Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTD-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTD-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/4/3/5)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTD-8   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/5)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-9   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/3/6/4)-(1/2/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-4   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 34 C/G PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIOTIC FREEDOM Aug03 May25 May04 Aug25 Aug05 (kingston c)BRYAN D 124 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MISS MARSHA LYNN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  LUCKY FORCE Sep07 Aug26 Aug05 Jul05 Jun15 (macpherson c)HUGHES RASHEED 124 0.60 62% 0.60    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of CHECK POINT by POSSE)
3  ITSALLGOODMAN Sep14 Aug24 Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 1.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
4  BRODY'S PAL Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Aug10 Jul31 (biggs seymo)BECKLES JARELLE 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
CTD-5   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POCKETFULOFDREAMS Sep14 Aug23 Aug10 Jul17   (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SCARLET FIRE by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  AH TOUCHE Sep29 Sep14 Aug31     (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 118 6.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
3  NO MORE LIES Sep14 Aug23 Aug10     (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 0.60 63% 0.60    
  (by FED BIZ out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
4  SOLAR FORCE Sep14 Aug23       (vanoverschof)HUGHES RASHEED 118 15.00    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of SOLAR SALLY by CAPE CANAVERAL)
5  THEY CALL ME TOM Sep14 Aug23 Jul17     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 3.50    
  (by SUNGOLD out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
 
CTD-6   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST EH Sep07 Aug25 Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 (davies dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  JULIUS THE GREAT Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul31 Jul10 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 15.00    
3  HE'S A SAINT Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
4  LIFES ADVENTURE Sep22 Aug06 Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
5  MONEY MUNCHER Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 Jul13 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  WYE CROSS Sep21 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 3.50    
 
CTD-7   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY'S AGAIN Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 Jul17   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.50    
  (by O'PRADO AGAIN out of HOLIDAY MAKER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  WRIT IN STONE Sep14 Aug31 Aug10     (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CONQUEST REBEL by DIXIE UNION)
3  THATSWHATIMHEREFOR         (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by FED BIZ out of ENNIS LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  FED BOY Sep13         (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 121 8.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of PRETTY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
5  ROWDY TOWN Sep14 Aug23 Aug03     (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of SHE'SADOWNTOWNGIRL by MORE THAN READY)
6  MR MIEZIE Sep13 Aug03 Jul17     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 3.50    
  (by BAKKEN out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
 
CTD-8   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT MARIO Sep22 Sep06 Jul29 Jun26 Jun12 (cone r)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00    
2  ISLE OF SKYE Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jul31 Jul13 (o)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  PERDITION Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jul06 Jun15 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00 12% 7.20    
4  TUCKER TIME Sep14 Sep07 Aug10 Jul31 Jul10 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  A MAN'S MAN Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul12 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 10.00 11% 8.50    
6  PUMP THE BRAKES Sep21 Sep13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul24 (bell ken)BECKLES JARELLE 125 5.00    
7  YOLA Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 (ferguson lau)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50    
8  DANCING WILLIE Sep13 Aug24 Jul31 Jul06 Jun22 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 10.00    
 
CTD-9   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 34 F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG HUG Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 0.60 67% 0.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  FORCE TO REKN WITH Sep22 Aug24 Jun21 May31 May10 (vanoverschof)HUGHES RASHEED 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of NOBLE PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  SILKSTONE Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jul10 Jun07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 8.00 ★    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
4  HIGHER IMAGE Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of HIGH CHOLESTEROL by UNTIL SUNDOWN)
5  DESTIN TO BE GREAT Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Jul06 Jun07 (kingston rob)NATERA KEIHTON 124 15.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  SKIP'S ROCK Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jun22 Jun01 (rycroft tom)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LESTER by DANSKI)
7  WE THE FRINGE Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12   (biggs )PATTERSON R 124 20.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of SAINT SASSY SUE by SAINT STEPHEN)
8  BROOKE MAGIC Sep14 Aug24 Aug05 May25 Oct14 (snow mel)NELSON DANE 124 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CURLIN'S PRIZE by CURLIN)
9  DARE TO COMPARE Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 124 30.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of RON RHONDA by LAWYER RON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.