Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(4/6/3)-(6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/5)-(6/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(6/4/2)-(2/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/5/1)-(1/7/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/7/3/4)-(9/10/11/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/4)-(9/10/11/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/4)-(9/10/11/2)-(3/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (9/10/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/11/2)-(9/10/11/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (9/10/11/2)-(9/10/11/2/3)-(9/10/11/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/11/2)-(3/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/10/11/2)-(3/6/8)-(4/8/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-8   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(4/8/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-9   WIN (4/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/9)-(4/8/7/9/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/9)-(4/8/7/9/3)-(4/8/7/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Dec16 Nov13 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.00    
2  GOSPEL GORGEOUS Apr22 Mar05 Oct11     (william)GONCALVES R 120 12.00    
3  SKY ECHO Apr08 Mar20 Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 (pogue paulette)SANCHEZ OBED 125 1.40 60% 0.70    
4  SCANDALOUS (GB) Apr29 Apr08 Mar27 Mar12 Feb18 (corderman)TRIANA JR 120 3.00 ★    
5  SNOWBIRD Apr18 Mar22 Mar07 Feb02 Jan12 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00 6% 16.90    
 
WRD-2   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUPERBLEA Apr10 Mar11 Dec15 Dec01 May10 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 5.00    
2  COZZOLANI Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Nov09 Oct14 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 6.00    
3  EXCETERA Apr29 Apr08 Dec15 Dec01 Nov20 (ferrell j)TRIANA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEY ROXY Apr29 Apr02 Mar25 Mar05 Oct27 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00 56% 0.80    
5  KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 Mar19 Mar08 (hale victo)QUINONEZ B 125 2.50    
6  EURA NORTHERN SKY Mar20 Dec16 Nov21 Nov10 Oct06 (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 125 3.00 13% 6.50    
7  SODDY DAISY Apr16 Apr03 Mar22 Feb25 Nov25 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00    
 
WRD-3   05/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I WISH I COULD Apr09 Sep09 Jul20     (biehler)GONCALVES R 117 15.00    
2  GOSPEL MUSKETEER Apr22 Apr03 Mar20 Nov17 Sep30 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00    
3  RUNHAPPY D'ORO Apr22 Apr03 Dec09 Nov18 Oct26 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 2.50 ★    
4  RACE DAY REBAL Mar25 Mar11 Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 (williams a)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.00    
5  HAMAZING WISDOM Apr29 Apr16 Mar29 Feb25 Feb09 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 125 5.00 16% 5.40    
6  BROWN TOWN Apr22 Mar19 Nov20 Nov02 Oct06 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 125 6.00 40% 1.50    
 
WRD-4   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WRANGLERED May06 Apr23 Apr03 Mar18 Sep13 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.00    
2  DANCING DEVIL Mar18 Nov09 Oct13 Sep08 May02 (hale ja)GONCALVES R 119 4.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  LENA'S SHADOW Dec01 Nov11 Oct21 Aug31 Jul19 (pogue paulette)SANCHEZ OBED 114 20.00    
4  BRICKTOWN BROWN Mar23 Mar09 Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 (black mar)TRIANA JR 119 6.00 12% 7.20    
5  EURO TRACKING Mar18 Feb11 Jan26 Nov30 Nov14 (box c)QUINONEZ B 119 12.00    
6  HEADEDTOTHESTARS Apr15 Mar18 Dec07 Jul17 Mar20 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  HUNTER QUICK Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jan20 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00    
 
WRD-5   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY TO THE BANK Apr16 Mar26 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 (martin steve)KIMES C 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONNORS OUTLAW Apr16 Mar26 Feb04 Dec14 Nov10 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 0.60 58% 0.70    
3  HE SAID WAIT Apr09 Mar26 Mar10 Feb18 Jan13 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
SCR  MISTER WAYSIDE May07 Apr22 Apr10 Mar27 Dec02 (martin steve)PEREZ A 122 20.00    
5  OUR CORNERSTONE Apr27 Mar26 Mar12 Dec13 Nov24 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
6  ROWDY RASCAL Apr08 Dec15 Nov29 Sep22 Jul20 (caster boyd)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00    
7  JOLLY JUMPER Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Jul19 Jun28 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 122 8.00    
 
