Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(4/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(4/6/5)-(5/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(5/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(5/2/6)-(1/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/3/2)-(4/2/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/8)-(4/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/8)-(4/5)-(5/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/8/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/8/4)-(3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/4)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4)-(3/5)-(10/3/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(10/3/11) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SA-9   WIN (10/3/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/11)-(10/3/1/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/11)-(10/3/1/6/11)-(10/3/1/6/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/21/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. DREAMCYCLE Oct02 Aug27 Jul28 Jul02 Jun11 (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
2  GENTLEMEN'S CLUB Sep16 Aug27 Jul28     (lewis craig)HERRERA A 122 3.50    
3  POTITO Sep29 Sep04 Jul22     (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  MR. SUDS May29         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  GOING MOBILE Jun17 Apr30       (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.50 12% 7.10    
6  HAVOC Sep08 Aug25 Jul29     (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
 
SA-2   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMBO Oct15 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
2  MENDEZ MILE Sep09 Aug25 Aug10 Jul02 Apr21 (mendez luis)LOPEZ D 118 5.00    
3  WARRENS CANDY MAN Sep24 Sep04 May06 Apr23 Mar18 (harris andre)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 4.00    
4  SIGNOFTHECROSS Sep13 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  ECONOMICAL Sep24 Sep08 Aug18 Jul22 Jun09 (trela rosemary)BAZE C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIKE OPERATOR Sep24 Aug27 Aug19 Aug06 Jul27 (aquino angela )GARCIA ERICK 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
SA-3   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUORA (PER) Aug27 Aug06 May29 May06 Mar12 (azcarate dan)FREY KYLE 123 4.00    
2  HENNYS CRAZY TRAIN Sep23 Sep03 Aug03 Jul02 Jun02 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 3.00 22% 3.40    
3  WHISTLER'S STYLE Sep23 Jul29 May14 Apr02 Mar18 (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 123 2.00    
4  SPOILED ROTTEN Oct06 Sep01 Aug03 Jul08 Jun24 (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 12.00    
5  PENS STREET Sep23 Sep01 Aug10 Jul29 Jun16 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  CLASSYMADEMOISELLE Sep17 Jul04 May27 May05 Mar27 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 119 6.00 13% 6.90    
 
SA-4   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTECENTO Jul21 Jun11 May21 Apr23 Mar18 (knapp steve)SMITH E 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  MY INDY Sep22 Aug04 Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
3  HEIR (FR) Sep22 Aug18 Jul21 May27 Apr29 (belvoir vann)TORREALBA JG 115 10.00 27% 2.70    
4  ZIMBA WARRIOR Sep10 Jul01 Jun18 Apr30 Mar31 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.50    
5  BIG BUZZ Aug19 Jul21 Jun03 Mar25 Jan29 (ellis ronald)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 4.00    
6  GOOD JUJU Oct06 Sep10 Jul21 Jun30 May20 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.00    
 
SA-5   10/21/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING RULER Sep22         (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 20.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of WEST RULER by TRIBAL RULE)
2  ANTIBES Sep29         (gai)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  ON THE WHIM         (pederson dean)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of WHIMSY by MARIA'S MON)
4  MAN O ROSE Sep29 Nov27       (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by STANFORD out of KATHLEEN ROSE by GOOD JOURNEY)
5  MORE TRY Nov06         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of MORE COMPLEXITY by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  HILL SIXTEEN         (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of DANI REESE by HIGH DEMAND)
SCR  CITY OF ANGELS Sep03 Aug06       (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 4.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHICALELEE by CHEROKEE RUN)
8  SEABOARD Sep03 Oct21       (sierra javier)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of BORDER UNION by UNION RAGS)
9  GLORIOUS LIFE         (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of GLORIOUS LUCK by LUCKY J. H.)
 
SA-6   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OH GREAT (IRE) Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 Jul28 Jul09 (rivera leobar)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
2  ELEVADO Oct07 Sep03 Mar12 Jan21 Nov27 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 2.50    
3  PARK CITY Sep30 Sep01 Jul21 Jun03 Sep11 (valenzuela j)BRAVO J 120 2.50    
4  BRIGHT LEAF Aug26 Dec31 Dec04 Sep09 Apr08 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  AFJAN Aug18 Jun07 May27 May04 Apr23 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
6  LOW EXPECTATIONS Oct14 Sep03 Aug12 Apr08 Mar26 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00    
 
SA-7   10/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GANTRY Sep08 Aug10       (han)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 10.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of VIVACIOUS BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  JUST A GUESS Jul29         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of EPISTEMOLOGY by WAR FRONT)
3  FLEET BROTATO Sep29         (valenzuela ma)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of FLEET CAROLINE by TEJANO RUN)
4  IMMELMANN Sep29 Sep04 Aug13 Jul22   (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 122 5.00 7% 13.70    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERRYESSA by DANDY MAN)
5  LIGHT DRAGOON Aug27         (wright blaine)BAZE C 122 5.00 50% 1.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of R Y SQUADRON by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  HIGH KING Sep29         (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 115 3.50 8% 12.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of PUBLIC HOUSE by TRIBAL RULE)
7  LONG JACKET Sep10         (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of LONG LEGGED LOVELY by BENCHMARK)
8  NESTUCKA Sep29 Sep02       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 11% 8.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  HELEN'S SUN Sep04 Jul29       (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MISS REBOUND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
SA-8   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Anoakia Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDY BOTTOM Sep10         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STARLIT DAYDREAM by CAN THE MAN)
2  CHEEKY GAL Sep09 Aug06       (miller peter)BAZE C 120 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BLACKHAWK HONEY by MALABAR GOLD)
3  DUA Oct07 Aug12 Jul22     (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.20 57% 0.80    
  (by ARROGATE out of ATTEMPT TO NAME by CONSOLIDATOR)
4  TAMBO Sep09 Jul28 Jul08     (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 118 5.00    
  (by ENTICED out of FLATTER ME FIRST by FLATTER)
5  BECKY'S DREAM (FR) Jun17 May27       (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CORPORATE QUEEN by COLONEL JOHN)
 
SA-9   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  URBAN LEGEND         (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SINGING KITTY by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
3  NYSOS         (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 120 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of ZETTA Z by BERNARDINI)
4  BETTER THAN GOLD         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
5  TRACKER         (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of GOMO by UNCLE MO)
6  BRITISH ISLES         (baffert bob)SMITH E 120 4.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PURELY HOT by PURE PRIZE)
7  CITADINO Oct08         (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 120 50.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CALAIS by A.P. INDY)
8  DE' MEDICI         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BANDORA by DIXIELAND BAND)
9  MISCHIEF MOMENTS         (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MOMENTS PAST by CAME HOME)
10  E J WON THE CUP Sep09 Aug11       (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00 47% 1.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FIRSTHAND REPORT by BLAME)
11  COLORADO CRUISER Sep30         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of BABY NINA by FLATTER)
SCR  MIDNIGHT LOVE May29 May12       ( )TBA null      
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MAGICAL BAND by DIXIE UNION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.