Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/8/5/1)-(5/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/1)-(5/11/6)-(1/5/6/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-2   WIN (5/11/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/11/6)-(5/11/6/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/6)-(5/11/6/4/10)-(5/11/6/4/10) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
    DD (5/11/6)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/11/6)-(1/5/6/7)-(3/4/8) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-3   WIN (1/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/5/6/7)-(3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/7)-(3/4/8)-(8/6/3/7/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-4   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/10/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/10/11/8)-(3/4/10/11/8) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
    DD (3/4/8)-(8/6/3/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(8/6/3/7/2)-(3/2/5/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-5   WIN (8/6/3/7/2) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/7/2)-(8/6/3/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/7/2)-(8/6/3/7/2)-(8/6/3/7/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/7/2)-(3/2/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/7/2)-(3/2/5/7)-(1/4/7/3) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
WO-6   WIN (3/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/2/5/7)-(1/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/7)-(1/4/7/3)-(5/7/4/2/3) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
WO-7   WIN (1/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/4/7/3)-(5/7/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
WO-8   WIN (5/7/4/2/3) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/2/3)-(5/7/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/2/3)-(5/7/4/2/3)-(5/7/4/2/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   08/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADELAIDE COURT Jul16 Jun11 Dec08 Nov18 Nov04 (holder)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 3.50 6% 15.00    
2  SMART SKY Jul07 Jun15 May26 Apr30 Dec10 (raghunath )CAMPOS LUIS 120 10.00    
3  MT LOGAN Jul23 Jul06 Jul17 Jun23   (minshall barbar)VIVES SOFIA 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  COLLABORATIVE Jul29 Jul06 Jun09 May21 May06 (raghunath ra)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 8.00    
5  MOMENT OF PEACE Jul16 Jun17 May06 Dec02 Nov03 (morden richa)CARROLL DECLAN 125 6.00 7% 12.80    
6  MUSICAL STRIDE Jul01 Jun10 May20 Nov13 Oct13 (dep)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 10.00    
7  CANDY STREET Jul14 Jun23 May26 May07 Nov27 (dunslow mike)WALCOTT W 118 20.00    
8  WALTER ME LAD Jul23 Jun23 May20 Sep16   (love m)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 10% 8.80    
 
WO-2   08/17/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHARP AZA RAINBOW Jul09 Jun10 May27 Oct29 Oct08 (mcknight norma)FLORES ESWAN 118 20.00    
2  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Jun22 May25 May05 Apr22 Dec10 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 12.00    
3  ASHLEE'S RING Jul20 Jul13 Jun15 May25 Apr29 (dixon patric)WALCOTT W 120 10.00    
4  TOTAL BETTY Jul31 Jul09 Jun22 Sep17 Aug26 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 123 12.00 ★    
5  CRASH THE CREASE Jul20 Jun23       (mac)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  CHROME'S ANGEL Aug03 Jun22 May26 May05 Dec03 (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KATCHY NAME Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 Dec01 Oct20 (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 113 10.00    
SCR  TAMANA Jun29 Jun17 Oct14 Sep24   (burke nige)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 6.00    
9  MOON POOL Dec08 Nov19 Oct13 Sep29 Sep09 (black )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 20.00    
10  MENAGERIE Jul31 Jul24 Jul13 Jun26 Jun13 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 123 15.00 ★    
11  LIPLOCK Jul23 Jun25 Dec01 Nov05   (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.50 18% 4.40    
 
WO-3   08/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA MEISTER Jul21 Dec04 Nov13 Sep25   (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by TAPIZAR out of AMETHEA by HENNY HUGHES)
2  THE NEW MAYBE Jul21         (tiller robert)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 15.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of NEW SENSATION by OLD FORESTER)
3  CELENTANO Jun24 Jun02 Sep10 Aug14   (parente pat)STEIN JUSTIN 120 4.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of GOOD GATOR by GOOD AND TOUGH)
4  WET AND WILD         (mcknight nor)WALCOTT W 120 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SILENT SINNER by SILENT NAME)
5  CHAMBER MUSIC Nov25 Aug21       (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DANCE TO THE SEA by GONE WEST)
6  COHERENCE Jul30 Jul01 May20 Apr22 Dec11 (armata v)MORAN DAVID 120 3.00 13% 6.80    
  (by SKY MESA out of SAN ANDREA'S FAULT by GAUTENG)
7  PROUD RONIN Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 May20 Dec11 (huarte fra)CAMPOS LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of SILENT RONIN by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
WO-4   08/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($49.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL CHAIRMAN Jul22 Jul01       (depaulo mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 12.00    
2  BELLASPINA Jul08 Jun22       (drake )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 20.00    
3  STAR SCHOLAR Jul30 Jun09 Dec11 Nov18 Nov03 (mcpherson )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
4  HOLIDAY IN CHILE         (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 124 10.00 29% 2.50    
5  ASTAPOVO Jul30 Jul09 Jun04     (mchugh saul)MUNGER RYAN 124 3.00    
6  DANCIN' DEPUTY Jul21 Jul06 Jun10 Nov27   (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 120 15.00    
7  AMAZON FORESTER Jul30 Jul06 Jun10 May20   (krczmar z)WILSON JAYNE 118 20.00    
8  HEEZESPEEDY Jul30 Jul01 Jun02 Oct28 Oct14 (buttigieg paul)STEIN JUSTIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  HUNGRY WOLF Jul30 Jun24 Jun04 Dec02 Nov13 (teape carlton)ELLIS S 120 8.00    
10  SECRET STORM Jul30 Jul06 Jun09 May20 Sep16 (siddo barr)CAMPOS LUIS 118 6.00 ★    
11  MIAH SAID Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr22 (holder tedston)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  MR. RUDY Jul30 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Aug28 (flint steve)MORAN DAVID 120 15.00    
 
