Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - January 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(2/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(2/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(2/4/3)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/2/5)-(5/6/3/2/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/6/3/2/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/6/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2/7)-(5/6/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2/7)-(5/6/3/2/7)-(5/6/3/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2)-(7/6/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(7/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(7/6/1)-(1/2/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/8/1)-(7/6/8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 45 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEGRASS RYDER Dec30 Dec08 Nov12 Oct06 Sep15 (oviedo phil)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  KING ZOG Dec30 Dec15 Dec08 Oct29 Oct14 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  UNUSUAL WIN Dec15         (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00    
4  UNKEPT SECRET Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Sep10 Aug27 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 119 5.00    
5  CRYPTO CRAZE         (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Dec17         (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 5.00    
7  LOGON TO WIN Oct29 Oct09 Sep22 Aug24 Aug06 (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 124 3.00 ★    
 
SA-2   01/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST IS Dec16 Nov23 Oct20 Sep29 Sep22 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00    
2  STAY IN LINE Jan01 Dec17 Nov23 Apr23 Mar19 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 0.80 46% 1.20    
3  YO YO MAMA Nov24 Oct06 Aug25 Sep05 Jul29 (koriner brian)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
4  R GIRL'S WERTH IT Dec31 Dec03 Sep22 Aug19 Nov25 (brinkerhoff val)ESPINOZA V 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
5  CON SEAL AND KERRY Dec17 Sep17 Aug31 Jul01 May27 (agarie ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-3   01/21/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEADING Jan01         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SAVINGS ACCOUNT by BANKBOOK)
2  LAKE SUPERIOR Oct15 Sep10       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CELIBATAIRE by BROKEN VOW)
3  BRITISH ISLES Dec02 Nov11 Oct21     (baffert bo)VAN DRAYDEN 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PURELY HOT by PURE PRIZE)
4  BANDWAGON Dec03 Nov12 Sep17 Aug20   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BEAUTIFUL WIFE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
5  MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE) Oct13         (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 5.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of REVERED by IN REALITY (GB))
6  SHOT OF COURAGE Dec29 Nov12       (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TEQUILA SUNRISE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
SA-4   01/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS BURNER Dec26 Nov18 Oct27 Oct01 Apr22 (papaprodromou )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLACK VALENTINE by CINDAGO)
2  HEY BROTHER Dec26 Dec09 Nov19     (barocio lib)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SCA DOODLE by SCAT DADDY)
3  SNEAKING CANDY Dec26         (puype mike)SMITH E 124 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CANDAVAR by CANDY RIDE)
4  DON CORLEONE Dec09 Mar26 Feb20 Sep03   (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BROAD SPECTRUM by BROAD BRUSH)
5  PROSPER         (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.50 8% 11.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  APPRECIATE TODAY         (miller pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
SA-5   01/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Mar15 Jan01 Sep24 Sep05 Jul09 (stevens sat)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 12.00    
2  WHOA BUDDY Dec31 Dec08 Nov05 Oct15 Sep17 (naranjo salva)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00 5% 18.00    
3  HIGH PRESS Dec31 Dec16 Sep23 Aug06 Jul02 (valenzuel)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00 8% 11.20    
4  SOL DEL SUR Dec09 Nov19 Sep08 Aug18 Jul21 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
5  PACO'S PICO Jan05 Dec09 Nov05 Sep23 Sep09 (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  HANDR'SDREAM Dec31 Nov05 Sep15 Aug06 Jul22 (valenzuel)RAMIREZ S 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
7  MITICO Nov03 Oct14 Jun03 May06 Apr09 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRANADA FLAVOR Aug19 Jul01 Apr23 Mar18 Jan21 (mcc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00    
9  SUMMER SHANDEE May12 Apr15 Mar05 Feb17 Jan29 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
10  AFTERNOON HEAT Dec31 Dec08 Sep23 Sep04 Aug06 (treece cha)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
 
SA-6   01/21/2024 7920ft TURF RC11 GOOD Astra Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YARBOROUGH Nov23 Oct18 Sep06 Aug16 Oct30 (mullins j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DANCE WITH ANOTHER by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
2  LEISUREWEAR (IRE) Jun18 May06 Dec26 Nov11 Oct10 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by KODIAC out of PILATES by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  LAKOTA SPIRIT Dec30 Nov26 Sep30 Aug26 Apr23 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MILAM by STREET SENSE)
4  ROSE BARTON (IRE) Nov17 Oct28 Aug17 Jun16 May26 (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 120 12.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of MARIE CELESTE by UNFOLD)
5  DUVET DAY (IRE) Jun18 Apr30 Mar12 Jan21 Dec26 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.50 ★    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of JE T'ADORE by SPUN TO RUN)
6  LINDA'S GIFT Nov23 Nov11 Oct15 Aug26 Aug03 (mandella rich)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of AMERICANA by TAPIT)
7  MUSICAL RHAPSODY (IRE) Nov23 Aug26 Jul27     (damato philip)SMITH E 122 5.00    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of COLOUR RHAPSODY by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
 
SA-7   01/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIANMA Dec26 Nov11 Oct14 Aug19 Jul23 (o'neill doug)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of HOME RULE by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  MO PEARLS PLEASE Nov19         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of JUST ADD PEARLS by MR. GREELEY)
3  TAHINI Dec29         (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MORE FUN AGAIN by ARCH)
4  BONAQUA         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MA MO by UNCLE MO)
5  VEGAS CONDO         (ellis w)SMITH E 122 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  SHOW CARD         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
7  MS BO J Dec29         (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by MITOLE out of BODACIOUSNESS by BODEMEISTER)
8  SIMPLY ENCHANTING         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of ENCHANTE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
SA-8   01/21/2024 6600ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETHERIC Dec06 Oct07 Sep02 Jun15 Jan01 (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
2  KHINJANI (GB)         (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Nov26 Oct28 Aug18 Jul27 Jun10 (cerin vladimir)SMITH E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MILAGRE DO SOL Jan07 Oct07 Sep03 Aug10 Jun17 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00    
SCR  IRISH PATSY Dec31 Nov04 Oct08 Sep10 Aug05 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00    
6  SAKURA FLAVOR (IRE) Dec26 Nov10 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 (gallagher pat)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00    
7  VINCERO GRANDE Nov25 Oct22 Nov19 Oct28 Oct01 (puype mike)HERRERA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  THIRTY CARATS Dec31 Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 Aug17 (hofmans da)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.