Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-2   WIN (7/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/3)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-3   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(6/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (6/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/2)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/1/6)-(4/5/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(6/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-6   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(9/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (9/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/4)-(9/6/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/6/4)-(9/6/8/4)-(9/6/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/6/4)-(1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-8   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-9   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONADORA GIRL         (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50    
SMART JENNY         (ritvo p)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
FLUFFY Aug11 Jul07       (rodriguez ang)MORALES ANGEL 113 8.00 7% 13.00    
WONDERFULVENEZUELA         (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 118 4.50    
DUKES GONNA TAPIT Aug05         (o'dwyer jer)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 15.00 7% 12.40    
BABY SASSICAIA Aug13         (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
NAUGHTY FAVORS         (pompay terri)REYES LEONEL 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
REFUGIADA         (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
 
GP-2   09/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY FACTOR Aug25 Jul23 May20 May06 Mar09 (catanese )CAMACHO JR 124 15.00    
MORNING COLORS Aug25 Jul23 Jun25 Jun10 May20 (crichton rohan)RIVERA JON 114 2.50 7% 13.00    
DOMINEERING Sep01 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LA RUSIA Aug25 Jul21 Jun17 May20 Apr30 (nunez eduardo)JARAMILLO E 124 4.50    
RUBYSA Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 May06 Apr09 (rodriguez ang)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 20.00    
CRYSTAL COAST Aug25 Jul21 Jun17 May11 Apr15 (david carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 3.00 8% 11.90    
FRENCH FRANC (FR) Jul23 May21 Apr20 Mar08 Feb16 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 4.00 63% 0.60    
ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Jul30 Jun23 Jun02 Apr06 Mar19 (braddy davi)MORALES ANGEL 115 6.00    
 
GP-3   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORPORATE AFFAIR Sep08 Aug20 Aug11 Aug04 Jun24 (lutchman padarat)RIVERA JON 114 8.00    
CANTARO Sep01         (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 119 5.00    
BESTIAL         (rizo juan)ARROYO MIGUEL 119 15.00 8% 11.90    
MOTOWN PUNK Sep01 Jul30       (o'connell kathl)PEREZ EDGAR 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
UNCAPTURED BOY Sep01 Jul29 Jun02     (pinchi)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
SCR  ALL POINTS MADE         (acker d)LEON SONNY 119 15.00    
ONE FAST DREAM Sep02 Jul30 Jun04 Apr29 Mar31 (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 119 1.40 51% 1.00    
 
GP-4   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR KAHN Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 (pita daniel)RIVERA JON 111 30.00    
HERE COMES BULLET May13 Apr15 Mar24 Mar03 Feb08 (cazares laur)MORELOS E 121 3.50 7% 13.50    
LEE ANN'S WARRIOR Sep03 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jul02 (catanese josep)REYES LEONEL 121 12.00    
HE'S IN CHARGE Sep01 Aug04 Jul22 Jul02 Apr29 (maragh a)PANICI LUCA 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
ALEX'S STRIKE Aug06 Jul09 Apr29 Mar23 Feb24 (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
ROYAL KITTEN Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 May28 May13 (walder r)RIOS M 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
SARAWAT Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jun25 (cordero enie)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 4.00    
KUHL STAR Apr21 Apr08 Mar19 Mar05 Nov18 (dye steve)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 20.00    
 
GP-5   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELISSA JOE Sep02 Aug05 Dec28 Dec07 Oct29 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 121 3.00    
BREAKING BULLET Sep02 Aug19 Jul16 Jun24 May18 (mckanas j)RIOS M 121 4.50    
SCR  FREE CRISTINA Sep09         (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 121 6.00    
ROMASHKA Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
DESERT DIVA         (garcia rodolfo)LEON SONNY 121 20.00 29% 2.50    
EMPIRE GIRL Sep02 May26 May05 Apr22 Apr05 (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOVELY DRAMA Aug26 Jul16 Jun17 May28 Apr29 (o'connell ka)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00    
TOP LOOK Aug27         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 4.50    
HYDRIA Jul16 Jun10 May20 Mar31 Feb17 (orseno f)RIVERA JON 111 20.00    
10  SAMURAI'SDON'TCRY Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jun30 (gonzalez )MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 30.00    
 
GP-6   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($51K) 2 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAY'S RHONDA CARES Aug20         (dwoskin steven)PANICI LUCA 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
SHE HAS CLASS Aug13 May13 Apr20     (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 120 30.00    
TEARDUC Jul29 Jun23       (minguet ramon)LEON SONNY 120 4.50    
SCR  OMAHA GIRL Jul29 Jun03       (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00    
SCR  DEMAR'S LEGACY Jul23         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 10.00    
R HARPER ROSE Aug05         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 1.40 39% 1.50    
AVELLINO Aug13 May18 Apr21     (antonucci je)MORELOS E 120 15.00    
STAR OF SATURN Aug06         (dibon)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 5% 17.80    
 
GP-7   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARTY SHAKER         (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 118 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWIFT VENGEANCE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
WINDRUSH         (pinchin jose)REYES LEONEL 118 5.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DEFYING GRAVITY by WILDCAT HEIR)
DANNEEL         (laurato michae)BORACO DAVID 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS VIGILANCE by WAR PASS)
ISAYSO Sep03 Aug20       (sano antonio)RIOS M 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of AIREOFDISTINCTION by SONGANDAPRAYER)
LUCY'S COOKIE Aug27         (abreu fernand)MORALES ANGEL 113 20.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of BILOXI PRINCESS by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
GET READY GAL Aug13         (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
SPANISH GIRL         (delgado jorg)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SHANGHAI STARLET by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
LOVEYS EMBRACE Sep03 Aug13       (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of STORMY ALLURE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
BUBBLY CHAMPAGNE Aug20         (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of ICY TALES by TALE OF EKATI)
 
GP-8   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMICALLY Apr01 Feb04 Nov04 Oct01 Sep02 (pinchin jose)PEREZ EDGAR 118 1.20 64% 0.60    
JELLICLE KATZ Aug19 Jul22 Jun17 May11 Apr20 (santiago )MALDONADO GABRIEL 108 30.00    
DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Sep09 Aug12 Jul01 Apr27 Apr09 (miranda lu)ALONSO LUIS 121 15.00    
THE MRS Sep15 Apr22 Feb22 Jan15 Dec18 (yates michael)RIOS M 118 5.00    
JUST MERCY Jul22 Jun30 Apr29 Jan29   (preudhomme l)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
RASTANI Aug11 Jul09       (miller herbe)MORELOS E 118 6.00 8% 11.00    
ADIOS BABY Aug27 May18 Apr14 Mar11 Feb17 (vinson)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STARSHIP AURORA Aug19 Jul09 Jun10 May25 Apr15 (dwoskin steven)REYES LEONEL 118 3.50    
 
GP-9   09/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($37K) 2 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER STORM STRIC Sep15         (lutchman padara)PEREZ EDGAR 118 15.00    
MAGICSHADOW Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
FIRST COAST STORM Aug06         (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
ATOMICO         (minguet ramon)REYES LEONEL 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
CHEER COACH Aug19         (nicks e)PANICI LUCA 118 8.00    
EXCLUSIVE DANCER Aug25         (miller herbe)MORELOS E 118 3.50    
DIAMOND MESSA Sep02 Aug05       (spatz ronald)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 15.00    
SCR  EKATI KING Aug26 Aug05       (spatz b)JARAMILLO E 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.