WO-5   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST MONARCH Jul22 Jul08 Sep30     (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00    
2  CHIPOTLE PEPPER Jun11         (colbourne)SEECHARAN A 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  OLD BLUE CLIFF Jul30 Jul06 Jun10     (berringer pe)CARROLL DECLAN 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  GOLDEN WIND Jul22         (leon b)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 20.00    
5  JMR SPEEDY ESCAPE Jul22 Jul06 Jun10     (chircop stev)WALCOTT W 120 15.00    
6  ARAFAT         (pollock bruce)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
7  BURLAP Jul30 Jul08 Jun16 Jun01   (chubb bev)WILSON JAYNE 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  CHAIRMAN RAINBOW Jul22 Jul06 Jun15 May13   (mcknight nor)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
9  SUGARTAP         (attard c)FLORES ESWAN 120 8.00    
10  FIELD HOCKEY Nov27 Nov06 Oct08 Sep22   (whalen john)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 20.00    
 
WO-6   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED VIXEN Jul13 Jun22 Apr30 Nov03 Oct07 (dunslow a)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00    
2  SILENT GHOST Jul08 Jun03 May14 Sep15 Aug27 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  HARD TO CAPTURE Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 May13 Jan14 (armata v)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  HIT AND RUN Jul08 Jun15 May13 Apr29 Dec08 (mattine jo)CAMPOS LUIS 122 20.00    
5  LOIS LEN Jul08 May27 Dec11 Nov12 Oct01 (mattine michae)STEIN JUSTIN 122 8.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  NO WHAMMIE Jul15 Jun02 May19 Dec10 Oct30 (dunslow a)HUSBANDS P 122 6.00    
7  STARLIGHT RIDGE Aug03 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 May05 (armata vito)MUNGER RYAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  OLYMPIC FENCER Jul13 Jun29 Jun10 May27 Nov25 (katryan auste)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 20.00    
 
WO-7   08/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERDEJO Jul13 Jun03 May13 Apr22 Nov05 (arm)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  CEFALO May06 Apr29 Oct24 Aug04 Jul14 (siddo barringt)FLORES ESWAN 121 8.00    
3  STORMING LADY Jul18 Jun18 Apr23 Mar30 Feb18 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 123 6.00 9% 10.60    
4  IMA BEAST Jul15 Jun23 May27 Dec08 Nov19 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
5  MISS BOBBIT Jul20 Jun17 May25 May13 Apr22 (colbourne gordo)MORAN DAVID 121 20.00    
6  HALFINTHEWRAPPER Aug04 Apr23 Nov19 Oct15 Sep25 (hall phili)CAMPOS LUIS 121 10.00    
7  JILL Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Dec03 Nov05 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 123 3.50 10% 9.40    
 
WO-8   08/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD ROCK WARRIOR Aug03 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Jun01 (marrocco jason)MORENO OMAR 124 6.00    
2  ONANDONANDON Jul29         (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIXTOFIVE Jul13 Jun29 Jun11 Dec09 Nov05 (depaul)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Aug03 Jul13 Jun17 May25 Jun25 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 124 4.00 8% 11.70    
5  T'PRING Jul29 Jun29 Jun15 May07 Dec09 (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
6  SPIRIT O'TIPPERARY Jul29 Jul13 May26 Dec09 Nov11 (leblanc p)MORAN DAVID 122 20.00    
7  TELLTALE Aug04 Jul23 Jun25 Jun03 May14 (leb)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
8  FEDALINE Jun29 Jun15 May12 Apr29 Mar08 (russo s)WENC C 118 10.00    
9  MAKAYLA Jul20 Jun22 Jun01     (siddo )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.