Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - March 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/4)-(2/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/6/4/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/5/6/4/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/5/6/4/7)-(5/7/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/5/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4/7)-(2/5/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4/7)-(2/5/6/4/7)-(2/5/6/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4/7)-(5/7/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4/7)-(5/7/1)-(6/8/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(6/8/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (6/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   03/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUDDIN HEAD JONES Feb11 Jan28 Dec09 Sep16 Sep03 (vallejo gena)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 10.00    
GOOD AT BEING BAD Jan06         (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
TAKAMAKAHARA Feb02         (flores jo)RAMIREZ S 121 6.00    
BOWTIE BOYS Jan12 Dec03 Aug11     (yakteen tim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
PETESOLDFASHIONED Jan27 Jan07 Oct07 Sep02 Jul22 (hanson ry)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 0.80 46% 1.20    
 
SA-2   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUNCH WITH AMY Feb02 Jun16       (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00 7% 12.80    
  (by BERNARDINI out of BRING JOY by TWIRLING CANDY)
BLUE FASHION Feb17 Jan20 Dec26     (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 121 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of BUFF BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
BONAQUA Feb18 Jan21       (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 0.80 66% 0.50    
  (by TONALIST out of MA MO by UNCLE MO)
CORPOSO Feb18         (eurton pete)HERRERA A 121 2.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MANKI by ARCH)
RUNAWAY KITTEN Jan28 Jan01       (hanson ry)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
QUEEN GIRVIN Feb16         (gomez rub)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 20.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of EVA LONDON by ADIOS CHARLIE)
 
SA-3   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER MONEY Feb17 Feb02 Jan15 Dec17 Nov24 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
MAXIMUM CAPACITY Jan20 Jan01 Dec03 Oct29 Sep30 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50    
NESSO'S LASTHARRAH Feb02 Jan06 Dec03 Oct29 Sep24 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 0.80 41% 1.50    
DES DOIGTS Feb02 Jan15 Dec17 Dec02 Nov11 (deleon rafael)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
MR BIG BUCKS Feb17 Oct20 Sep16 Sep02   (mendez luis)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-4   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING DRUMMER Jan27 Jun18 May27     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60    
HERO STATUS Apr28 Apr01 Feb18 Jan15 Nov25 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
GINOBILI Jan19 Feb18 Jan14 Nov20   (miller pet)VAN DRAYDEN 124 2.50 61% 0.70    
IT'S MY HOUSE Jan19 Dec10 Nov05 Sep17 Jul30 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
OVIATT CLASS Dec31 Nov11 Aug12 Jun18 Apr25 (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
 
SA-5   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Feb24 Feb11 Jan07 Dec09 May20 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50    
DERECHO DANDY Feb24 Jan20 Jan07 Dec15 Nov19 (moger j)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
HARD MISSION Feb11 Jul21 Jun17 May28 Feb09 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00    
WORSE READ SANCHEZ Feb24 Jan27 Jan14 Nov19 Oct15 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BILLY'S BET Feb23 Jan27 Dec26 Nov17 Oct15 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
STOP AND A TRES Feb17 Jan28 Aug04 Jun23 May14 (brinkerhoff val)ESPINOZA V 124 5.00    
 
SA-6   03/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM D'ORO Sep16 Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 May19 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
IRISH WAHINE Feb23 Jan20 Jan12 Dec29 Dec10 (stute gary)BAZE C 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
BLACKENED Dec03 Nov02 Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
VELLA Feb14 Jan30 Apr30 Apr07 Jan13 (trela rosemary)FREY KYLE 122 10.00 7% 12.60    
TROUBLE N PARADISE Feb11 Nov11 Aug10 Aug04 Jul08 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
LA PALOMA BLANCA Feb24 Jan13 Dec08 Nov17 Aug27 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
FAMILY TRIPS Dec17 Oct16 Sep16 Jul01   (valenzuela)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
KEEP YOUR COIL Feb11 Nov24 Jul02 Mar12 Jan20 (val)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 5.00    
DALLAS ALICE Aug10 Jul08 Jun25 May29 Apr22 (vallejo gena)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 15.00    
 
SA-7   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKS HIP Feb11 Jan06 Nov18 Oct14 Aug27 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLAVIUS Jan27 Dec31 Nov19 Oct29 Sep30 (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
SCR  SYDNEY STREET (GB) Feb03 Nov19 Oct29 Nov04 Aug13 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50    
BEE CATCHER Mar27 Mar09 Jan20 Nov06 Sep02 (landeros juan)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
GENERAL MATHIS May06 Apr08 Mar09 Feb20 Jan27 (mulhall kris)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
ATOMIC DROP Feb10 Jul09 Jun10 May28 Apr07 (craigmyle keith)BAZE C 122 20.00    
DON'T SWEAR DAVE Feb11 Jan01 Nov23 Oct22 Aug13 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
 
SA-8   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUVOO Feb18 Feb02 Dec31 Nov12 Oct06 (dealba cesar)FREY KYLE 122 1.60    
CITY OF ANGELS Feb23 Jan19 Dec17 Oct22 Sep03 (puype mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
MYSTIC FLYER Jan26 Jan20 Dec02 Oct27 Oct09 (mccarthy w)BAZE C 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
BARELY FUNTIONAL Feb23 Jan26 Dec26 Nov18 Oct27 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CALIFORNIA TIGER Feb17 Jan06 Nov26 Oct09 Sep03 (palma )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00    
ON THE WHIM Jan26 Dec15 Oct21     (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
BRAZENLY Feb18 Nov19 Oct29 Oct07 Sep04 (azcarate dan)GARCIA ERICK 124 30.00    
SPEED GRAZY Feb10 Jan12 Dec15 Nov26 Nov05 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.