Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(6/2/1/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/1)-(6/2/1/3)-(7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FNO-2   WIN (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/1/3)-(7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/3)-(7/6/1)-(1/5/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FNO-3   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(1/5/6/3)-(2/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-4   WIN (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/6/3)-(2/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/3)-(2/6/5)-(5/1/4/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FNO-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(5/1/4/8/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(5/1/4/8/2)-(1/7/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FNO-6   WIN (5/1/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/8/2)-(5/1/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/8/2)-(5/1/4/8/2)-(5/1/4/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/1/4/8/2)-(1/7/5/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/8/2)-(1/7/5/2)-(6/1/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FNO-7   WIN (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/5/2)-(6/1/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FNO-8   WIN (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THECHIEFHASTRICKS Jun09 May04 Apr14 Apr07 Mar17 (puentes jose)FLORES P 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HANK WILLIAMS Aug17 Jul28       (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 1.60    
3  EASTER TRIBUTE Sep17 Apr14 Jan16 Nov20   (specht steve)ALVARADO T 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  LURKING FEAR Aug17 Jul26       (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 6.00    
5  BOBBY ANTON Aug04         (taylor fai)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
6  THIRSTY FRIEND         (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 12.00 23% 3.30    
7  DORADUS Sep02 Jul25 Jan07 Dec02   (ramirez m)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.00    
 
FNO-2   09/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE CROSS         (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
2  UNSUSTAINABLE Sep05 Aug15       (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
3  CAPTAIN WILLIS         (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
4  DORIS AVENUE Jul21         (paldanius s)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 6.00    
5  TRUE MANTRA         (mccanna tim)FLORES P 120 6.00    
6  STAR CHIEFTAIN Aug10         (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  SON OF ONEEYEDMAMA         (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 10.00    
8  WALK THE CAT         (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
 
FNO-3   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEBERRY MUFFIN Sep08 Aug25 Nov26 Nov05 Oct13 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIG MAMA THORNTON Sep01 Jul26 Jul13 Jun08 May26 (bean)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 12.00    
SCR  THE GREAT HAYNES Sep15 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 3.50    
4  SHE'S RESILIENT Jun30 Jun01 May11 Apr08 Mar11 (perez sergio)OROZCO E 121 5.00    
5  CODE RIBBON Aug16 Jul27 Jun08 May11 Mar15 (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 121 6.00    
6  LION'S LAIR Aug10 Jul06 Jun21 May26 Nov24 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 4.00 10% 9.50    
7  TIGER QUEEN Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 Jun08 Apr22 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
FNO-4   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAUN'S JAZZ Nov12 Oct28       (ruvalcaba )AMERICANO MANUEL 118 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of STRAIT JAZZ by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  BOOMING BERNARDO Aug17 Jul07 Jun21 Jan28 Jan07 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.00    
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of TIP TOP LADY by MARINO MARINI)
3  CAUSE FOR DIVORCE Aug02 Jul14 Mar25     (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SOUNDWAVE by FRIENDS LAKE)
4  FINCAIRN Aug17 Jun28 Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 (haley glor)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.50    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of SLEW'S CHARM by ROI CHARMANT)
5  FAR TO LONG Aug17 Aug02 Jun30 Jun01 May12 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of DUSTKICKIN LASS by COMIC STRIP)
6  KLINKERBRICK Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 Jul27   (bean robert)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 10.00 9% 9.70    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of STAFF SGT RECKLESS by SCAT DADDY)
7  LATER TAMARTATER Aug17 Jul07 Jun02     (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 6.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of YOU'RE LATE by LUCKY PULPIT)
 
FNO-5   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAISLEES PROMISE Aug04 Jul07 Jun23     (gonzalez l)DURAN F 122 15.00    
2  GIANOLA Mar08 Feb25 Jan26 Jan07 Nov11 (pald)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  GALLOPING MAJOR Aug24 Aug02 Jun30 Jun07 May18 (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
4  HE'S TRUE BLUE Aug02 Jun22       (calvario sa)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00    
5  MOOLA MAN Dec02 Nov11 Oct21     (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AUTISM MIND Aug16 Aug02       (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
7  GALLO DEL CIELO Sep02 Aug16 Dec26 Dec09 Nov17 (preciado guill)ALVARADO T 125 5.00 ★    
8  TOP WOLF Sep02 Aug25 Aug16 Aug02 Jul13 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 10.00    
 
FNO-6   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION HARBOR Sep01 Jul27 Jul05 May26 May13 (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 8.00 23% 3.40    
2  CONQUEST SECRET Sep14 Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Aug28 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUSIE CRU Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 May27 May10 (meier r)COUTON JULIEN 122 8.00    
4  SMILIN RUBY Jul26 Sep25 Sep03     (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.50 7% 12.60    
5  PONDERGATING Sep14 Aug17 Feb18 Jan27 Jan05 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 5.00 41% 1.40    
6  FLY SOUTH Jul13 May18 Apr27 Apr05 Mar15 (thomas ruby)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 3.00    
7  RIVER OF AMBITION Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Aug04 Jul20 (perez serg)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
8  GENTLE JULIA Sep01 Aug23 Aug03 Jun30 Jun16 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 5.00 5% 18.50    
9  TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS Apr21 Mar16 Feb23 Nov05 Mar11 (puentes jos)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 6.00    
 
FNO-7   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVENEREVENWORSE Aug11 Jun28 Jun09 May11 Apr21 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.00 21% 3.80    
2  BOBBY'S ALIBI Jan15 Dec26 Nov25 Nov03 Sep16 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOVE CANDY Jul07 Jun22 May26 Apr27 Mar24 (calvario sa)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 6.00    
4  ELEVADO Sep01 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 (evans just)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00    
5  HARCYN Apr29 Mar31 Feb11 Jan16 Oct30 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
6  ESTABLISHED Jul21 Jun28 Jun09 May05 Apr07 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 121 3.00    
7  IRREFUTABLE Sep02 Aug11 Apr02 Feb10 Jan20 (lenzini micha)COUTON JULIEN 121 10.00 20% 4.10    
 
FNO-8   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPTING PROSPECT Aug02 Jun16       (palda)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 8.00 24% 3.10    
2  UPDRAFT Aug04 Jul20 Jun22 Apr28 Apr07 (bautista j)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 10.00    
3  RINGTONE Sep08 Sep02 Aug16 Aug04 Jun29 (oviedo ph)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 2.50    
4  RED RAJ Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 Mar29 Feb10 (bautista jorg)RIVERA SANTOS 122 6.00    
5  HALVERSON Jul21 Mar06 Feb17     (ramirez miguel)ALVARADO T 122 4.00    
6  ANTIBES Sep13 May24 Apr20 Mar16 Feb23 (bainum kell)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.50 41% 1.40    
7  BEGIN AGAIN Aug16 Aug02 Jul04 May26 Apr26 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00 9% 10.00    
8  KLIMT A. P. Jul26 Oct30 Sep16 Jul21   (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.