Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LBG-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(2/4/3)-(7/1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LBG-6   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-7   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-4   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Alberta Bred Purse ($11.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPICHULO Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 (mcconaghi)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 0.11 64% 0.60    
  (by SCHRAMSBERG out of GONE IN A WHISPER by PENTELICUS)
2  STALWART BOY Jul28 Aug06 Jul15 Oct29 Sep24 (smith darcy)SIMPSON W 124 10.00    
  (by BALMONT out of TICKNLIKEATIMEX by STRONG MINDED)
3  BOESER Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 (rutherford)APANGO JOSE 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
  (by PURE PRECISION out of KALUKI by GO FOR GIN)
4  IMPERIAL GO BOY Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 (mcconaghie )EDWARDS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of TENDRA'S WAY by JADE HUNTER)
5  CMON SHARON Sep01 Jul01 Jun08 Sep23 Sep03 (willard mars)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00    
  (by BENCH THE JUDGE out of TRUSTY LASS by TEMPERED APPEAL)
 
LBG-5   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL JUSTICE Aug25 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (miyashiro)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  JAKE THE GREAT Sep07 Aug11 Jul27 Jul01 Jun23 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50    
3  KVOTHE Sep07 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jul01 (smith rusty)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00    
4  CASHLINGS Aug25 Aug11 Jun29 Jun08 May19 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
5  FLASH OF GLORY Sep08 Jul27 Jul01 Jun29 Jun16 (little nol)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00    
6  SIMMS Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jul07 (shearer krista )APANGO JUAN 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
LBG-6   09/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESS CAT Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 2.50    
2  JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 (calfrobe )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
3  LANDRY KYLE Aug25 Jul14 Jun22 Jun08 Oct07 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GWIZZ Sep01 Jul27 Jul21 Jun28 Oct22 (calfrobe kay)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00 12% 7.20    
5  SECRET HAVEN Aug24 Aug10 Jun16 Oct21 Oct07 (cameron dea)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00    
6  DYLAN'S SAVE Sep01 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Sep29 (clarke chan)EDWARDS A 124 8.00    
 
LBG-7   09/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS TOUCH Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Apr08 Mar20 (calfrobe shawn)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  REDDISH Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (giesbrech)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00    
3  FATHER O'FLAHERTY Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 (cameron dean)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
4  BERNALINHO Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 Jun28 (smith jacki)GORDON GARFIELD 124 8.00    
5  WALKTHELINE Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (oberholtzer ke)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONRADO Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 Jun28 Jun16 (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 1.40    
7  BOURBON BANDIT Sep02 Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  MR. PICKLES Aug09 Jun28 Jun09 Aug19 Aug06 (gardipy ra)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.