Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/1/5)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/3/2)-(5/6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(5/6/1/7)-(4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/7)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/7)-(4/7/2)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(5/1/2)-(4/9/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/9/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-10   WIN (4/9/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/2)-(4/9/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/2)-(4/9/1/7/2)-(4/9/1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   08/24/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODE TO MY BRO BOB         (mcfarlane da)JORDAN R 119 3.00    
GOVENOR HANK Jul15 Jun24 Jun01     (manley st)DE CRUZ 119 1.60 56% 0.80    
INSTANT KARMA         (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
FOOLS CONVERSATION         (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
WILL RUN         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 4.00    
 
PRM-5   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TIPPA Aug12 Jul20 Jun29     (lemburg mark)JORDAN R 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
PRETTYWITTYANDWISE Aug10 Jul07 Jun08 May20 Apr17 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 4.00    
CURLIN'S LIL GAL Jul27 Jun15 May20 May02 Apr08 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.00    
STAY FABULOUS Aug10 Jul12 Jun07 Mar24 Sep15 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50    
MS I SPEIGHT Aug11 Jul28 May02 Apr20   (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
TOFFEE Aug10 Jun24 Jun07 May05 Mar21 (peters de)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
PRM-6   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG PINES SANDY Aug05 Jul12 Jun14 May26 May10 (martinez kel)JORDAN R 120 12.00    
CHARMING CHARLIE Aug02 Jul14 Jun22 May24 Apr26 (donlin larry )BACON W 118 15.00 11% 8.50    
WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Jul20 Jul12 Jun14 Sep30 Sep09 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 19% 4.40    
GRAND DESIGN Aug02 Jul14 Jul08 Jun21 Jun01 (martinez )DE CRUZ 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  KOSELIO Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.00    
WARRIOR'S RUN Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 May31 (loy dewain)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.00    
AMERICAN POSSE Aug17 Aug05 Jul05 Jun15 May27 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 5.00    
 
PRM-7   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.238K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIZ B QUICK Aug04 Jun28 Jun09 May19 Sep29 (wellington t)JORDAN R 124 4.00 7% 12.60    
SKYLAR'S FIRE Aug17 Jul29 Jul08 Jun28 Sep24 (arnett g)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
CLIMB TO GLORY Aug04 Jul22 Jul07 Jun21 May27 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
SCR  TENNESSEE GRACE Aug16 Aug03 Jun23 Sep17 Sep04 (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00    
NATUSIA Aug04 Jul22 Jun29 Jun10 May10 (von kelly)CORBETT W 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
S C SKYLARS EMPIRE Aug16 Aug03 Jul22 Jun29 Jun14 (condon schuyl)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
HARD SPIRITS Aug04 Jul22 Jun21 Jun03 May19 (von kel)BACON W 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
OLIVIA'S HOPE Aug04 Jun14 May17 May04 Apr05 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00    
 
PRM-8   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($47.122K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIALSORTASTORM Jul20 Jun23 Jun01 Oct27 Sep30 (ashford t)TRIANA JR 116 6.00    
GOLD TAPPER Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 May10 Sep30 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TEMPLE CITY RUN Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 May20 (martinez kel)JORDAN R 120 8.00    
REDNECKERTHANYOU Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 Sep30 Sep04 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
TEE OFF TIME Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Sep30 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
STAR OF MINE Jul29 Jun22 Jun03 May20 Sep03 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 15.00    
CALL ME Q Aug05 Jun03 May13 Apr14 Mar19 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
JUSTA STREAK Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 Sep11 Jul23 (mcshane david)BACON W 115 4.00    
 
PRM-9   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prairie Meadows Freshman Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT GUNNER Jul14         (young e)CORBETT W 118 6.00 38% 1.60    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
BATTLESHIPPER Aug09 Jul21       (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ARUSHA by TAPIT)
SENZAKI         (schleis casey)TOHILL S 116 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of WILD STREET GIRL by DESERT PARTY)
BAND'S FREE SPIRIT Aug12 Jul26       (chleborad lyn)BACON W 118 15.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LEADING THE BAND by BELLAMY ROAD)
AORAKI Jul11 Jun06 May10     (asmussen )DE CRUZ 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by DOMINUS out of MOUNTAIN MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  GOOD PRODUCT Jul13 Jun15       (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 5.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DOT PRODUCT by LANGFUHR)
SCR  LONG NECK PAULA Aug23 Jul11 May02     (ward a)BRAVO J 119 1.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TAKE CHARGE PAULA by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
PATMO Jul21         (condon schuy)JORDAN R 115 10.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of ALEXA JUNE by AFLEET ALEX)
 
PRM-10   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.332K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET THE LEAD OUT Jul07         (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LUCYS STROLL Jul27 May31 May18 Aug21 Aug04 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
ART'S RED WAVE Jul29         (compton jesse)BACON W 114 20.00    
NEW YEAR'S BELLE Jul13 Jun17       (martin wi)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
IOWA FARMGIRL Jul29 Sep30       (condon schuyler)TORRES HUGO 124 20.00    
R N B BABY Jul27 Jun28 Jun10 Sep22 Sep04 (condon sc)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
WICKED HOT FOOT Aug12 Jul27 Jul07 Jun17 May10 (young nicole)CORBETT W 119 3.00    
PISTOLPACKINGAL Jul27 Jun28 Jun15 Sep22   (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00    
MY FOUR POINT OH Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 May31 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.