Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(2/3/4)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(4/1/3)-(6/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/4/2)-(2/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/6/3)-(5/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(5/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(5/1/3)-(6/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(6/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(6/3/2)-(7/3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-8   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   03/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATSY R Oct12 Sep13 May16 May03 Apr04 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
ARTISTIC VISION Feb04 Nov20 Nov02 Oct12 Sep08 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
LIGHTNING HART Mar05 Feb01 Dec16 Nov21 Nov01 (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 5.00    
SCARLET POSITION Mar05 Jan26 Dec29 Nov25 Nov13 (corderman s)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
MARIAH'S CANDY Mar01 Dec08 Nov13 Nov01 Sep30 (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
LICHITA Mar01 Dec08 Nov14 Oct14 Jul01 (jansen kenny)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00    
 
WRD-2   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACH TWO Sep09 Aug10 Jul20     (biehler micha)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of YANKEE SWEETHEART by LION HEARTED)
GOLDEN REBAL Dec13 Dec01 Nov04 Sep13 Aug26 (williams alan)BIRZER E 125 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TEN CROWNS by TENPINS)
ROCKIN BOOTS Dec13 Dec01 Nov04 Sep30 Sep01 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 125 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of ALBANY COUNTY by FOREST WILDCAT)
DETERMINED LOVER Mar05 Dec15 Dec08     (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of ROMANTIC MYTH by ICE BOX)
WHAT ABOUT JIMMY Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 (brooks)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 20.00    
  (by CYBER SECRET out of MISS LILLY BLUE by GHOSTZAPPER)
ELUSIVE POWER Dec15         (offolter s)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ELUSIVE CLOUDS by POWER BROKER)
 
WRD-3   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONCE UPON A DREAM Feb18 Dec01 Oct26 Sep01 Aug20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
DEL MOON Mar04 Dec17 Nov11 Oct27 Sep28 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 5.00    
GOSPEL MUSKETEER Nov17 Sep30 Jun04 May08 Apr26 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 4.00 9% 9.90    
SHADOWLESS Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 Oct11 Sep13 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
WIN FOR FUN Mar12 Dec14 Dec02 Oct27 Sep30 (coffey chester)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50    
 
WRD-4   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY ECHO Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep21 Mar27 (pogue paule)WETHEY JR 125 3.50    
  (by LIAISON out of ZIVA'S POLICY by FOREIGN POLICY)
GOSPEL EXPRESSION Mar04 Dec08 Nov02 Oct14 Apr11 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL EXPRESS by AFLEET EXPRESS)
GOSPEL FABULOUS Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep21 Aug24 (william)GONCALVES R 125 1.40    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
SPIRIT SMOKE         (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of CATNIPPER by KITTEN'S JOY)
FLAT OUT FANCY Mar01 Sep01       (gelner j)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of STORMQUILITY by AFTER MARKET)
HOORAY FOR CREDIT Mar04 Feb23 Feb04 Dec16 Nov14 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of I TOUR by COLORFUL TOUR)
 
WRD-5   03/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MEDICINE Mar04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 Sep23 (williams f)KIMES C 119 6.00    
LIARS CLUB Mar04 Feb19 Jan19 Jan07 Dec15 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
LEGIONARY Mar04 Feb19 Jan19 Dec16 Dec07 (young e)QUINONEZ B 119 8.00 8% 11.30    
HEPUTTHEACEINRACE Mar05 Sep07 Aug26 May03 Apr10 (williams alan)BIRZER E 119 5.00    
JUST A IRISH LAD Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 2.50    
VANGILDER Mar04 Feb15 Jan27 Dec15 Dec07 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
WRD-6   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY BRODY Mar03 Feb11 Nov18 Sep21   (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 125 1.80 16% 5.40    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of R LADY HANSEN by HANSEN)
GOSPEL CRUSADER Dec13 Nov08 Oct26 Oct07 Aug19 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 20.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL SCARLET by IRISH ROAD)
ISAIDWHATISAID Mar05 Dec14 Dec02 Oct25 Oct07 (caster boyd)KIMES C 125 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by CODE WEST out of COTTONMOUTH BROWN by TACTICAL CAT)
GOSPEL GOOD WILL Mar05 Dec16       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of ANGEL LAURA by ZENSATIONAL)
VIENNA PRIZE Dec08 Nov02 Sep28 Sep08 May11 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by KLIMT out of M B PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
RED MOUNTAIN Mar05 Jan13 Dec07 Nov20   (martin st)TRIANA JR 120 4.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of DEPUTY'S WHIRL by DEPUTY SLEW)
 
WRD-7   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOSPEL CARLOTTA Sep16 Jul20 Jul06 Jun08 May15 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 6.00    
SMOKING GUITAR Mar05 Dec01 Nov20 Sep16 Jul19 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 8.00 6% 16.90    
MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Mar04 Sep08 Aug25 Jul19 Jun21 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
EURA NORTHERN SKY Dec16 Nov21 Nov10 Oct06 Sep07 (caster boyd)KIMES C 122 8.00    
POLLY TIZ Dec15 Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 Nov22 (davis d)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
BRING IT ON BABY Nov30 Nov02 Sep15 May17 May03 (williams alan)BIRZER E 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
OUTWORKTHEOKIEGIRL Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 May15 Mar14 (buehrer mark )PUSAC ALBERTO 122 20.00    
 
WRD-8   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I BILEVE Mar12 Dec07 Oct19 Sep28 Aug14 (swan e)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of SKY GARDEN by ACCLAMATION)
SALT CREEK CAT May17         (ibarra jose)PEREZ A 125 20.00    
  (by NOTABLE CAT out of EELPOUT by EVEN THE SCORE)
BULLEIT ROCKS Sep29 Aug31       (williams alan)BIRZER E 125 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GO NO GO by ARCHARCHARCH)
LADY FOR THE MONEY         (hale jame)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 12.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of BEGUILING CREEK by CINNAMON CREEK)
DARETOCATCHLOVE Mar12 Dec13 Nov29 Sep23 Aug31 (espiritu lucio)QUINONEZ B 125 12.00    
  (by DAAREB out of DARE TO LOVE by ZENSATIONAL)
MYSTICAL CODE Mar04 Dec16 Nov02 May16 Apr25 (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 5.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL CHARM by HARD SPUN)
HAPPY TO PLEASE Dec10 Oct26 Oct14     (hartman alex)MORA GERARDO 125 1.00 32% 2.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of BARTOLETTA by ARCH)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.