Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fresno
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FNO-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/2)-(2/5/4/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(2/5/4/6)-(3/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FNO-2   WIN (2/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/4/6)-(3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/6)-(3/2/4)-(1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/7/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/7/2/3)-(2/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-5   WIN (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/2/3)-(2/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/3)-(2/5/3)-(1/2/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FNO-6   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/2/6/7)-(4/2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FNO-7   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(4/2/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(4/2/3/5)-(1/9) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
FNO-8   WIN (4/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/3/5)-(1/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FNO-9   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/2/10)-(1/9/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FNO-1   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN SHARON Sep01 Aug10 Aug02 Jul03 Jun09 (puentes jose)COUTON JULIEN 125 10.00    
CASILLALATER Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 Jun30 Jun09 (greiner gar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAST TRACK Sep08 Jul09 Jun28 Jun09 May18 (evans justin)REYES R 125 4.00    
SQUARE FUN Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (b)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
PANDA PEAK Sep15 Aug11 Jul14 May11 Mar16 (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50    
RESERVOIR Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 3.50 73% 0.40    
PINEAPPLE CRUISE Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 Jun23 May31 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 6.00    
 
FNO-2   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLF DRAMA Aug31 Jul21 Jul04 Jun15 Apr06 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 123 5.00    
IMPERIAL HORNET Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 May12 Apr28 (calvario sa)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
COWBOY KISSES Aug04 Jun30 Jun09 May12 Mar30 (delim)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 4.50    
CODE CHARLIE Jul03 Jun23 Jun01 May04 Nov18 (puentes jose)REYES R 123 6.00 8% 11.00    
MY DOMINATOR Sep14 Sep02 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 (greiner )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
AMANOFMYSTATURE Aug18 Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 May27 (lenz)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
CITY OF CHAMPIONS Sep08 Aug31 Aug03 Jul14 May25 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 6.00    
 
FNO-3   10/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERKINS Aug24 Aug04 Jun22 Aug24 Jun04 (math)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of CARMEN'S MYSTERY by WAR FRONT)
OPEN SOUL AUTISM         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COLONEL DETTWILLER by COLONEL JOHN)
STORMY KISS (ARG) Sep13         (delima clif)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by PAVEL out of STOLE A KISS by DECARCHY)
GLORY N THEHIGHEST         (wright blaine)COUTON JULIEN 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by STANFORD out of TAKE ANOTHER LOOK by HIS MAJESTY (IRE))
ANNIE FOX Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jun30 May17 (freeman edw)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 1.20    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WICKED WAHINE by INTO MISCHIEF)
COIFFEUR Sep13 Aug16 Aug09     (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 122 6.00    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
 
FNO-4   10/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C HER BEAUTY Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 Mar22 Aug13 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.00 58% 0.70    
RIVER OF AMBITION Sep22 Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Aug04 (perez s)REYES R 122 10.00    
RIVER MARKET Sep14 Jul26 Jun29 Jun02 May25 (ruvalcaba )AMERICANO MANUEL 115 10.00 15% 5.70    
IMA KEEN ICE Sep14 Jun21 May12 Mar22 Mar01 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
HANG ON Sep01 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 (rond)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00    
SCR  SPREAD THE RISK Aug15 Jun28 May26 Apr28 Feb18 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
SCR  TIZTHEHARTOFDIXIE Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 125 4.00    
 
FNO-5   10/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE AND WHISKY Aug02 Jul20 Jun16 May31 Feb23 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
COOPERKLIMT Sep21 Jul27 Jul14 Jun08 Dec02 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 8.00 7% 13.70    
AZURE STAR (IRE) Aug11 Jul05 Jun16 Apr13 Feb11 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
MARKSMAN ON TARGET Sep07 Aug25 Aug16 Aug03 Jul06 (bean a)REYES R 125 8.00    
WRONG DIRECTION Aug18 Jul28 Jun07 May04 Apr26 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00    
PLAYBOY STYLE Sep21 Jul27 Jun21 May26 May05 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 3.50    
GALLANT WARREN Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 May26 May05 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 125 4.00 13% 6.50    
 
FNO-6   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLE SWEETLY Aug11 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 May10 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00    
SMILE BABY SMILE Sep08 Aug15 Jul28 Jul04 Apr27 (mathis andy)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
OH ANGEL Sep14 Aug02 Jul05 Apr29 Dec01 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 12.00 15% 5.50    
GADDING Aug09 Jun07 May10 Sep03 Jul07 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 5.00    
SUPER ELLIE Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jul07 Jun14 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
CASTAGNA Aug10 Jul06 Jun02 May25 May10 (o'neill )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 4.50    
TROJAN WAY Aug03 Jul06 Jun02 Jul08 May07 (baker wa)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 6.00    
 
FNO-7   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSTART YANKEE Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 Jun16 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
MEANT FOR ME Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 Jun08 May19 (evans justin)REYES R 121 5.00 25% 2.90    
HEAT N REHEAT Sep21 Jul21 Jun07 May18 Apr09 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 3.50    
MOTHER'S PRAYER Aug04 Jun22 May27 May05 Apr20 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 121 10.00    
FIFTY CINCO Sep07 Jul20 May19 Apr20 Mar03 (rivera leobar)RIVERA SANTOS 121 6.00    
NOLDE Sep15 Jan14 Nov19 Oct30 Sep25 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
CREATIVE BID Aug25 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 Jun28 (e)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUE SERA SIR RALPH Aug02 Jul07 Apr21 Mar17 Oct23 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 12.00    
 
FNO-8   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME GARY Sep07 Aug16 Aug04 Nov24 Oct15 (rodriguez )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
MAN OVERBOARD Sep06 Aug11 Jun16 Jun01 May17 (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
CORN POP Sep06 Aug25 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 (bean a)RIVERA SANTOS 121 6.00 9% 9.60    
LIE AND DENY Sep13 Aug25 Jul03 Jun14 May12 (evans just)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 4.00 35% 1.90    
ELEVADO Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 (evans justin)REYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
CROWNING GOLD Aug11 Jun01 May05 Apr05 Mar10 (mathis a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 2.50    
LOVE CANDY Sep22 Jul07 Jun22 May26 Apr27 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
 
FNO-9   10/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINTECENTS Sep20 Aug25 Jun14 May24 Apr26 (evans justin)REYES R 125 3.00 76% 0.30    
BEAUTY IN AUTISM Aug16 Aug04 Jul14     (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 4.50    
KLIMT A. P. Sep22 Jul26 Oct30 Sep16 Jul21 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 122 8.00    
RIVER'S BENCHMARK Sep09 Aug26 Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 (ruvalcaba )AMERICANO MANUEL 118 5.00    
SCR  EL BEARIN Aug04         (jauregui j)FLORES PABLO 122 6.00    
SCR  ONE BIG SMILE Aug02 Feb25 Dec26 Nov24 Oct22 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
LURKING FEAR Sep22 Aug17 Jul26     (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
TIGERSUN Aug02 Feb23       (thomas ruby)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 12.00    
TRIANGLE Sep02 Aug25 Aug02 Jun22 Jun01 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  AUTISM MIND Sep22 Aug16 Aug02     (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.