Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Canterbury Park
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CBY-1   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/6/7/4)-(8/2/7/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-2   WIN (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/4)-(8/2/7/6/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/4)-(8/2/7/6/5)-(1/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-3   WIN (8/2/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/6/5)-(8/2/7/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/6/5)-(8/2/7/6/5)-(8/2/7/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/7/6/5)-(1/8/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/6/5)-(1/8/6)-(5/2/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-4   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(5/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(5/2/8/7)-(6/11/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-5   WIN (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7/11)-(5/2/8/7/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/8/7)-(6/11/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/7)-(6/11/9)-(5/9/11/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-6   WIN (6/11/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/11/9)-(6/11/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/11/9)-(6/11/9)-(6/11/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/11/9)-(5/9/11/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/11/9)-(5/9/11/8)-(8/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-7   WIN (5/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/11/8)-(5/9/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/11/8)-(5/9/11/8)-(5/9/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/11/8)-(8/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
CBY-8   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/3)-(8/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/3)-(8/6/3)-(8/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CBY-9   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CBY-1   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS SMILING Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 Apr06 Mar23 (williams mat)FUENTES A 122 5.00    
2  SAVONA (IRE) Jul13 Jun27 May01 Sep13 Aug27 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
3  HOTASAPISTOL Aug03 Jun27 May25 May04 Sep13 (donlin larr)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 4.50    
4  LADY ASTRID Jul14 Jun08 May25 May05 Apr19 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 1.80    
5  LITE IT UP LOUIE Jun19 May31 Feb16 Jan12 Dec08 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  TWELVE STARS Jul25 Jun27 Jun01 Apr25 Apr09 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
CBY-2   08/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING SAVI Jul25 Jun29 Jan13 Oct20 Aug19 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 3.50    
2  DIPLOMATICA Jul25 Jun01 May01 Apr09 Mar26 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 54% 0.90    
3  TOUR QUEEN Jul13 Jun22 May12 Apr20 Mar03 (garrett j)FUENTES A 117 5.00    
4  VALENCE Jul25 Jun30 Sep30 Aug28   (garrett j)PENA BRYAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANN ALEE Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 Apr15 (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.00    
6  DESERT GLOW Jul25 Jun29 Jun09 Apr18 Mar22 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 122 8.00 12% 7.70    
7  MORGS WORLD Jul25 Jul07 Jun29 Mar21 Jan31 (ro)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 8% 10.80    
 
CBY-3   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE LILAH Aug03         (bethke a)HARR KELSI 118 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of LILAH'S THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
2  PEPPER N MINT Aug03 Jul10       (woolley l)PENA BRYAN 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by ENTICED out of CHOCOLATE LICORICE by LEMON DROP KID)
3  FLATTER ME BABY Aug03         (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of FLATTER ME NOT by BOSTON HARBOR)
4  SHE'S JUST DIVINE Aug03         (biehler m)VALENZUELA A 118 10.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DIVINE SANCTION by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  LITTLE SNEAKY Aug03         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SWEET TANGO by MASTER COMMAND)
6  CARSON BAY Aug03         (scherer gar)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 4.50 11% 8.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARAKORUM FUGITIVE by TEN MOST WANTED)
7  WHERE'S MARILYN Aug03 Jul10       (riecken bru)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 12% 7.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BADGE OF HONOR by HONOR GRADES)
8  WILDCAT MINNY Aug03 Jul10       (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of MINNY O'PRADO by O'PRADO AGAIN)
9  MARIAROSADELASERDA Aug03         (bi)DA FAUSTO 118 8.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BEST REWARD by GRAND REWARD)
 
CBY-4   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCK IT DOWN Jul13 Jun29 Jun09 Apr24 Apr03 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  IRAZU Aug01 Jul07 Jun08 May01 Apr20 (jones douglas)LINDSAY CHAD 122 15.00    
SCR  ROLLIN BLACKOUT Aug03 Jul23 Jun12 May21 Nov09 (sheehan nan)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 12.00    
4  MIZ CALI Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 May25 Apr06 (donlin lar)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.50 ★    
5  MIDNIGHT LANE Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 Sep16 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.00    
6  BEE A BALI Jul20 May18 Jul29     (hanson vic)ARROYO MIGUEL 117 15.00 7% 14.00    
7  DIXIE GIRL TO Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 May18 May03 (westermann ronal)PENA BRYAN 122 10.00    
8  GOLDEN GOPHER Aug01 Jul07 Jun01 May04 Apr09 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  MISS CARMEN CIBO Jul24 Jul06 Jun27 Jun02 Apr26 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 124 12.00    
10  BULSARA Jul22 Mar22 Feb24 Feb01 Jan18 (kenney ry)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
 
