Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - September 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(6/4)-(7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(7/4)-(3/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/4)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(3/4/6)-(4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(4/2)-(8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-5   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(8/1/4)-(4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-6   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(4/3)-(4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
DEL-8   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   09/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKIN N DREAMING Aug16         (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 119 6.00    
EDDIE FELSON         (shuman mark)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
ARMED AND READY         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
ALL THE WAY         (capuano phillip)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 4.00    
FREE DROP BACH         (dunham berna)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00    
DUBAI FIRE         (beecher m)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FINICKY Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul07   (nambo cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
DEL-2   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GET A GRIP MARILYN Sep06 Jun04 May25 Apr20 Sep09 (morzan javie)ARROYO S 120 3.50    
BODACIOUS BREN Dec11 Nov25 Nov04     (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
RUBY DOOBY DOO Aug29 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Jun18 (ashton patr)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 8.00    
LUNITA Aug12 Jul26 Jun30 Jun17 Mar29 (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
EXPECT A CIRCUS Aug12 Jul12 Jan07 Dec24 Nov25 (werneth rober)MARTIN MATTIE 112 8.00    
GWYNEDD Jul21 Jun09 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 (perkins jr)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
DEL-3   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GET READY GAL Aug13         (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
ROGUE RIVER         (schistl rafael)MENA E 119 8.00    
  (by ROGUEISH out of PETITE RIVIERE by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
SCR  AMIRATI Jul29 Jul13 Jun18 Jun03 May11 (chichakly am)ARROYO S 119 10.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
CONTESSA'S SONG Jul29         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 112 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BEV'S SUMMER SONG by BIRDSTONE)
ARIJANA'S PEARL         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SHERINI by BERNARDINI)
IRON PYRITE         (schistl r)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WILY by STREET CRY)
ARCH STREET Aug02         (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 2.00 61% 0.70    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TEQUILITA by UNION RAGS)
 
DEL-4   09/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($28K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVE MY LOVE Aug05 Dec17 Aug25 Aug10   (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 120 1.80    
LADY ZETA Aug19 Jul02 Jun19 May22 May02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
BABY STEPS Aug06 Jul09 May20 Apr09 Mar09 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 114 2.50 54% 0.80    
ABOVE THE LIMIT Aug19 Jul09 Jun15 May19 Apr20 (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
CORA PEARL Aug19 Jun15 Apr01 Feb24 Dec08 (brinkman brett)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.50    
CASTILLEJA Jun26 Jun15 May15 Apr03 Feb27 (pino michae)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-5   09/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($40K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUISSET Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 Jan07 Dec03 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 120 1.80    
PENNY POLKA Aug16 Jul28       (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 120 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  ALEXIS'S STORM Aug03 Jan03 Nov14 Jun09 Apr30 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.50    
TIPSY GIRL Aug16 Jul22 Dec12 Nov23   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Aug16 Jun13 Apr21 Mar24 Mar12 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 123 6.00    
MYSTIC MALIBU Aug13 Jul21 Jun15 May18 May04 (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
 
DEL-6   09/08/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBYNESS         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of UP HILL BATTLE by STREET MAGICIAN)
HOYA Aug16         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ADORABLE YOU by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  CATALINA KID Aug25 Aug04       (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SACRED HEART by SUPER SAVER)
WILLY D'S         (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 118 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
DEVINE FLAMEAWAY Aug16 Jun28       (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 118 5.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SPEED TO VICTORY by BODEMEISTER)
BEYOND REPROACH Aug24 Jul26       (seale chris)MARIN A 118 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of KIMONO by BERNARDINI)
DRILLING FOR GOLD Aug05         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of DANCEFORTHECAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FAVORITE HAUNT         (stidham michael)CENTENO E 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DESERT RENDEZVOUS by HARD SPUN)
 
DEL-7   09/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER MOON May06 Mar31 Mar11 Jan13 Dec16 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 120 2.50    
SCR  LEASE Jul19 Jun20 May22 Apr20 Feb25 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
MY MAN VITO Aug02 Jul06 Jun14 Apr28 Mar26 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
POLTERER Aug26 Jul21 Jul06 Jun23 May06 (compton greg)MENA E 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
FAST BREAKIN CASH Aug05 Jul17 Jul03 Jun10 May20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.80    
SCR  DEEP FAITH Aug19 Jul19 Jun02 May13 Dec21 (spina charles)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
DEL-8   09/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LORD DARNLEY Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 Jun03 May24 (douthall )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
LIFESPAN Aug17 Aug09 Jul22 Jul06 Jun23 (ramirez jose )ALICEA JEREMY 113 6.00    
NIGHT OPS Aug09 Jul12 Jul03 Jun01 May20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
ROARING RIVER Aug17 Aug04 Apr06 Mar20 Mar11 (smith g)CEDENO CAROL 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
MELINA'S DREAM Aug26 Aug09 Jul22 Jul06 Jun21 (nazario pedr)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00    
MY FRIEND LINUS Aug26 Jul06 Jun03 Sep23 Sep10 (cronk samue)MARIN A 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.