Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (7/10/3/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/3/2/4)-(7/10/3/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/3/2/4)-(7/10/3/2/4)-(7/10/3/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/3/2/4)-(1/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/10/3/2/4)-(1/2/5)-(7/2/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(7/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(7/2/3/1)-(3/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-3   WIN (7/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/1)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/1)-(3/1/4)-(10/4/3/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(10/4/3/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(10/4/3/6/2)-(6/4/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-5   WIN (10/4/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/3/6/2)-(10/4/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/3/6/2)-(10/4/3/6/2)-(10/4/3/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/3/6/2)-(6/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/3/6/2)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/1/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/5)-(6/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SA-7   WIN (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/2)-(2/8/11/5/7)-(5/10/6/4/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-8   WIN (2/8/11/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/11/5/7)-(2/8/11/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/11/5/7)-(2/8/11/5/7)-(2/8/11/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/11/5/7)-(5/10/6/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
SA-9   WIN (5/10/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/6/4/2)-(5/10/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/6/4/2)-(5/10/6/4/2)-(5/10/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/13/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOWDONIA Sep08 Aug18 Jun13     (blacke)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CAMBRIA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  JIMMY B         (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MEET AND GREET by TRIBAL RULE)
3  SOI NGERN Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 May12   (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 122 4.50 14% 6.30    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHAO CHOM by TIZBUD)
4  IRON (FR)         (mccarthy w)BAZE C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOTTSASS out of MELIJA by MONSUN)
5  MAX N' LOU         (garcia franci)VALDIVIA JR 122 30.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of HUGH ACHOO by MILWAUKEE BREW)
6  TAPIT DYNASTY Sep07         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 122 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CONFESSING by SCAT DADDY)
7  CHARLIE'S TO BLAME Sep07         (eurton pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by BLAME out of SILENT BOND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  LOCH N' PHAROAH         (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LOCHINVAR'S GOLD by SEEKING THE GOLD)
9  CANYAHEARMEKNOCKIN Aug24 Jul27 Jun29     (blacker danie)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ALL ABOUT ALLISON by CITY ZIP)
10  UNBREAKABLE TRUST Aug18         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by ACCELERATE out of KITTYLUCK by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
SA-2   10/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARTHOLDY Sep08 Aug15 Jul20 Jun15 Jun01 (knapp steve)BAZE C 121 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  SULLY May27 Apr20 Jan15 Nov13   (shirreffs john)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SCUSAMI by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  JUST BEFORE DAWN         (baffer)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 1.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNENCHANTEDEVENING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  EXTENSIVE         (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 15.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CLOTHES FALL OFF by DAAHER)
5  DAGGER RANCH Jul20 Aug05       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 6% 16.00    
  (by CURLIN out of INDIAN BLESSING by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  SEMPER INVICTUS Aug22 Jul26 Jun22     (ellis ronald )VALDIVIA JR 121 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MASASI by MORE THAN READY)
 
SA-3   10/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S SPLENDID Sep19 May16 Apr19 Mar09 Feb08 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHEEKY GAL Sep02 Feb23 Feb02 Dec17 Nov10 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  FALABELLA (IRE) Sep20 Aug11 Jul04 Mar01 Dec13 (kruljac j )GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 10.00 14% 6.00    
4  ENGLISH DANGER Sep06 Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 Apr20 (quinonez ro)HERRERA A 119 5.00    
5  AMELIA BLEU Sep06 Aug15 Jul05 Oct28 Sep08 (campuzano lorenzo)FREY KYLE 119 4.00    
6  LEOPARDESS (GB) Sep06 Aug09 Jun07 Feb15 Jan12 (hess b)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 3.50    
7  ISABEL LUDLOW Sep27 Jul14 Jun22 May18 May03 (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
SA-4   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUSHINESS Aug24 Jul26 Jul04 Sep09 Aug06 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 1.60 26% 2.90    
2  DON'T JU FORGET Mar03 Feb03 Jan05 Nov24 Nov10 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50    
3  NOKIE Sep02 Aug04 Feb02 Jan12 Nov23 (cerin vladimi)VALDIVIA JR 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  BOLT D'VINE Sep01 Aug04 May18     (damato philip)FREY KYLE 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
5  BECKY'S DREAM (FR) Nov10 Oct21 Jun17 May27   (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 119 12.00    
6  REPORT Aug04 Oct27 Oct07     (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00    
 
SA-5   10/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 35 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATS THE BUZZ Aug24 Jun07 Apr27     (galvin bren)HERRERA A 121 20.00    
2  THE SCENT Aug25 Aug08       (aguirre pau)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUSSELLS HUSTLE Sep01 Aug15 Jun08 May24 Aug26 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 125 10.00 8% 11.70    
4  BROADWAY UNIONS Sep13 Aug15 May19 Apr26 Aug17 (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 125 4.50 10% 9.20    
5  BOLT'S TREASURE Sep08         (ruis s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 20.00    
6  RESEMBLANCE Sep21 Sep15       (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  IN SUSPENSE Aug11 Jul25 Jun01 May05 Apr06 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 121 15.00    
8  SWEET ODYSSEY Jul25 Jun08       (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
9  EMPIRE'S CLASSIC Aug11 Jun15 May19 Mar29 Jan21 (garcia francis)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00    
10  NUCLEAR Aug25 Aug03 Jun01 Apr20 Apr09 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 1.60 61% 0.60    
SCR  QUALITY WINS Aug25 Jul25 Jun15 May24 Jun18 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 125 4.00    
 