WRD-6   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY BLASTOFF Apr16 Mar19 Mar05 Dec09 Nov17 (caster boyd)KIMES C 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  SMACKZILLA Apr29 Apr09 Mar02 Feb09 Jan01 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00    
3  RANCHO A GO GO Apr22 Mar27 Nov30 Nov09 Sep29 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 125 3.50 9% 9.60    
4  CLEARWATER SUNSET Apr29 Nov13 Oct21 Sep29   (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HAY SCOOBY DOO May06 Apr22 Mar27 Mar11 Nov18 (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 120 10.00    
6  LANGMEAD Apr22 Mar27 Jul19 Jul13 Jun28 (thomas )GONCALVES R 125 12.00    
7  PAPA BILL Dec13 Nov20 Nov02 Oct11 Sep22 (offolter )TRIANA JR 125 2.50 22% 3.50    
8  COME BET Apr01 Mar18 Oct11 Sep22   (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00    
 
WRD-7   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPUDENT May04         (blatchford georg)QUINONEZ B 125 20.00    
  (by COIN FLIP out of SPRING MEADOW by MEADOWLAKE)
2  AUTO BE A STAR         (box c)PEREZ A 125 20.00 7% 13.90    
  (by STARSHIP out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MARQUEE LADY         (bravo francisco)KIMES C 120 8.00 ★    
  (by ATREIDES out of SPECTIN TROUBLE by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
4  SUPRISING CODE Apr23 Oct14 May16 May03   (offolter )TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of SATURDAY SUPRISE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  CHEEKY KISS Apr01         (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 125 12.00    
  (by LIAISON out of SOONER FITE by FISTFITE)
6  PAULA M Apr22 Apr02 Mar18 Dec14 Nov17 (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.50    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of RED CONSTITUTION by BERNARDINI)
7  MICHAEL'S DREAMS Apr02 Mar18       (padilla juan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of POUPON POLKA by YOUR EMINENCE)
8  NATALIE'S GOLD Apr10 Mar27 Mar12 Dec16 Nov29 (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MISS NATALIE by FISTFITE)
9  KAMIKAZE         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 5.00 44% 1.20    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of KATITCHE by ESKENDEREYA)
10  ESTOY LOCA         (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 12.00 8% 10.90    
  (by WILBURN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  C W CHARM         (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL CHARM by HARD SPUN)
 
WRD-8   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT HANBY Apr23 Sep22 Aug19     (caster bo)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 ★    
2  PROMISE CODE Apr09 Dec02 Nov17 Nov01 Oct13 (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00    
3  BIG MUCKITY Apr29 Apr02 Dec13 Nov24 Nov01 (biehler)GONCALVES R 125 2.50 57% 0.80    
4  SWORD OF GOLD Apr03 Dec13 Nov25 Nov14 Nov02 (moreno carlos)CRUZ ROMAN 125 20.00    
5  MAJESTIC LOVER Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 Dec13 Nov25 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 30.00    
6  DOCTOR TINK Apr02 Mar18 May15 May02 Apr12 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  CHUY GARZA Y. G. Apr22 Apr08 Mar08 Feb11 Jan19 (williams f)KIMES C 125 3.00    
8  IN BOND WE TRUST Apr22 Apr03 Mar19 Mar05 Dec08 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BLUESKIESANDANGELS Apr02 Mar18 Dec09 Nov09 Oct19 (mcdaniel brianna)QUINONEZ B 125 15.00    
 
WRD-9   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC CRAKEN Apr29 Apr15 Mar30 Jan12 Dec22 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 120 20.00    
2  DEROY Apr23 Apr09 Mar26 Feb09 Jan04 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 20.00    
3  MONEY EXPRESS Apr29 Apr08 Oct19 Oct07 Sep21 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00 ★    
4  SEARCHIN SAFARI Apr30 Dec13 Nov17 Nov02 Oct19 (bravo franci)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.00 39% 1.50    
5  ISAIDWHATISAID Apr10 Mar20 Mar05 Dec14 Dec02 (caster bo)TRIANA JR 125 12.00    
6  LUCKY MCCOY Apr29 Mar22 Mar05 Sep14 Aug25 (merrick d)MORA GERARDO 125 20.00    
7  NOISE COMPLAINT Apr10 Mar26 Mar04 Dec07 Nov11 (moreno carlos)CRUZ ROMAN 125 5.00 6% 16.90    
8  WESTCOAST BREEZE Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 May27 Apr26 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 125 3.50 33% 2.00    
9  PRINCE OF EARL Apr29 Apr08 Dec13 Nov01 Sep21 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DOCS DUTY Apr29 Apr05 Mar03 Feb18 Jan19 (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 30.00    
SCR  GOSPEL TRUMPET Mar18 Mar04 Nov01 Oct05 Sep06 (williams f)PEREZ A 125 20.00    
12  FORTY STRANGERS Apr09 Mar19 Mar11 Feb08 Jan12 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.