Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Albuquerque
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ALB-1   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ALB-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-4   WIN (1/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ALB-1   10/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.6K) 2 F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY THUNDER Jun15         (morales)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 2.50 57% 0.70    
2  LUCKY SHOT ANNIE Sep05 Aug02 Jun07     (g)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STORMY RYTHM Oct02 Aug31 Aug02     (bart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.50    
4  BOSSES NIGHTMARE Aug02         (torres-casas )ZAVALA JULIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAPELLO SWEETEE         (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 120 4.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  SALSA AMERICANA Sep22 Aug31       (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 10.00    
7  DO IT FOR DANNY Sep25 Jul20       (pierce th)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 15.00    
8  BONNIE MAE'S MARK Sep25 Aug18 Aug02 Jun07   (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 5.00    
SCR  K W AMERIKOVA Aug31 Aug02       (singh johnny)MEDINA ANTHONY 120 20.00    
10  LIVELY LADY Sep05         (macvittie william)CARRENO J 120 25.00    
 
ALB-2   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CHUMELITO Sep12 Aug24 Jul27 Jun22 Jun01 (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 124 6.00    
SCR  WHERES BRAYDEN Sep29 Sep22 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00    
3  READY TO STORM Oct11 Sep25 Aug24 Jun14 May18 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
4  BLUEGRASS FAITH Sep26 Aug24 Aug03 Jul21 Jun30 (crotts e)VALDEZ S 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  MY GOOD GOOD BOY Sep25 Sep08 May11 Apr20 Feb23 (sedillo car)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
6  SILVERBULLITBADGER Sep12 Aug25 Aug04 May19 May05 (olguin ever)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TEQUILA TIME Sep12 Aug24 May19 Apr28 Mar28 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 3.00    
 
ALB-3   10/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOODWINKED KATE Sep07 Aug17 Aug02 Jul20 Jun09 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 3.50    
SCR  MS. POUNDS Nov14         (green greg)MEDELLIN A 122 4.50    
3  RAEGAN'S STORM Sep12 Aug02       (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
4  SCARY CHERRY May19 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01   (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  CANDY TRACK Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Aug02 (eliott )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUSSUMS GIRL Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 May19 Jan26 (amparan alb)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
7  LEONAS GIRL Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 Sep07 Jul08 (m)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
8  RUN AWAY BAY Aug23 Jul27 Mar29 Feb09 Jan05 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
 
ALB-4   10/19/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Downs At Albuquerque Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLOAD Sep29 Aug16 Jul06 May18 Apr28 (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 123 1.60 32% 2.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNTAPPED by MALABAR GOLD)
2  GIANT GAME Sep15 Aug11 Jul27 Jun12 Apr13 (cappellucci di)REYES R 121 3.50    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of GAME FOR MORE by MORE THAN READY)
3  TRUTH SEEKER Sep29 Aug31 Apr23 Apr11 Mar14 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  BENDER Sep29 Jun16 May19 Apr07 Mar15 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of BEND by ARCH)
5  HENRY ON THE RUN Sep14 Jul20 May19 Apr07 Mar08 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 117 10.00 20% 4.10    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of PRAIRIE MOONLIGHT by PREMEDITATION)
6  MINE THAT STAR Sep29 Aug16 Jul06 Jun08 May10 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 4.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MINING MY OWN by SMART STRIKE)
7  SHOTSHELL Sep29 Aug12 Jul26 Jul08 Jun14 (g)DE CRUZ 117 10.00 11% 8.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.