Jul18 (dorochenk)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.50    
 
FAN-5   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARNACK ON TOUR Oct08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul16 Jul02 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 5.00    
2  FLYHERBFLYHIGH Jul15 Jun19 Jun08 Mar08 Feb18 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  PIRATE MARMALADE Sep24 Aug03 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (lynch harry )GILES EMMANUEL 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HALF THE BATTLE Oct08 Sep24 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (lamew l)LOPEZ A 126 8.00    
5  DOUBLE DRIBBLE Oct08 Sep21 Sep05 Aug03 Jul06 (hernandez arma)COLON H 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  GONE AGAIN Oct08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug17 Aug03 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.00 33% 2.10    
7  CELIA'S CIRCLE Oct13 Aug03 Jul13 Sep04 Jul01 (zawitz)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 6.00    
8  FLYING CRICKET Oct13 Sep19 Aug29 Aug18 Oct21 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BUBBY BOY Apr21 Apr06 Mar07 Feb25 Feb24 (lynch e)SAMPSON KIM 126 10.00    
 
FAN-6   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUMPERDOO Oct03 Sep15 Jul16 Jun11 May29 (arnett jon )ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  MINNESOTA MOON Oct12 Oct01 Aug24 Jul11 Jun18 (quinonez m)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 4.50    
3  THE LAST FACT Jan06 Dec09 Sep23 Jul26 Jul04 (laux clay)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 6.00 ★    
4  EMPTY HOLSTER Oct01 Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 May18 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00 15% 5.50    
5  MKAR THE FAST Oct12 Sep14 Aug29 Jul20 Jun29 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 126 3.50    
6  OFF TO THE RACES Oct05 Sep03 Aug20 Jul20 Jun19 (watkin)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  UGLY DUCKLING Aug26 Jul19 Jun02 Feb10 Jan14 (eubanks richard)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 10.00 15% 5.60    
8  DEMAND RANSOM Oct13 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug25 (hughes)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 8.00    
9  AFRICAN WARRIOR Sep24 Sep14 Sep03 Jul30 Jul13 (wilborn kevin)SAMPSON KIM 126 10.00    
 
FAN-7   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Oct01 Jun21 Jun05 Apr13 Mar07 (becker scott)WALES T 124 5.00    
2  W W HOTSHOT Oct06 Aug13 Jul07 May26 May04 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 1.80    
SCR  COMISKEY PARK Aug15 Jul28 Jun22 May27 Apr16 (hernandez arma)DIEGO JAVIER 124 2.00    
4  DEVIL'S TOWER Oct02 Sep12 Aug13 Jul23 Jul07 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  KEEN CAT Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun13 May20 (arnett jon )ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
FAN-8   10/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEEPY CAT Aug03 Jul06 Jun04 Sep19 Aug06 (wells duane)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BABAS GAL Oct08 Sep01 Aug20 Aug08 Jul18 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 6.00    
3  IT'S ON Oct01 Sep17 Sep11 Aug10 Jul23 (bahena fernando)LOPEZ A 120 8.00    
4  GREEN GRACE Oct08 Sep07 Aug20 Aug03 Jul23 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.50    
SCR  HOLY STAR Oct13 Sep05 Aug18 Aug06 Jul18 (weir g)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ERNESTINA Oct08 Sep01 Aug08 Jul21 Jul11 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00 8% 11.00    
7  WILDWOOD DOROTHY Oct08 Sep17 Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 (becker scott)WALES T 120 6.00    
8  NAPABIT Jun22 May14 Apr16 Jul11 Jun25 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
9  COLLECT A LIL Oct08 Sep21 Aug13 Jul20 Jul05 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
10  STARSOVERPARADISE Oct08 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.