Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-7   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/6)-(7/5/4)-(3/1/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
RUI-8   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(3/1/9/5)-(1/4/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
RUI-9   WIN (3/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/5)-(3/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/5)-(3/1/9/5)-(3/1/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-10   WIN (1/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/5)-(1/4/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/5)-(1/4/2/9/5)-(1/4/2/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/5)-(8/6/3/4/7)-(5/6/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
RUI-11   WIN (8/6/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/4/7)-(8/6/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/4/7)-(8/6/3/4/7)-(8/6/3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/3/4/7)-(5/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
RUI-12   WIN (5/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-7   07/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 35 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNKALICIOUS Jul22 Mar19 Mar14 Jan15 Dec19 (eliott)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 116 6.00    
LEA COSTA ME May21 Apr23 Apr15 Feb21 Jan24 (garcia )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BOOM BOOM DADDY Jun16 May29 Mar05 Feb19 Feb07 (l)DE CRUZ 121 3.50    
DON HOLLYWOOD Jul15 Jun16 May06 Apr23 Apr02 (armstrong sherry)JAIME R 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Jul15 Jun16 May06 Apr23 Mar12 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
HUNKY DUNN Sep08 Aug05 May15 Apr30 Feb26 (gomez alfredo)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
ATTACKING BOY Apr02 Mar14 Mar05 Dec06 Nov08 (soto salvador)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 12.00    
 
RUI-8   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY LENDER Jul08 Jun18 May13 Apr15 Mar19 (q)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
SEE YOU AT THE TOP Jun17 Mar19 Feb28 Apr24 Mar08 (gonzalez sal)CEBALLOS F 118 6.00    
BUMBLEBEE Jul16 Sep30 Sep02 Aug17 May13 (martinez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 3.50    
SUPER HUNK May06 Apr02 Mar28 Feb21 Jan31 (eliott)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00 8% 11.10    
SMOOTH BLUES Jul08 Nov15 Oct25 Oct17 Sep30 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 12.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  JUST AWESOME M Jul08 Apr15 Apr02 Feb19 Feb07 (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50    
ABSTRACT KAT Jun11 May29 May06 Apr08 Jan31 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
RUI-9   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS May21 Apr29 Apr08 Mar28 Feb19 (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
JASMINE WHO Jul23 Jun16 May14 Apr22 Mar14 (sedillo t)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
BAND OF GLORY Jul14 Jun24 Mar21 Aug19 Aug07 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 3.50 71% 0.40    
SCR  MISS ABILITY Jul15 Jun10 Apr30 Mar26 Mar14 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 5.00    
RELEASE THE GENIE Jul22 Jul08 May21 Apr29 Mar28 (alamos ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CASUAL ENCOUNTER Jun10 Mar26 Dec13 Nov06   (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 4.50    
SCR  I WIN LIKA GIRL Jul23 May06 Feb19 Jan01 Dec05 (c)DE CRUZ 121 2.50    
JEDI JENNIE May21 May14 May06 Apr22 Apr09 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 30.00    
FLOWER POWER Jun24 May14 Apr15 Apr08 Mar12 (trujillo je)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  EVIL TEMPTATION May14 Apr29 Apr15 Mar28 Mar21 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
 
RUI-10   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEL MAR SUMMER Jun16 Jan15 Oct25 Sep03 Jul04 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
TYGER TENNESSEE Jun16 Feb28 Jan18     (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 123 5.00    
HALF COURT SAM Jul16 May29 Apr02 Feb12 Jan29 (l)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
AWESOME STORM May06 Feb12 Jan15 Nov22   (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 123 6.00 29% 2.50    
DECK HUMOR Jul21 Jul08 Jun10 Jan22 Nov15 (lambert)FUENTES T 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
LIFE JACKET Jun11 Feb07 Dec13 Nov30 Oct04 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 10.00    
PULPITS FOX May13 Dec12 Nov15 Sep15 Sep03 (duree d)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
MR GOLD MAN Jun23 Apr29 Mar19 Feb14 Jan15 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00    
RAGTIME RYTHM Apr22 Aug27 Aug17 Jul17 May21 (acosta carl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
RUI-11   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JAX Jul15 Jun04 May20 May06 Apr30 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00    
BYE BYE BROOKY Jun24 Jun11 Aug14 Jul29 Jun19 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
RUNNING FOR GRACE Jul14 Jan03 Dec19 Dec06 Nov14 (lambert case)FUENTES A 123 15.00 17% 4.70    
LAKE ETHEL Mar19 Mar07 Jan22     (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 123 8.00 8% 12.20    
DOM PROUD Jun11 May29 May06 Apr15 Mar26 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 20.00    
SMASH AWAY May13 Apr23 Mar21 Feb14   (g)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
ALWAYS PUNCTUAL May20 Apr22 Mar14 Feb14 Dec14 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50 7% 12.50    
CROSSFIRE COWGIRL Jan15 Jan01 Dec13 Oct31 Oct05 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
MARQUEE'S STORM Jun18 Mar05 Feb19 Jan22 Jan01 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50    
10  SOCIAL CLUB Jun10 Apr22 Mar26 Feb26 Jan22 (aldavaz herm)MACIAS J 116 30.00    
 
RUI-12   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 35 ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA OF INDY Jun16 Jun03 May06 Apr23 Apr02 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
  (by INDY EXPRESS out of WONDROUS SEA by SEACLIFF)
SECOND BATTALION Jun16 Jun02       (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of NINE FROM TWO by CURLIN)
SMARTY'S BERTRANDO May06 Apr09 Mar21     (leyba r)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
  (by DR. SMARTY JACK out of DON'TJACKWITHJILL by PRINCE OF FAME)
LEGALLY REDDY May05 Mar19 Feb07 Mar05   (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50 6% 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SHE'S REDDY by MUTAKDDIM)
BLUE JEAN BOURBON Nov21 Nov08 Oct25     (l)DE CRUZ 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by KLIMT out of ON PAROLE by SILVER GHOST)
NACHO GRANDE Jul09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by DOME out of SHE'S A VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
AWESOME QUEST Mar13         (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
  (by OXBOW out of DOVIE by CORONADO'S QUEST)
BIG D W Jun16 Mar12 Feb14     (riddle jackie )CEBALLOS F 121 12.00    
  (by MARKING out of BONNIE MAE'S GIRL by MONTEREY JAZZ)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.