Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - May 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/2)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/2/4)-(2/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(2/3/1)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/2)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-5   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/4/3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(2/4/3/1)-(8/4/1/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
WRD-6   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(8/4/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(8/4/1/5)-(7/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (8/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/9/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/5)-(8/4/1/9/5)-(8/4/1/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/1/5)-(7/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/5)-(7/1/3)-(4/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-8   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(4/9/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
WRD-9   WIN (4/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/2)-(4/9/2/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/9/2)-(4/9/2/7/3)-(4/9/2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREDICTING Apr20 Apr04 Mar16 Mar01 Feb03 (stephens jer)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 7% 13.80    
SCR  STONE COLD LOVER Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Dec14   (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 4.00    
3  OH MY GAWD Apr27 Apr06 Mar08 Feb17 Jan27 (hewitt michael)KIMES C 125 3.00    
4  RAINBOW SMILES Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 Mar18 Mar04 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00    
5  BULLEIT ROCKS Apr23 Mar20 Sep29 Aug31   (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 1.00 42% 1.40    
 
WRD-2   05/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAPIS LAZULI Apr23 Apr09 Mar12 Nov21 Oct27 (pruitt m)KIMES C 125 3.00    
2  MISTER WAYSIDE Apr22 Apr10 Mar27 Dec02 Nov21 (martin steve)QUINONEZ B 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAPTAIN DOZER Apr08 Nov10 Sep23 Sep06 Jul13 (escamilla-gonz)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
4  BOX SEAT Apr10 Mar12 Dec07 Nov11 Oct12 (caster boyd)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.00 ★    
5  HACKER Apr14 Mar30 Mar16 Feb24 Jan06 (black mar)TRIANA JR 125 1.40 73% 0.40    
 
WRD-3   05/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYSHORE FOXES Apr23 Jun19 Jun12 May26 May05 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 125 4.00    
2  HOT TUB HOTTIE Mar10 Feb17 Jan06 Nov25 Nov01 (black marissa)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
3  GURL YOU FINE Apr13 Jun29 May06 Apr08 Feb25 (black mar)TRIANA JR 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
4  HUNNY HUSH Apr02 Nov24 Nov13 Oct20 Sep30 (velasquez cosme)CRUZ ROMAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRING IT ON BABY Apr23 Apr02 Mar20 Nov30 Nov02 (william)GONCALVES R 122 1.60    
 
WRD-4   05/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C B'S FLAT OUT Apr08 Mar26 Mar19 Mar05 Nov08 (gladd andy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  EASY BIG BOY Apr15 Mar21 Mar14 Mar01 Feb16 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  ASSUMPTION Apr22 Apr10 Mar15 Mar01 Feb10 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00 18% 4.50    
4  WOODS OF CONGAREE Apr08 Mar16 Feb24 Jun20 Jun13 (martin steve)QUINONEZ B 125 20.00    
5  COMMANDER REX Apr22 Apr03 Mar25 Mar02 Jan26 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.00    
6  TRUE DOMINUS Apr22 Mar25 Mar04 Dec09 Nov18 (boone patricia)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00    
 
WRD-5   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Apr23 Apr09 Apr02 Mar20 Mar04 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00    
2  SINNIN N GRINNIN Apr15 Mar25 Oct20 Sep15 May16 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
3  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Apr15 Mar24 Mar04 Feb03 Jan15 (cogburn orr)WETHEY JR 122 1.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  CHILLAXIFICATION Mar11 Feb19 Sep21 Aug26 May09 (young e)QUINONEZ B 122 8.00    
5  AMERICAN COALMINER Apr02 Nov09 Oct28 Sep27 Sep08 (offolter s)KIMES C 122 6.00    
 