CBY-5   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AIRMAIL FLYER         (berndt joel)HARR KELSI 118 10.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of LETTERS AND NOTES by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
2  I'LL MAKE BANK Aug03         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GYPSY MELODY by WAGON LIMIT)
3  ARJUN FOR KARZ Aug03         (espinoza ed)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of SIMRAN by JOEY FRANCO)
4  WHISKEYSIPPI RIVER Aug03         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of B G GOLDEN EAGLE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
5  IT'S MILES Aug03         (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 4.00 38% 1.70    
  (by DIALED IN out of IT'S TAMARENO by VICTORY GALLOP)
6  SOUTHGATE GATOR         (ro)DA FAUSTO 118 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SMARTY PRANCE by ADDED EDGE)
7  ABLE SEAMAN Jul27 Jul13       (biehler)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HIDYGO by INDYGO SHINER)
8  BEGGIN FOR TROUBLE Aug03 Jul11       (rengstorf to)FUENTES A 118 4.50 7% 13.10    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of UNDER SUSPICION by FRIEND OR FOE)
9  MOR TIGER PAW Aug03         (bethke a)PENA BRYAN 118 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of KRISSY'S TIGER PAW by MILITARY)
10  PAHAPESTO WILLY         (rhone ber)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 12.00    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of VUMBURA by IN EXCESS (IRE))
11  TOWNER TOO         (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 6.00 ★    
  (by ENTICED out of WAVELAND by WOODMAN)
 
CBY-6   08/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZUMURUDEE Jul28 Jul06 Apr29 Apr08 Mar13 (woolley b)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 20.00    
SCR  COASTAL WATERS Aug10 Jul28 Jul10 Jun27 Jun01 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
SCR  GLENDALE Aug04 Jun30 May27 Apr07 Mar10 (roberts j)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00    
SCR  WAR CHEST Jul28 Jul06 May25 May18 Apr07 (rengstorf)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
5  JOHNNY DAR Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 May01 Oct22 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00    
6  TOTAL SURPRISE Jul28 Jul04 Jun06 May18 Apr27 (williams mat)FUENTES A 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  OUT RUN'M Jul28 Jul06 Jun20 May26 May04 (espinoza ed)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 20.00    
8  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Jul27 Jul13 Jul03 Jun09 May26 (rushton stets)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 20.00    
9  CIBERTRUCK Aug10 Jul28 Jul10 Jun30 Sep13 (danger )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  KID'S INHERITANCE Jul28 Jul06 May18 Oct28 Sep04 (bethke troy)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 4.50    
11  WEST ISLAND Aug04 Jun22 Jun06 May11 Mar30 (donlin lar)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  MAKE NOISE Jul27 Jul14 Jun20 May05 Apr19 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 20.00    
 
CBY-7   08/18/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAT TRICK JACK Jul03 Apr13 Sep09 Jul20   (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
SCR  RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN Aug10 Jul25 Jun27 Jun09 Sep04 (riecken bruce)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00    
3  WHATSYOUROBJECTIVE Aug03 Jul03 May26     (be)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00    
4  CATRICK Aug03 Jul11 Jun29     (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 119 12.00    
5  MR INSENSITIVE Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 Jun01 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 3.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  STRABELLA Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 Aug30 Aug10 (donlin larr)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 12.00    
SCR  GABRIEL'S LEGEND Aug03 Jul03 Jun01 May11 Sep25 (donlin d)HARR KELSI 124 8.00    
8  DA GHOST Aug04 Jul25 Jun29 Jun09 May18 (rhone bernell)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CAUGHT OFF GUARD Aug03 Jul25 Jul06 Jun27 Jun01 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
10  OUTOFTHEDARK Aug03 Jul03 Jun01 Apr17 Feb23 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.00    
11  THINKN BOUT DRINKN Jun01         (geditz j)WOOD DAKOTA 119 15.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  GOT GHOSTED Aug03 Jul11 Jun27 Jun01 May18 (rhone bernell)ARROYO MIGUEL 119 10.00    
 
CBY-8   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGIE'S REVRAC Aug04 Jul07 Jun13 May25 Apr27 (muckey jo)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 15.00    
2  FOLK HERO Aug04 Jul25 Jul07 Jun30 Jun13 (gomez alejand)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 15.00    
3  MIGHTY GIN GIN Aug04 Jun30 Jun09 Mar15 Feb24 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  LONG MONDAY Jun30 May25 Apr26 Apr12 Mar29 (rushton ste)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 2.50    
SCR  RAY AREWETHEREYET Jun23 Jun09 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 (rushton stetson)HARR KELSI 124 6.00    
6  BREWHOUSE Jul27 Jul14 May25 Feb16 Jan26 (silva jose)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.50 24% 3.30    
7  BEBOP BABY Aug04 Jul07 Jun13 Jun01 Apr23 (ro)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
8  INVINCIBELLA (GB) Jul27 Jun30 Jun09 May25 May04 (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
CBY-9   08/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMA Aug04 Jul14 Jul29 Jul23 Jul15 (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.00 16% 5.30    
2  FAT AND FURIOUS Aug11 Aug01 Jul07 Jun13 May25 (silva m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00    
3  MICKEY DOBBS Jul27 Jul07 May25 Apr22 Apr09 (ma)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00    
4  MIZZEN MILLIONS Aug11 Jun29 Jun13 May26 May04 (garrett t)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 10% 9.50    
5  CHILD PROOF Jul25 Jun30 Jun08 Apr20 Mar08 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  BRIEF NOTE Aug03 Jul06 Jun22 May01 Apr04 (martinez esteban)PENA BRYAN 124 2.00    
7  BRAHMS IS WHO Aug04 Jul07 Jun13 Jun01 Sep13 (tranquilino)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.