Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/7)-(7/1/2/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(7/1/2/4)-(1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DMR-2   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(1/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(1/6/2)-(7/6/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(7/6/2/5)-(5/1/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-4   WIN (7/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/5)-(5/1/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/5)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/4/3/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-5   WIN (5/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/8)-(5/4/3/7/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/8)-(5/4/3/7/1)-(4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DMR-6   WIN (5/4/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7/1)-(5/4/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7/1)-(5/4/3/7/1)-(5/4/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7/1)-(4/1/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/7/1)-(4/1/3)-(2/12/11/5/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
DMR-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/12/11/5/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
DMR-8   WIN (2/12/11/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/12/11/5/6)-(2/12/11/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/12/11/5/6)-(2/12/11/5/6)-(2/12/11/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONT FIGHT THE FED Jul23 Jun17       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 1.20 63% 0.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAFFETA by SOUTHERN RHYTHM)
GIANOLA Aug11         (mathis and)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of VOCAL ARTS by GOOD JOURNEY)
CHIPPEWA BUD Jul28         (powell leonar)FRESU ANTONIO 125 8.00    
  (by TIZBUD out of FLAMING DIXIE by DIXIELAND BAND)
SHIP AND SCAM Jul23 May28 Apr09 Apr01 Feb18 (o'neill do)VAN DRAYDEN 121 3.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
TORQUEWRENCH Aug06         (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DIVA'S TRIBUTE by HENNY HUGHES)
COPPERTUNITY Jul23         (mccarthy mich)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ONEMORESWEETKISS by BEDFORD FALLS)
LOGON TO WIN Aug06 Jul01 Jan29 Jan06 Dec16 (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 121 6.00 7% 14.20    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of DECCAN QUEEN by FLATTER)
 
DMR-2   08/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASS CLOWN         (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISS LAVINIA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
GRAZEN TOUCH Aug28 Aug06 Jun11     (aguirre paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by GRAZEN out of LAVENDER TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
TAKE CARAMIE         (cassidy james)SMITH E 121 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN BALLS out of BIRTHDAY SURPRISE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
DIAMOND BAR GAL Aug06         (koriner br)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of PINKY'S POSH by BOLD BADGETT)
YALEO         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 20.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of HURRICANE PATTI by HOLD ME BACK)
SCR  SUMMER LAKE May22 Apr17       (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of ULTIMATE SUMMER by CEE'S TIZZY)
PERKINS Jun04         (mathis andy)MALDONADO E 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of CARMEN'S MYSTERY by WAR FRONT)
SAHARA SUE         (mccarthy sea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 121 12.00    
  (by DESERT CODE out of MADAME HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SING A HAPPY SONG         (mulhall kristin)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MADE TO WORSHIP by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
SCR  SATOSHI Aug06         (hofmans da)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MONEY PLAYS by MR. EASY MONEY)
SCR  RHYME OR REASON Aug06         (headley kar)HERRERA A 124 2.50    
  (by CYCLOTRON out of SURFIN' SAFARI by SURF CAT)
SCR  CALIFORNIA DIVA         (fales matt)MALDONADO E 121 20.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SUMMERS PEACE by ORIENTATE)
 
DMR-3   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARDIFF CRACK Aug13 Jul21 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (mclean)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
BIG HAT WILLIE Jul21 Jun23 May20 May05 Apr09 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 119 8.00 12% 7.10    
THIRTY FOUR COUPE Jul21 Jun02 May07 Mar26 Feb19 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00    
DUAL THREAT Jul22 Sep10 Jul30 Jun11 May05 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 125 8.00    
CONQUERING KING Jul30 Jun18 Sep04 Aug05   (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 125 2.50    
TELOS Aug12 Mar11 Jan21 Nov25 Aug26 (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
 
DMR-4   08/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 2 ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEDDY'S TRIUMPH         (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SEAMSTRESS by LANGFUHR)
WILD RECRUIT         (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of AWESOME WILD GIRL by AWESOME AGAIN)
CHARGE FOR GOLD         (oviedo phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GASP by TINAJERO)
GOLD FOOT         (mccarthy sean)COUTON JULIEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TIZ LADYS LEGS by TIZNOW)
STICK SHIFT         (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PLAYA BLANCA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
ANDREADYTORUMBLE         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MORE HOPING by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
PHAROAHS LIST         (metz jeffrey)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of DINSKI by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
UNCHARTED         (hanson ryan)MALDONADO E 120 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LIVE YOUNG by SMART STRIKE)
10  EIGHT CLAP         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  SLIDER Jul29         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 1.60    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DAYS LIKE THIS by CONGRATS)
SCR  RASTAMAN VIBE Aug03         (hanson ryan)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of KICHITA by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  LAWLESS WORLD         ( )TBA null      
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LAWLESS LILY by MEDALLIST)
 