WRD-6   05/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPYREAL SHADOW Mar30 Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Jul22 (calloway bryan)MORA GERARDO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
2  BREAKABLE CODE         (offolter )TRIANA JR 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by CODE WEST out of HONORABLE BREAK by BROKEN VOW)
3  SUPERHERO Apr26 Apr05 Mar21 Feb09 Jan06 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SEAGRASS by QUALITY ROAD)
4  DEPOSIT INSURANCE         (biehler)GONCALVES R 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COLM'S LADY by UNCLE MO)
5  FRONT ROW SHOW Apr16 Mar19       (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SEEK N EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  MR. KUNTATA Apr15         (baze t)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00    
  (by AUTHORITIVELY out of RISEONEAGLESWINGS by ULTIMATE EAGLE)
7  KISSOFTHENILE Apr15 Mar17 Jan13 Jul22 Jul10 (calloway h)CRUZ ROMAN 125 2.50    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
 
WRD-7   05/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW EURO CAT Apr15 Apr03 Mar12 Jan18 Dec14 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
2  GOSPEL CHOSEN Mar04 Nov02 Oct04 Nov04 Sep16 (william)GONCALVES R 125 15.00    
3  SHAWK'S LIL MIA Apr15 Oct20 Sep07     (pruitt m)KIMES C 120 12.00    
4  SHORT STRETCH Apr15 Apr03 Mar04 Dec08 Nov17 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  AUNT LOTTIE Apr10 Mar18 Sep22 Jun29 Jun08 (rodriguez mart)MORA GERARDO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  REALITY CHECK Apr15 Apr03 Mar18 Dec09 Nov21 (stephens g)QUINONEZ B 125 20.00    
7  HOT LIPS HOULIHAN Apr22 Nov18 Oct11     (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 8.00    
8  CANDY'S A DANDY Mar18 Nov24 Nov02 Sep24 Sep07 (ashford trist)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
9  K O AMERICAN PIE Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Nov02 Sep07 (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00 ★    
 
WRD-8   05/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST More Than Even Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUDOUDOUWANADANCE Mar25 Dec15 Nov21 Oct20 Sep08 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 6.00 7% 12.60    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of EBONY UNO by MACHO UNO)
2  TOM'S GIRL Apr23 Mar27 Dec15 Nov11 Sep08 (buehrer w)PEREZ A 123 8.00    
  (by LIAISON out of WILD KAREN by WILD AGAIN)
3  KACHINA Mar25 Nov29 Oct20 Sep22 May09 (craddock kar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of MUDLAFF CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  GOSPEL FABULOUS Apr03 Mar20 Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
5  DO YOU BILEVE Apr02 Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Oct20 (swan e)QUINONEZ B 120 12.00    
  (by MR. NIGHTLINGER out of SUMMER EVENT by EVENT OF THE YEAR)
6  GOTTA SEE RED Mar25 Nov29 Oct20 Sep22 May09 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 5.00 ★    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of GOTAGOGOTAGOGOTAGO by KIPLING)
7  TAKE ME SERIOUS Apr15 Mar25 Dec01 Apr25 Apr02 (offolter )TRIANA JR 123 1.00 69% 0.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SOUTHERN EQUITY by AFTER MARKET)
 
WRD-9   05/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC FLASH Apr10 Mar18 Nov20 Oct04 Sep14 (caster boyd)KIMES C 125 6.00    
2  GOSPEL FOREST Apr23 Apr08 Mar05 Dec07 Nov08 (william)GONCALVES R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  E D'ORO Apr23 Mar19 Dec16 Nov14 Oct05 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00 ★    
4  STORMSACOMIN Apr29 Apr09 Mar25 Mar05 Dec15 (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 2.50 67% 0.50    
5  LEGEND'S JOURNEY Mar25         (pruitt m)PEREZ A 120 20.00    
6  TAKING ENERGY Apr09 Mar22 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 125 30.00    
7  ABES DAY Apr23 Mar26 Dec16 Nov17 Nov02 (gunter mich)WETHEY JR 125 8.00 ★    
8  I'M ALIVE Mar27 Mar12 Dec14     (rodriguez mar)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 8.00    
9  DIAMONDS R LUCKY Apr23 Apr09 Mar26 Mar04 Jun28 (offolter )TRIANA JR 125 3.00 11% 8.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.