Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-6   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/4)-(4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(4/1)-(1/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/2/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/2/6/4)-(7/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-9   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/4)-(7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/4)-(7/1/8)-(7/3/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-10   WIN (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/8)-(7/1/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/8)-(7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/8)-(7/3/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-11   WIN (7/3/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/8)-(7/3/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/8)-(7/3/9/8)-(7/3/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TAP Jun30 Jun02 May26 Mar29 Feb23 (martinez )TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
2  MISTER LESTER Jun22 May26 May03 Apr19 Apr05 (compton jesse)BACON W 119 5.00 32% 2.10    
3  KHOZANTHEDESTROYER Jul03 Jun02 May17 May03 Apr13 (compton jess)JORDAN R 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  IRISH COAST Jun22 Jun10 May25 May17 Apr28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
5  OUR HEAVENLY GIFT Jun30 Jun10 May26 May05 Apr14 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  GOD'S GIFT TO US Jul03 Jun22 Jun02 May17 Apr04 (hornsby tammy)WILLIAMS REY 124 2.50    
 
PRM-6   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Jun29 Apr27 Feb19 Nov10 Oct05 (johnston lan)JORDAN R 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
2  BREAKFASTRUN Dec31         (jordan j)BACON W 114 3.50    
3  KANTIRUN Jun29 Jun14 May20 Apr28 Apr05 (gleason t)TRIANA JR 119 3.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  RUN A FIRE Jun29 Jun02 Apr30 Apr23 Apr16 (ibarra jose)MECHE COLE 119 10.00    
5  TIZ A STRATEGY Jun02 May20 Apr26 Mar21 Mar03 (martin e)TOHILL S 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  DR. WOODS MIRACLE Jun02 May24 May03 Apr04 Mar03 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
7  LITTLEDABWILLDOO Jun29 May24 Apr12 Mar02 Feb12 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 124 12.00    
 
PRM-7   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUMBLEBEE Jun03 Apr10 Mar27 Mar08 Feb09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
2  MILLIGANMIKEANDME Jun22 May26 Sep23 Sep02 Jul23 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
3  LISA G Apr30 Apr03 Dec09 Nov21 Oct25 (offolter s)LANDEROS C 125 3.00    
4  SASSY AIN'T I Jun30 Jun15 Sep22 Aug18 Jul07 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 120 6.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO Jun12 May18 Apr30 Apr16 Mar28 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00    
6  SING LUCY SING Jun24 Sep25 Sep08 Aug18 Jul23 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 ★    
 
PRM-8   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND DESIGN Jul08 Jun21 Jun01 May19 Apr27 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  SISAWAY NOW Jun16 May18 May04 Apr20 Apr06 (compton jesse)BIRZER E 120 4.00    
3  HULEN Jun28 Jun10 May27 May11 Apr07 (anderson w)TORRES HUGO 120 8.00 ★    
4  CHARMING CHARLIE Jun22 May24 Apr26 Apr07 Mar23 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  LEATHERNECK Jun16 Sep02 Jul23 Jun04 May20 (gonzalez jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
6  KINGSWOOD May27 Apr28 Mar31 Mar09 Jan27 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 2.00    
SCR  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Jun21 Jun08 Sep18 Sep10 Aug25 (green ger)TRIANA JR 120 15.00    
 
PRM-9   07/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORPHAN SANDY Jul03 Jun07       (young nicole)CORBETT W 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
2  COUNTY JAIL Jun21 May27 Sep30 Sep09 Sep01 (mcshane david )WILLIAMS REY 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of KRYSTAL PISTOL by LEMON DROP KID)
3  STUMPY'S LOVE SONG Jun30 Jun15 May27 May11 Sep30 (donlin d)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00    
  (by DANZA out of LOVESMEBACK by HOLD ME BACK)
4  CAN'T BE CAUGHT Jun21 May26 Aug21 Aug05 Jul22 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MICCOSUKEE MISS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  TACTICAL REBEL Jul03 Jun21 Jun09 May07 Sep16 (green ger)TRIANA JR 124 15.00    
  (by TACTICAL CAT out of REBELLING by BIG BROWN)
6  ESPRIT ROUGE Jun08 May24 Sep17 Sep01 Aug21 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 113 8.00 9% 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRIMSON SPIRE by GONE WEST)
7  EDGY LOVER Jun21 Jun10 May11 Oct28 Oct07 (murphy)FLETCHER D 124 1.80    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of A. J.'S LOVE by LION HEART)
 
PRM-10   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($47.122K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDNECKERTHANYOU Jun09 Sep30 Sep04 Aug06 Jul17 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00 32% 2.20    
2  GOLD TAPPER Jun09 May10 Sep30 Sep09 Aug06 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 5.00    
3  SMART N INTUITIVE Jun09 May26 Nov15 Sep30 Sep04 (arnett g)TOHILL S 124 3.50    
4  JUSTA STREAK Jun09 Sep11 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
5  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Jun24 May31 Apr16 Sep30 Sep18 (eikleberr)TRIANA JR 120 4.00    
6  KNIGHT COMMANDER May24 Jan06 Dec03 Nov09 Sep18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 ★    
7  TALONS TIME Jun08 May18 Aug07 Jun30 Jun03 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
8  PALACE GUARD Jun09 May19 Dec13 Nov24 Oct13 (gleason t)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-11   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUNT NADINE Jun09 May26 May10 Apr12 Mar30 (schutz pam)BACON W 117 3.50    
2  CANARY NATION Jun09 May26 May03 Apr14 Mar24 (foley p)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 15.00    
3  BETTY JO Jun24 Jun01 May18 Mar10 Feb16 (schleis casey)ROMAN KEVIN 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  BREW CASA Jun28 Jun09 May26 May10 Mar24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
5  BLOW SUM SMOKE Jun28 Jun09 May18 Oct28 Oct07 (martinez )TRIANA JR 122 8.00    
6  ARIA APERTA Jun09 May14 Apr30 Apr15 Aug13 (gonzalez r)MECHE COLE 117 15.00    
7  GLAMOROUS LIFE Jun28 Jun09 May26 May10 Oct08 (martinez kel)JORDAN R 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
8  AWESOME VIEW Jun23 May18 Apr19 Mar24 Mar03 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GIRLS IN CHARGE Jun09 May10 Mar29 Mar01 Feb01 (condon schuyle)WILLIAMS REY 119 10.00 14% 6.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.