Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - November 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(4/1)-(2/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
DMR-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/5)-(1/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DMR-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/2/4)-(4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(4/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(4/2/6)-(2/3/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(2/3/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(2/3/8/1)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DMR-6   WIN (2/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/1)-(2/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/1)-(2/4)-(6/5/8/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DMR-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/5/8/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
DMR-8   WIN (6/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/11/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/11/4)-(6/5/8/11/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUND IN CIRCLES Oct15 Sep22 Jul09 Jun25 Dec09 (ivory john )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 15.00    
VULIN Oct20 Aug31 Aug03 Mar27 Jan22 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 125 0.40 56% 0.80    
FAST INVESTMENT Sep22 Aug31 Oct15 Sep17 Sep02 (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 5.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE JONI Oct15 Sep10 Sep01 Jul29 Jun03 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 1.20    
BOGINSKAYA Oct15 Sep22 Aug31 Jul23 Jun04 (mendez luis)FREY KYLE 122 3.00    
BEST YEAR EVER Sep16 Sep02 Mar17 Feb05   (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00 7% 13.10    
 
DMR-2   11/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE TRY Oct21 Nov06       (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of MORE COMPLEXITY by SQUARE EDDIE)
GRAND TIGER Oct29 Sep29 Aug11 May28 Apr28 (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 124 3.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
ANTONSEN Aug26         (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GLORIOUS LUCK by LUCKY J. H.)
MAN O ROSE Oct21 Sep29 Nov27     (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 122 1.20 39% 1.60    
  (by STANFORD out of KATHLEEN ROSE by GOOD JOURNEY)
RHYTHEM ON STAGE Apr22 Mar17 Feb04 Jan06 Nov27 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 122 6.00    
  (by UPTOWN RYTHEM out of IT'SALLYOURSBABY by ESKENDEREYA)
 
DMR-3   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLONDE BOMBSHELL Oct14 Sep04 Aug10 Jun09 May14 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 124 8.00    
AMERICAN HEIGHTS Sep17 Aug03 Jul15 May22 Mar31 (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 5.00 38% 1.60    
SWEET MOTHER MARY Oct27 Sep01 Aug18 Jun16 May26 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50    
LA PALOMA BLANCA Aug27 Aug05 Jul02 Jun02 Oct15 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.00    
YOLO CALLS Sep10 Aug18 Jun11 Jun30   (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
DMR-4   11/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARIA THUNDER Aug27 Jul30 Mar25 Jan25 Dec23 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
KATERINI Nov10 Oct14 Sep04 Aug25 Jun16 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
ISSA COURT Sep03 Jul30 Jun10 Apr30 Mar26 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 4.00    
UNFAITHFUL WAYS Sep30 Aug31 Aug18 Jul27 Jun17 (truman eddie)TORREALBA JG 114 5.00 8% 12.00    
ROSE BARTON (IRE) Oct28 Aug17 Jun16 May26 Apr08 (hess b)MALDONADO E 121 3.00    
ON PURPOSE Nov02 Sep17 Apr24 Apr30 Apr10 (cerin vladimi)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 6.00    
 
DMR-5   11/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCEL CALCULATOR Oct08 Sep04 Jun09 May19 Apr07 (ellis rona)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SIERRA ELECTRICA by TAPIT)
MIXTO Oct08 Aug17 Nov20 Oct10 Sep11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MUSICAL MYSTERY by CONCERTO)
SHIP AND SCAM Aug24 Jul23 May28 Apr09 Apr01 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
BAD SNEAKERS Oct08 Aug17 Sep04 Aug05   (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CAROLYN'S CAT by FORESTRY)
PIONEER PRINCE Oct27 Jan21       (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 4.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of I'M A LOOKER by HENNY HUGHES)
MAUNA KEA BOUND Oct08 Sep04 Jul21 Oct07 Sep17 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of MIDNIGHT CANDY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
DMR-6   11/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAN Sep29         (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of TIZALWAYSOMETHING by TIZNOW)
SHADY TIGER         (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of DIVINE LEGACY by FULL MANDATE)
CLEMENTS RIDE         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of GRANDIOSE TACTICS by QUIET AMERICAN)
JETFIRE         (dunham dani)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of CAUTION SIGN by MR. GREELEY)
PRINCE PRANCEALOT         (capestro paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 12.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of LEMON CRUSH by RICHARD'S KID)
MONSIEUR         (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SILKY SLEW by SLEW'S TIZNOW)
CURLIN'S KAOS         (garcia anto)HERRERA A 120 6.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of IT'S VENGEANCE by CURLIN)
IMMELMANN Oct21 Sep29 Sep04 Aug13 Jul22 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERRYESSA by DANDY MAN)
SCR  STAGGER LEE Oct22         (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SKY MARNI by SKY MESA)
SCR  SMILING JOJO Oct22         (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ACCOMPLISHEDSISTER by ACCLAMATION (GB))
SCR  DON'T HIT ME BASH Oct22 Sep29       (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of OCTOGARIAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  LAMPORGHINI Oct29         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 117 8.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of STORM LAMP by STORM BOOT)
SCR  FACT OR FICTION Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Aug10 Jul29 (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 120 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BELLA BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  BEER MONEY Sep16         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 3.50    
  (by DADS CAPS out of TAP TAP UR IT by TAPIT)
 
DMR-7   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ATTICUS Sep30 Aug26 Jul21 Jun18 May05 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 120 2.50    
POSITIVITY Oct01 Aug26 Jul22 Jun24 May27 (mulhall krist)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  C Z ROCKET Sep30 Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 May27 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
FORT BRAGG Sep30 Aug26 Jul01 May06 Apr01 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 31% 2.20    
SCR  RADICAL RIGHT Oct29 Sep30 Aug25 Aug04 Jun01 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
CLASSIC CAR WASH Oct21 Apr08 Mar11 Feb11 Jan06 (casse mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
 
DMR-8   11/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT HEAT Oct22 Oct01 Aug31 Jul28 Jun02 (saavedra antho)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00    
BRAVESTONE Oct09 Sep02 Aug04 Jul03 Jun04 (rosales ri)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 125 15.00    
FORE FLAG Oct09 Sep02 Feb10 Jan07 Nov19 (mccarthy mich)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 5.00    
YO TIME Feb03 Jan06 Nov27     (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIGOFROMFRESNO Oct01 Sep09 Aug06     (blacker dan)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
SUPER CHIEF Oct14 Sep10 Aug11 Apr30 May13 (barocio li)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
BILLY'S BET Oct15 Aug27 Aug05 Jul24   (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 12.00    
TALKLESSWORKMORE Oct09 Sep02 Jul30 Jun17 May05 (ruis sr)FREY KYLE 125 5.00 14% 6.10    
ALPINE THUNDER Oct09 Sep23 Aug27 Jul09 Jul02 (hernandez jose )MALDONADO E 123 15.00    
SCR  BIG COUPE Oct14         (powell leon)HERRERA A 123 6.00    
11  LUKA GRAZIE Oct27 Sep24 Aug31 Jul28 Jun24 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
SCR  DISCRETIONARY DAY Oct27 Oct09 Aug27 Jul30 Apr30 (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 123 4.00    
SCR  MEESH Oct27 Sep08 Aug05 Jun17   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  BARELY FUNTIONAL Oct27 Sep30 Aug27 Aug04 Jul09 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.