Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/8/7)-(5/1/8/7) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (5/1/8)-(2/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8)-(2/7/8)-(3/4/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
WO-2   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/1/8)-(2/7/1/8) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (2/7/8)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(3/4/2)-(6/8/3/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/4/2)-(6/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(6/8/3/4)-(4/8/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-4   WIN (6/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/8/3/4)-(4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/4)-(4/8/3)-(2/3/1/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-5   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (4/8/3)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3)-(2/3/1/5)-(1/2/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-6   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/5)-(1/2/7)-(2/9/6/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-7   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/2/7)-(2/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WO-8   WIN (2/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   10/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE ME THE BOOTS Sep15 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 6% 15.00    
FOREST MAIDEN Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 May25 (attard)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00    
MO TOWN MADISON Sep30 Aug25 Aug02 Jun18 May21 (joseph saf)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
WAR'S END KISS Sep22 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 May25 (parro )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
TIPSY MOON Sep14 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 (tharrenos wi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 1.20 70% 0.40    
INFINITE PASSION Sep14 Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 Jul01 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 125 20.00    
STRIKE THE POSE Sep15 Sep03 Aug06 Jul20 Jul08 (raghunath rave)FLORES ESWAN 122 4.50    
MURDER HORNET Jun16 May27 May12 Apr22 Mar16 (dunslow mi)ANDERSON JODEIEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-2   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORPHAN HALLIE Sep23 Aug25 Aug11 Aug03 Jul16 (raghunath)WILSON JAYNE 122 3.00    
MAXIMUS MOMENTUS Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Apr30 (armata ross)SALLES LEO 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
THREE SONNY SIDEUP Sep14 Aug11 Jul15 Jun18 May26 (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 114 3.50    
BOKERMIN Sep23 Sep02 Aug05 Jul06 Jun09 (glennon darren)STEIN JUSTIN 122 12.00    
COPINSAY Sep29 Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jul06 (holder)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 20.00    
UPSTART GENTLEMAN Sep23 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Apr02 (tharrenos wi)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00    
LUCYS CHILD Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 Nov27 Nov18 (gracey phi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00 6% 16.90    
CANYOUHEARMENOW Aug12 Aug03 Jul06 Jun17 May20 (krc)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-3   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCHANT ME Sep09 Aug04 Jul15 Jun18 Dec04 (dipaola san)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
KEEP GRINDING Aug19 Jul15 May20 Nov27 Nov06 (attard tino)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
NONNO'S LITTLE BOY Aug19 Jul07 Jun15 May26 Dec11 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
BRINGER OF RAIN Aug19 Jul09 Jun04 May07 Dec11 (minshall bar)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 13% 6.50    
MAD MOCHA Sep16 Aug13 Jun04 May06 Nov25 (simon stuart)FLORES ESWAN 124 3.00    
BLUEBERRY FIELDS Sep09 Jul29 Jul13 Jun11 Dec10 (greer brando)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 3.50    
 
WO-4   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY PHYLLIS Sep07 Aug24 Aug04     (dunslow a)BYNOE DESEAN 115 20.00    
MO TOURING Aug12 Jun23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep03 (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50    
MUSKOKA SUMMER Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Aug25 (grant carlos)MUNGER RYAN 123 10.00 11% 8.50    
I'M A BOURBON GIRL Sep14 Aug18 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (staples j)WILSON JAYNE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WELL ACTUALLY Sep23 Sep08 Aug12 Jul20 Jul08 (glennon darr)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 8.00    
HUMOR ME JIM Sep03 Jul16 Jun01 May13 Nov10 (mcknight nor)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
GRACE ON THE GREEN Sep08 Aug05 Jul09 Jun16 May27 (bell dave)STEIN JUSTIN 125 6.00    
MORAL TURPITUDE Sep09 Jul22 Jul02 May21 Apr30 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 19% 4.20    
GOLDEN SUZIE Sep23 Aug26 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 (buntain an)ANDERSON JODEIEN 125 20.00    
 
WO-5   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAROFOLI Sep17 Aug27 Aug13     (ross a)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 2.50    
RED SNEAKERS Aug13 Jul29 Jul16     (attard c)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.50    
SPIRIT OF SEATTLE Sep10 Aug19       (attard st)RAINFORD MICHELLE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAXIMUS MAGIC         (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.00 47% 1.10    
CANADIAN DADDY Sep24         (buttigieg paul)STEIN JUSTIN 118 10.00    
NEEDS FULFILLED Sep17         (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 10.00    
SCR  QUANDALE Sep10 Aug27       (katryan abraham)HOYTE JASON 118 20.00    
PASSION PRONE         (depaul)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
WO-6   10/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND AMBITION Sep22 Aug25 Jul30 Jul06 May28 (voyce jeff)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
VENTI Aug26 Jul15 Jun10 Oct23 Aug21 (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.50 43% 1.30    
TREBUCHET Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SEATTLE POINT Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 May28 (dunslow a)BYNOE DESEAN 113 20.00    
MIAH SAID Sep15 Aug17 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (holder tedston)HOYTE JASON 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DIXIE'S FLATTER Sep15 Sep02 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 (berringer )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 10.00    
DREAM ON BABY Sep15 May05 Mar19 Feb18 Dec22 (mor)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 6.00    
NITEINSHININGARMOR May26 Dec11 Oct16     (buttigieg )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 20.00    
DISCOVERY CHART Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04   (glennon darren)STEIN JUSTIN 118 12.00    
 
WO-7   10/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) Aug24 Jul21 Jun15 Apr23 Mar17 (dunslow mike)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
WESTERN TROUBLE Sep17 Aug24 Jul21 Jul14 Jul06 (armata v)HUSBANDS P 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
TRICKY MAGICIAN Sep17 Aug24 Jul21 Jul08 Jun22 (armata vito)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.50    
LUV TO WIN Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 (mcknight norma)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00    
SCR  CRAFTY CONQUEST Sep25 Aug21 Aug01 Jul08 Jun13 (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 117 20.00    
SCR  SMART COVERAGE Sep22 Aug06 Jul14 Jul07 Mar15 (tiller rob)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 116 15.00    
GHOUL (BRZ) Sep17 Aug24 Jul14 Jun09 May06 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND ALLIANCE Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul16 Jun09 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00    
 
WO-8   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61.8K) 2 ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING BOURBON Jul29         (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 118 12.00 13% 6.70    
VANDOO Aug27 Jul29       (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 115 3.00 25% 3.00    
VALLEY VICTORY Sep08 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 (hol)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 15.00    
NATURAL STAR Sep22 Sep02 Aug19     (katryan abraha)FLORES ESWAN 123 10.00    
SCR  ALWAYS A WAY Aug13 Aug06 Jul16     (mcdonald mic)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 20.00    
SIESTA BEACH Sep24 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25   (doyle michael )CIVACI SAHIN 120 6.00 17% 5.10    
THAT GIRL ARTEMUS Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Jun03 (squires nathan)BYNOE DESEAN 115 8.00    
CLASSY IMAGE Sep22 Aug27       (katryan abraham)VIVES SOFIA 113 15.00    
MEKO MAKEE Sep24 Aug19 Jul29     (tharrenos willi)MORENO OMAR 120 1.60 23% 3.30    
10  CANTUCCI Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul16   (biamonte ralph )MUNOZ LARRY 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.