Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-3   WIN (11/4/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/9/2/6)-(11/4/9/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/9/2/6)-(11/4/9/2/6)-(11/4/9/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-5   WIN (2/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-7   WIN (1/5/8/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/6/2)-(1/5/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/6/2)-(1/5/8/6/2)-(1/5/8/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-8   WIN (3/7/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/8/2)-(3/7/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/8/2)-(3/7/5/8/2)-(3/7/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-10   WIN (4/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-3   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARIA APERTA May14 Apr30 Apr15 Aug13 Jul09 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.50    
DESERTROSE OFTEXAS May13 Apr09 Mar21 Mar07 Feb05 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 6% 16.40    
CARMON'S DANCE Jun17 May13 Apr22 Mar28 Mar19 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00    
SPEEDY WILDCAT Feb28 Dec19 Mar04 Feb08   (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 8.00 24% 3.20    
DESTINY WHO Jun24 Mar05 Feb05 Jan08 Dec12 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 12.00    
KEEP IT ROLLIN Jun11 May05 Apr18 Mar18 Feb13 (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE LUNA WHO Jun11 Apr19 Mar29 Feb28 Feb05 (silva n)VALDEZ S 123 30.00    
JASMINE WHO Jun16 May14 Apr22 Mar14 Feb05 (sedillo t)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 30.00    
NOBLE MISS Jan08 Dec06 Oct23 Aug31 Aug17 (lambert case)FUENTES A 123 15.00 12% 7.60    
10  ZIPPIN BY U Jun17 Apr08 Feb19 Feb07 Jan15 (van robert)JAIME R 123 30.00    
11  I WIN LIKA GIRL May06 Feb19 Jan01 Dec05 Nov22 (c)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
12  RESTLESS MOVER Jun24 Jun10 Mar26 Mar14 Feb14 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
 
RUI-5   07/23/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR ME GONE Jul08 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00    
SEXY DEXY Jun23 May07 Apr29 Apr08 Oct25 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
STRYDER Jul14 Jun23 Mar19 Jan29 Jan08 (rojero luis )FUENTES A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAGIC MOSCO Jun18 May06 Apr15 Mar12 Jan24 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
SCR  LUCK IN MY EYES Jun18 May06 Apr22 Apr09 Mar28 (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00    
LEATHERNECK Jun04 May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar05 (g)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  BEAR BRIAN Jul16 Jun23 May14 Jan24 Jan08 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
BESITOS CRIMINALES Jul16 Jun18 May29 May06 Apr15 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
RUI-7   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATFORD May13 Apr29 Apr09 Mar14 Feb21 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 1.80 36% 1.70    
PAINTED SMOKE Jun11 May06 Apr08 Mar21 Mar07 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUANTUM BULL Jun11 May13 Apr29 Apr08 Feb14 (b)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
DAN WHO Jun25 May13 Apr29 Apr02 Feb28 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
PRAIRIE WARRIOR Jun25 Feb21 Feb07 Jan17 Sep04 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 12.00 33% 2.00    
RARE COIN Jun16 May14 May06 Apr23 Apr15 (barrios b)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
WILD FIREWATER Jun11 May06 Apr08 Mar21 Feb14 (meridyth david)VALDEZ S 123 3.50    
MR RIGGER Jun25 Jun04 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 8.00 9% 10.40    
FLAG THE FOOTNOTE Jun25 Mar14 Feb12 Jan29 Aug14 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00    
 
RUI-8   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Road Runner Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTINO WHO May07 Mar26 Feb28 Feb12 Nov21 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00    
  (by COMFORT out of WEEKENDS FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LEAVE THEM BEHIND Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 (d)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of IVY GIMLET by DIABOLICAL)
MARKED MONEY Jun23 May29 Apr22 Mar26 Jan17 (fincher)FUENTES T 121 4.50 35% 1.80    
  (by MARKING out of MONEY ORDER by ATTILA'S STORM)
SMARTSREALGOOD Jun23 Jun10 May07 Mar26 Jan08 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of POISED BY DESIGN by MONTBROOK)
SAMBAS MARK Jun25 Mar26 Feb28 Jan17 Dec12 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 12.00 11% 7.80    
  (by MARKING out of SAMBA QUEEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  MONIKER Jun10 May13 Apr22 Feb28 Feb14 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of FAKED OUT by GONE HOLLYWOOD)
THRUTHESTORM Mar26 Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 Nov14 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of THRUTHELOOKINGLASS by ALYDAR)
NOSTRANGRTOTHERAIN Oct30 Oct10 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 10.00 6% 14.50    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of CAMPFIRE PARTY by FOREST DANGER)
NEW MEXICO JEREMY May07 Mar28 Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 2.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of TIA TIA by PINE BLUFF)
 
RUI-10   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lincoln Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIA Jun24 Mar05 Jan29 Dec01 Oct24 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 4.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of SHEZAPIRATE by DESERT GOD)
LEMON DROP GOLD Aug27 Aug07 Apr23 Mar27 Feb27 (gonzalez jua)FUENTES A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of POISON PEN by ARTS AND LETTERS)
DESERT SPIRIT (IRE) Jan29 Dec01 Oct30 Sep17 Aug17 (f)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
  (by PROCEED out of CARRIESAYSITBEST by MALIBU MOON)
CORRINA CORRINA Apr09 Mar05 Feb05 Dec12 Nov22 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of SCARED MONEY by CARSON CITY)
TIGHT FITTIN JEANS Apr02 Mar07 Feb05 Jan01 Dec12 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00 9% 10.70    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of CURVY KITTEN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
BOSSY BABY Apr09 Mar05 Jan17 Dec20 Dec06 (mart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of DATTTS DA BOSS by STREET BOSS)
COMIC HOT TODDY Feb28 Feb05       (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 15.00 20% 3.90    
  (by INDIAN FIREWATER out of COMICSPERFECTSTORM by COMIC GENIUS)
FLAXY LADY Apr09 Mar05 Jan29 Jan17 Dec12 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.50    
  (by FIREJACK out of DONALI by DONERAILE COURT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.