DMR-5   08/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRONG TURN CUPID Jul30 Jul02 Jun18 May27 Dec17 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
CARELESS STAR Jul28 May07 Apr09 Jan06 Aug21 (brinkerhoff va)TORREALBA JG 113 10.00    
FLAT OUT JOY Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 Jun02 May05 (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 120 10.00    
SHOUT IT OUT Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 May26 (bainum)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 5% 18.30    
WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Jul28 Jun18 Feb06 Jan16   (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
THE REIGN SONG Jul28 Jul04 May29 Apr21 Mar26 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 12.00    
JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Jul30 Jun09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 (mccanna tim)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
SHVERE ARBETER Jul30 Jul08 May19 Apr22 Mar25 (campuzano l)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DMR-6   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHER REID Aug03 Jun16 Apr29 Mar27 Dec27 (cerin vladi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEFS BLANKET Aug13 Jun24       (o'neill doug)BRAVO J 125 20.00    
BEEF WINSLOW Jan02 Dec17 Sep24 Aug25 Jul23 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 16% 5.30    
DERECHO DANDY Aug10 Jun02 May07 Jan27 Dec11 (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 2.50 22% 3.50    
LANSDOWNE (GB) Aug02 Jul27 Jun04 Apr21 Apr16 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
GIOVINAZZO Aug13 Jul23 Jun04 May13 Apr22 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 15.00    
STORMY VICTORY Aug03 May19 Mar18 Feb25 Jan08 (crichton ro)HERRERA A 125 12.00 11% 8.20    
OVERRULE Aug03 Jun02 May14 Jan27 Apr02 (mandella richar)MALDONADO E 125 8.00    
NUMERO DIX (GB) Jun16 May07       (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 125 5.00    
10  AURELIAN MAN Aug12 Jul22       (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 20.00    
 
DMR-7   08/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JENSCO Aug05 Apr30       (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 119 1.80 16% 5.20    
ESSENTIAL BUSINESS Aug04 Jul08 Jun11 Oct30 Oct07 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00    
SIGNORA MINISTER Jul28 Jun24 Jun09 May12   (miller peter)TORREALBA JG 115 4.00 12% 7.50    
PLEASANT Jun16 Mar18       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.60 49% 1.00    
INDY'S STAR Jul04 Jun23 Jun02 May02 Apr19 (powell leon)HERRERA A 122 12.00    
VITALERA (CHI) Jul28 Jun17       (polanco mar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 30.00    
GOLDEN PRAYER Jul22 Jun04 Apr22 Apr01   (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 119 8.00    
 
DMR-8   08/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 2 ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLANDFORD (GB)         (freema)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of GHEDI by AUSSIE RULES)
INVINCIBLE Jul29         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MAGICAL MOOD by FORESTRY)
HEAD LAD Jul29         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of ENTICE by LURE)
BEAR RIVER         (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SIXTYFIVENORTH by MIDSHIPMAN)
UPLIFT         (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of WHY LUCY WHY by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  JUST A GUESS Jul29         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of EPISTEMOLOGY by WAR FRONT)
GORILLA BOY         (mullins jef)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of VIVERE by WAR FRONT)
BOLTAGE Jul23         (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ULTIMATE PRIZE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
10  DETAILS MATTER Jul30         (koriner brian)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 30.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of ANNIE OVER by ATTA BOY ROY)
11  MASTERS SUNDAY Jul30 Jul09       (o'n)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FLIRTING WITH FATE by SAINT BALLADO)
12  TRACK AND FIELD Jul30         (mccarthy michae)MALDONADO E 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by ENTICED out of RUN LIKE THE BOSS by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  AMBIGUOUS Aug05         (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of TRUSTINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MARY'S BOY BOLT Jul23         ( )TBA null      
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MARY EDNA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  OSAGE CREEK Aug03 Jun18       ( )TBA null      
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FAR ISLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.