Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Wednesday - October 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ALB-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ALB-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-4   WIN (9/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/7)-(9/4/5/6/7)-(9/4/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN JOHN Jun14 Mar21 Mar08 Feb02 Nov20 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
TIME TRAVELIN Sep18 Dec08       (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 12% 7.70    
TOO WILD TO TAME Sep06 Aug04 Jun23 Jun16   (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 15.00    
RACER REX Oct22 Sep16 Apr01 Mar11 Feb20 (barr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAP GREELEY Sep18         (barraza s)TORRES J 122 4.50    
CHILEAN MOON         (gleason m)JUAREZ J 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
LOVESUNFAIR Sep13 Sep02 Apr21 Apr07 Mar21 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
ALB-2   10/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15.6K) 2 ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMFORT DAY Aug24         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 3.50    
SCR  EL DIEZOCHO Sep22 Sep06       (singh johnny)MEDINA ANTHONY 120 20.00    
SCR  AWSOME CHARLIE         (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
THREE MARTINIS         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 4.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  BERN DANGER Aug18 Aug02 Jun07     (fincher w)VALDEZ S 117 2.50    
AMERICAN EH Sep06 Aug24 Aug02     (sedillo e)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
STORMY RYTHM Aug31 Aug02       (bart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 117 3.00    
SCR  ATTILA'S LAST CALL Aug02         (sedillo e)ROSENDO J 120 8.00    
 
ALB-3   10/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG EVENT Sep12 Aug24 May19 Apr28 Oct11 (m)DE CRUZ 119 3.00    
HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Jan05 Sep08 Jun11 Mar07 Feb21 (chadborn kenneth)MEDELLIN A 119 6.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  ANGELA'S ANGEL Sep05 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 (marquez)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00    
GODDARD Dec20 Nov28 Sep04 Jul30 Jun16 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
HOLLAND Sep11 Jun16 Apr28 Apr07 Feb22 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
CLAVICHORD Aug25 Jul26 Jun16 Jun01 Apr30 (buechler simo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 3.00    
 
ALB-4   10/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLS Sep05 Jul28 Jun07 May11 Apr19 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 122 2.50    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of WEST MID by WESTERN FAME)
PEVS FLAT OUT FAST Sep05 Dec08       (barrios)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 122 15.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of DRENA'S BEST by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
RIGHT IN FRONT Sep13 Mar29 Mar15 Feb09 Jan18 (chadborn k)TORRES J 122 8.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of OUR ELEANOR by EDITOR'S NOTE)
CANDY'S CHROME Sep13         (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CANDY FACTORY by SEATTLE BOUND)
COMPELLING UNCLE Jul28 Apr21 Apr07     (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 7% 13.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMS TO REALITY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
TRUCKIN Sep18 Sep02 Aug16 Dec08 Nov14 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 5.00    
  (by THE VISUALISER out of ALWAYS A CHAMP by CHAMPALI)
NINE LIVES ELMER         (b)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of EYE OF THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
THREECARDMONTE Sep13 Aug18 Jul28 Jun26   (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 12.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TIZ GENTLE by TIZNOW)
BART SIP SOME Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 Jun30   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 3.50 58% 0.70    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SALLY SIMPSON by MINESHAFT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.