Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (2/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/6)-(3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/6)-(3)-(8/9) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
DEL-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(8/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3)-(8/9)-(7/5/3/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
DEL-3   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/9/2)-(8/9/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/9)-(7/5/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/9)-(7/5/3/2)-(3/2/1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DEL-4   WIN (7/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/2)-(7/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/2)-(7/5/3/2)-(7/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/2)-(3/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/2)-(3/2/1/5)-(2/3/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-5   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/5)-(2/3/1/4)-(3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-6   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-7   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S HAVE A PARTY Jul18         (allard ed)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.00    
RAMIEL         (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.00 46% 1.20    
PETRIFIED         (chapman k)CENTENO E 118 8.00 10% 8.90    
BOBBY ROCKY JAKE Jul18 Jul03       (simone michael)HIRALDO JOHN 118 10.00    
PERCY         (sanchez-pin)ROBLES O 113 8.00 10% 8.90    
WHIZBANG Jul18 Jul03       (nambo cesar)CEDENO CAROL 116 6.00    
CHIPOTLE (GB)         (gorham michael )MENA E 118 4.00 10% 8.80    
 
DEL-2   08/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Jul23 Jun26 May28 May18 May06 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00    
SAINT MARCO Jul23 Jun17 May25 May01 Mar26 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 119 8.00 11% 8.10    
GAMBLING TZAR Jul05 May24 Apr07 Mar10 Feb17 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 4.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  SECRET ALLIANCE Jul22 Jun17 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (rosado rober)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 3.50    
SCR  GHOST OF KHOZAN Jul11 Jun22 Jun05 Feb16 Jan31 (hayford jennif)HIRALDO JOHN 115 12.00    
ENTRUST Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 May11 Apr19 (gorham michael )MENA E 124 8.00    
SCR  YODEL E. A. WHO Jul19 Jun25 May27 May07 Apr16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 1.50    
 
DEL-3   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAMAISGREATNSTRONG         (smith everton)BOWMAN ADAM 118 6.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of CAP'S VOW by BROKEN VOW)
HEARTS FANTASY         (chapman jam)ROBLES O 113 8.00 5% 17.60    
  (by HEARTWOOD out of SHANGHAI FANTASY by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
EXPECT LOVE         (chapman j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
  (by HEARTWOOD out of EXPECT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  LUCKY FLAY Jul20         (smith g)CENTENO E 118 3.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of FLAY MIGNON by YESBYJIMMINY)
SCR  BROOKLYN RHAPSODY         (sanchez-p)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of HEAVEN'S HUMOR by DROSSELMEYER)
VIVY         (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 118 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of PAT PAT PAT by REAL SOLUTION)
IT'S ALL RED         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CAROLINA TAPPER by TAPIT)
MY CHARM         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ITSMYLUCKYCHARM by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
NOHAI         (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by GORMLEY out of GOLDEN GEM by GOLDEN DODGER)
 
DEL-4   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT OF DINERO Jul25 Jun27 Jun15 May18 Mar23 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 8.00    
SHAYMYNAME Aug02 Jul08 May03 Jan07 Nov23 (siculietano)VILLASMIL EDGAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BYTHENUMBERS Jul24 Jun08 May15 Mar23 Mar03 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 9% 9.70    
CATALINA CRUZIN Jul17 Jul08 Jun15 May26 Oct07 (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 118 2.50    
DANCING BEAUTY Jul17 Jun20 Mar07 Feb01 Jan12 (simoff an)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00 29% 2.50    
PINK SUNSET Jul27 Jun27 Jun14 May30 May18 (ph)LUNA PAUL 123 15.00    
MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Jul26 Jul14 Jun27 Jun15 May07 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
DEL-5   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST MARYANN Jun20 Feb16 Jan21 Dec24 Sep08 (simoff andre)BATISTA A 119 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WAMPY Jul27         (gorham michael )MENA E 119 2.00 12% 7.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MY PERFECT TEN by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
WISE MISS Feb16 Jan26 Nov04     (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SKY WISE by SMARTY JONES)
CITY MINUTE         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
LA BELLA BOROBETA Jun26 Jun12 Mar26 Feb28 Jan31 (aro michael)ROBLES O 114 12.00    
  (by EASTWOOD out of BOROBETA by SLEW GIN FIZZ)
SCR  MY DREAM COME TRUE         (sacco d)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MY GIFT FROM ABOVE by BODEMEISTER)
MAXS PICK Jul27 Jan20 Nov03 Oct18   (correa ma)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FUL OF SHENANIGANS         (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00 5% 17.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNBRIDLED ESCAPE by UNBRIDLED MATE)
 
DEL-6   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL DESIGN Jul20 Nov17 Jul28 May07 Apr09 (smith g)CENTENO E 121 6.00 13% 6.40    
DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 May23 Mar29 (magee kiero)ROBLES O 116 1.40 49% 1.00    
BLESSED TOUCH Dec31 May12 Mar05 Feb19 Dec10 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 16% 5.30    
KITTY'S PRETTY Aug13 Jun16       (allard edward)SILVERA RUBEN 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
SPIN THE BREEZE Jul25 Jul04 May03 Apr04 Mar21 (robertson)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 10.00    
EXTREMELY GRUNTLED Jul25 Jun20 May26 Apr21 Mar23 (ramirez ricard)CEDENO CAROL 116 12.00    
ONLY KIDDING Jun12 Apr28 Mar13 Dec06 Nov15 (jones mic)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 12.00    
 
DEL-7   08/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC LEAD         (toner j)CENTENO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of TEAM OF TEAMS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
HAIZUM Jul14 Jun23 May09     (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
HONOR THE CROSS Jul04 Jun19 May18 May04   (capuano g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 5.00 39% 1.60    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CAROLINA HONOR by FORESTRY)
ST PETE'S PASSION Jun29         (ma)LUNA PAUL 120 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of PASSION POINT by POINT GIVEN)
BIG ANDY MORT Jul18 Jun08 May05 Mar29 Mar07 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of HALF WAY UP by HALF OURS)
CALIFORNIA SOBER         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of NEW NORMAL by FORESTRY)
SCR  WIN AND BE HAPPY Jul18         (moysey chels)BATISTA A 124 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VICTORY ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  AMERICAN MEMORIES Jul25 Jun21 May29 Mar30 Mar08 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
AFT         (boucher lil)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 10.00    
  (by ASTERN out of MEDICINE BUTTE by OLD FASHIONED)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.