Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - October 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(1/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(1/4/2/3)-(6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/3)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/3)-(6/3/1)-(3/4/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/4/2/7)-(6/4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(6/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(6/4/7/1)-(2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/1)-(2/4/5)-(6/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(6/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(6/5/8)-(3/4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-7   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
PRX-8   WIN (3/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/7/2/5)-(3/4/7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   10/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO CHLOE GO Sep25 Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 (gonzalez-milian jo)CARTER T 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  JUMP A FOX Sep18 Aug29 Jul26 Jul17 Jul04 (meister wi)SANCHEZ J 125 3.00    
3  DREAMINGOFFREEDOM Sep27 Aug26 Jul28 Apr02 Mar13 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 10.00 7% 12.50    
4  JAMAICAN MI HAZEL Sep18 Aug21 Apr09 Mar27 Mar12 (smith ever)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 20.00    
5  RACEY RUBY Sep23 Sep01 Jul10     (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 1.20 51% 0.90    
6  JESS'S MOMENT Sep25 Sep11 Aug24 May11 Apr18 (caban e)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 4.00    
7  INCAN MOON GODDESS Sep30 Sep09       (diaz jorge)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
PRX-2   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITAEMI Oct01 Sep24 Jul03 Jun08 May13 (serey juan)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 1.20 62% 0.60    
2  LULINDA'S HEART Sep11 Aug27 Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CUP OF LIFE Sep30 Sep10 Jul24 Jul09 Jun08 (hamilton stephe)BOWMAN ADAM 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIL' LATE LUCK Sep09 Aug21 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 (pino v)AGUILAR JEAN 117 12.00 10% 9.50    
5  BELLA MARIA Sep30 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Jul09 (hogan william )ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 15.00    
6  SIRENETTA Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.50    
7  AWESOME PAL Sep25 Sep18 Aug28 Jul09 Jun24 (rodriguez i)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 1.80    
 
PRX-3   10/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ODE TO EDIE Sep30 Aug20 Jul09     (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  MAHER Feb21 Jan10 Nov06     (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 119 2.50    
3  PROBLEMS ABOUND Oct01 Jul03 Jun17 May18 Apr24 (mosco r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 2.00 14% 6.30    
4  ROYAL UPSTART Oct01 Sep11 Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 119 3.50    
5  VICTORIOUSVICTORIA Oct01 Sep21 Sep04 Aug24 Jul22 (ashton)GONZALEZ JR 119 20.00    
6  PESADILLA CHANEL Sep30 Sep13 Sep02 Aug11 Oct26 (avila juan )VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
PRX-4   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCO DAISY Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Aug07 Jul03 (padilla hugo)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
2  DENALI RAE Jun11 May18 Apr01 Mar04 Feb19 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 1.60 14% 6.30    
3  VALIANT MAJESTY Sep04 Aug20 Aug01 Jul02 Jun11 (soto- martine)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  SANSA ARIEL Sep30 Sep08 Aug07 Apr14 Mar22 (tzortzakis e)AGUILAR JEAN 117 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  ANGELIC STORM Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Jul24 Jul03 (soto- martinez)CORREA JULIO 122 6.00    
6  MISS ALEX Sep30 Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Aug02 (chacon gustavo)MOYA F 122 20.00    
7  AKNA Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Jul24 Jul09 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-5   10/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRAL VIDEO Sep18 Aug28 Jun25 Feb26 Feb05 (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIR PALACE PRINCE Sep18 Aug17 Aug10 Jul03 Jun17 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 122 4.00    
SCR  END THE VIOLENCE Sep23 Sep04 Jul15     (st lewis)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00    
4  BAD ADVICE Mar24 Feb11       (crook-d)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 6% 15.10    
5  DIRTY HARRY Sep18 Aug01 Jul17 Jul02 Jun04 (wyner ha)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00    
6  HARP'S HOT CORNER Sep17 Aug26 May23     (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 1.60 61% 0.60    
7  TRACK OF MY TEARS Sep19 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HEAT ALERT Sep18 Sep04 Jul10     (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50    
 
PRX-6   10/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY AT SAM'S Sep25 Aug26 Aug02 Jul24 Jul08 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 2.50    
2  MR SANDMAN Sep16 Aug19 Jul08 Jun11 May22 (castillo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  LET'S GO MARK Sep23 Sep07 Aug18 Aug10 Jun29 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 3.50    
4  PRINCE COLTON Sep17 Sep02 Aug27 Jul23 Jun18 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00 29% 2.40    
5  SMOKIN HOLIDAY Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 Jun26 May29 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  WAR MASTER Oct08 Sep21 Sep07 Aug23 Dec09 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
7  ENFORCER Oct02 Sep04 Aug19 Jul23 Jun16 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 5.00    
 
PRX-7   10/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR GOLD Aug26 Jul23 Jun25 May07 Apr16 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
SCR  SHOWSTOPPER COPPER Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 Jul12   (lingenfel)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00    
SCR  NOTICE OF ACTION Dec27 Nov28 Oct25 Sep23 Aug21 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 8.00    
4  OUR PRIDE N JOY Mar03 Feb11 Dec16 Nov23 Jul30 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 122 20.00    
5  RIVER DOG Sep21 Aug18 Jun29 May26 Apr20 (breen kell)RIVERA R 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  MAXIMUS MERIDIUS Sep21 Aug24 Jun24 Jun08 May05 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  DON'T WAIT UP Oct01 Sep02 Aug08 Jul07 Jun25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 5.00    
8  TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Sep23 Aug21 Aug01 Jul12 Jun02 (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Oct01 Sep02 Jun25 Jun07 May17 (lake a)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
 
PRX-8   10/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETH'S WAR SONG Sep23         (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of VELOCE CANZONE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  MOMMA PIC         (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ANGELIC LIONESS by LION HEART)
3  RINGER CARD Sep23 Aug27 Aug21 Jul17   (preciado)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of BROKEN BLUES by BROKEN VOW)
4  FLAGRUNNER Sep23 Aug19 Jul24     (flores-coba )HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of YIPPEE by PERUVIAN)
5  IMAGINE ERIN         (cole-davis tina)RUIZ ELISEO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of ERIN'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  HOPPERTUNITY'S GAL         (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MCCLEAN'S GAP by DIXIE UNION)
7  BOSSY KATE Sep25 Sep08 Aug19 Jul17 Jul01 (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 122 5.00 ★    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PIONEER KATE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  SUNNY SIDE UP Sep25 Sep11 Aug19 Apr01 Feb27 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of RUNNIN ON SUNSHINE by GRAYDAR)
9  JOYFUL SONG Sep23         (curry dee)MOYA F 122 6.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SONG OF JOY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.