Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lethbridge
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LBG-3   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-4   WIN (7/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/8)-(7/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/8)-(7/6/1/8)-(7/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-6   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-7   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LBG-3   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA'S IMAGE Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Oct15 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 5.00    
HASHTAGUGOTTHIS Oct06 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 Jul14 (blattler c)APANGO JOSE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOUND TO BE SMART Oct07 Sep25 Sep10 Aug31 Aug03 (mike christophe)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
SCR  NORTHERN MISSILE Oct05 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 (weaselhead go)FUENTES FREDY 124 8.00    
DAREDEVIL PRINCESS Sep07 Sep01 Jul27 Jul13 Jun28 (daychief mi)GORDON GARFIELD 124 7.00 11% 7.90    
EVIL TEMPTATION Sep15 Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jun30 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
MIAMI SOUVENIRS Oct06 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
ROSES FOR SUZZETT Sep02 Aug17 Aug09 Jul28 Jul20 (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 3.00    
 
LBG-4   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOCKAZULU Sep21 Jul28 Jul20 Jun29 Oct02 (birdrattler)EDWARDS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
JAKE THE GREAT Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul27 Jul01 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 124 5.00    
HEY JASPER Oct05 Sep28 Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 7.00    
SCR  MR. PICKLES Sep28 Sep14 Aug09 Jun28 Jun09 (gardipy ra)APANGO JOSE 124 15.00    
REPLETE Oct06 Sep24 Sep18 Sep11 Aug26 (ferguson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.80    
BLUE JEANS N BEER Oct06 Sep21 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 (depew jim)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 19% 4.20    
CATS TOUCH Oct05 Sep21 Sep14 Sep02 Aug18 (calfrobe shawn)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
MINDSHARE Aug18 Jul01 Jun09 Apr02 Mar06 (mead colten)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LBG-6   10/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Farewell Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHLINGS Sep29 Sep14 Aug25 Aug11 Jun29 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPRING PARTY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  FATHER O'FLAHERTY Sep29 Sep14 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 (cameron )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of HEAT THE ROCKS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
CHAMPION BY DESIGN Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul27 Jun15 (fike cait)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by JUMP START out of MORE THAN THIS by DIXIELAND HEAT)
SIMMS Sep28 Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 (shearer krista )APANGO JUAN 124 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of QUARTER MOON by SADLER'S WELLS)
SABURO'S GRACE Sep29 Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul13 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by SABURO out of MIZ GRAYCEE by MIZZEN MAST)
MAYBE SOMETIME Sep28 Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
  (by DESERT CODE out of TOOMANYTOMORROWS by FRENCH DEPUTY)
 
LBG-7   10/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Farewell Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Sep29 Sep14 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 (calfrobe )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of DEPUTY MISS by DEPUTY MINISTER)
ABRAA JABRAA Sep29 Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by ABRAAJ out of HOLY MAMA by HOLY BULL)
LANDRY KYLE Sep29 Sep14 Aug25 Jul14 Jun22 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.50    
  (by KIPLING out of LE GRAND FROMAGE by WAR)
CHICLE SPARKS Sep29 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Jun16 (mohindee mankumar)ROCHA O 124 12.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of PRIVATE VIEW by MR. PROSPECTOR)
THE COMRIE RULE Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 (brown alle)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STAR CHANT by MR. GREELEY)
I'M OUTTA HERE Sep28 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 10.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of GIMPY by HOLD THAT TIGER)
FILLY FATALE Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Aug12 (miyashiro tan)FUENTES FREDY 124 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of GIRLWITHAGUN by ROSBERG)
KATE'S PRINCESS Sep29 Sep18 Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 (cameron )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by LUCKY PULPIT out of COULD BE TROUBLE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.