SA-6   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 35 M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOOREA TIME Jul04 Jun15 May03 Feb19 Nov20 (mandella gary)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.50    
2  ULTRA GAME         (blacker dani)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 121 15.00    
3  TIZ LISSETT Sep06 Aug24 Aug02     (lopez l)BAZE C 121 10.00 22% 3.60    
4  WISHES TO RICHES Aug02 Apr21 Mar17 Jan14   (damato philip)FREY KYLE 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
5  TINY PRANCER Sep08 Jun15 Apr06     (blacker dan)HERRERA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  UPTOWN PREACHER         (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  MAYACAMA Aug09         (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
SCR  RHYME OR REASON Oct15 Aug06       (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 15.00    
 
SA-7   10/13/2024 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM California Flag Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY PODRES Sep28 Aug31 Aug03 May26 Apr21 (barocio lib)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 1.80 16% 5.10    
  (by GRAZEN out of MALIBU HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  BARELY FUNTIONAL Sep07 Aug03 May25 May05 Apr06 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
3  HACKING IT UP Sep29 Sep01 Aug03 Jun16 Oct09 (papaprodromou)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HACKTIVISM by SQUARE EDDIE)
4  LAST CALL LONDON Aug24 Aug02 Apr06 Mar14 Feb11 (miller peter)CEDILLO ABEL 114 30.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ZO LO'S LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
SCR  BIG BET JAFINSAFA Aug18 Jul26 Jun16 May03 Apr06 (gaines carla)MALDONADO E 117 15.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of HEAT TRAP by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  ON THE WHIM Sep07 Aug03 Jun16 Apr27 Mar08 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of WHIMSY by MARIA'S MON)
7  FAST BUCK Sep28 Aug31 Aug02 Sep02 May27 (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
  (by GALLANT SON out of ZORRA ROJA by FALSTAFF (IRE))
8  NONE ABOVE THE LAW Aug31 Aug03 Jun22 May25 Apr20 (periban jorge)SMITH E 122 5.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of LEGALLY BLANCA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
9  SO I'M TOLD Aug10 Jul07 Jun23 May12 Apr06 (valenzuela )AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 15.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of BAS by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
SA-8   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWPORT DREAMZ Sep02         (yakteen )ELLINGWOOD A 120 15.00    
2  GRACIE'S BIG DAY Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 (ellis rona)ORANTES R 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  SKYLIGHT RIDE Aug25         (lewis a)BAZE C 120 10.00    
4  ON TIME TAM Sep15 Aug08 Jul06     (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 8.00    
5  RYAN'S GIRL         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 120 20.00 16% 5.10    
6  SUNSET GRAZEN Aug16         (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
7  NEPAL         (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  APPLE VALLEY GIRL Sep15 Aug16 Jul26     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 17% 4.70    
9  TROPICAL RAIN DAY Sep02 Jul26 Jun15 May26   (garcia vict)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00    
SCR  GOING WITH HER Sep07         (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00    
11  STANFORD HOTTIE Sep13 Aug11       (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 120 10.00 17% 4.70    
12  DADDYGAVEITTOME Sep13 Aug22 Aug01     (alvarez edw)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 20.00    
SCR  HEARTS FANTASY Sep21 Sep02 Aug10     (moger jr)CEDILLO ABEL 120 30.00    
 
SA-9   10/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 35 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUND TO SUCCEED Aug11 Jun14 Mar29 Feb18   (eurton)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 12.00    
2  MONGOLIAN CHAMP Sep01 Aug15 Jul28 Feb23 Dec26 (ganbat enebish)MALDONADO E 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIR MAXIMUS Aug25 Aug11 Jun01 Oct08 Aug12 (periban jorge)BAZE C 121 10.00    
4  ELIGIO Apr26 Apr05 Mar01 Jan27 Dec02 (oviedo phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ONE TIME MARK Aug11 Jul20 Jun01 May04 Mar04 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 125 3.50 62% 0.60    
6  ANDREADYTORUMBLE Aug31 Jul26 Jul04 Sep10 Aug24 (miller pete)HERRERA A 121 4.00 7% 12.70    
7  CLASSICALLY Aug03 Jun15 Jul30 Jul08 May12 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50    
8  UNCHARTED Jul04 Jun15 Apr07 Feb18 Jan06 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 121 30.00    
10  KAWAZAKI (IRE) Jun04 May14 Sep30 Sep03 Jun18 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 2.50 7% 12.60    
11  STORMIN MIDNIGHT Aug26 Jul23 Jun07 May11 Mar10 (garcia francis)CEDILLO ABEL 125 20.00    
SCR  ENGLISH ICON Sep29 Aug31       ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.