Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   07/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW5250NW2L ($0K) Purse ($5.25K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY YATTA Jul29 Jul03       (delorme c)MARTINEZ R null   5% 19.00    
2  SCARLET MOON Jul29 Jun25 Jun11     (martin dean)ZIEGLER ZACK null   25% 3.10    
3  CRAFTY SUE May12 Jul29 Jun25     (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA null   43% 1.30    
4  HOPPYS CLASSIC Jun16         (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS null      
5  ELI'S FIRE Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 Jul30 (hurley tristin)PINEDA G null      
 
FAR-2   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW4000 ($0K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINBARFUREY Jun01 Jun14 Apr23 Apr07 Mar24 (backhaus lexon)PINEDA G null      
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of AUTOMATIC AUDIT by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
2  RIVER CHARMER Jun22 Jun15 Jun09 Jun01 Jul30 (ness john)MARTINEZ R null   45% 1.20    
  (by AMERICAN LION out of FOREIGN SULTRESS by FOREIGN POLICY)
3  THELEGENDOFTRIPP Jun15         (backhaus l)PRECIADO A null      
  (by TIMBER LEGEND out of BEER DRINKIN SHARI by EDDINGTON)
4  W F JAZZ CAT Jun22 Jun16 Jun02 May18 May04 (ducheneaux jami)HAAR NATHAN null   5% 19.00    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of CURVY KITTEN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
5  PRESTIGIOUSLY WILD Jun15 Jun01 Sep03 Aug26 Aug05 (backhaus lexon)ZIEGLER ZACK null      
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of AWARD by SHARP VICTOR)
6  WILD STRETCH         (backhaus lexon)BEETEM BRIAN null   33% 2.00    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of CHAPPY CHICK by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 
FAR-6   07/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST STK10000 ($0K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOODALOO Y'ALL Jun13 May26 Apr17 Mar30 Mar24 (cavanaugh pe)BETHKE A null   9% 10.60    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of DIXIE SOVEREIGNTY by DIXIELAND BAND)
2  INAGOODWAY Jun22 Sep23 Aug27 Jul23 Jul14 (ness john)MARTINEZ R null      
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of TRUTH TAKES TIME by DEVIL HIS DUE)
3  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jun22 Jun02 Sep19 Sep13 Sep04 (martin dean)PINEDA G null   26% 2.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MALIBU COUGAR by MALIBU MOON)
4  PEPPERMINT SISTER Jun22 May17 May12 Sep04 Aug13 (allery mark)WOOD DAKOTA null      
  (by KLIMT out of LOVEYASISTER by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  STOLEN HALO Jun16 Jun02 May19 Apr26 Apr12 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN null   44% 1.30    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of FLY AWAY ANGEL by SKIP AWAY)
 
FAR-7   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIARS CLUB Jun19 Jun05 Apr29 Apr01 Mar20 (cavanaugh perry)MARTINEZ R null   6% 17.10    
2  STAGE DOOR Jun30 Jun23 Jun09 May26 Apr13 (thompson grady)BEETEM BRIAN null      
3  DOGE OF VENICE Jun23 Jun14 Jun01 May04 Apr20 (thompson gra)BETHKE A null      
4  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Jun15 May12 May03 Apr19 Apr05 (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS null   19% 4.30    
5  PARLAY PETE Jun02 May18 May03 Apr06 Mar23 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN null   37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.