Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/7/6/4)-(6/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(4/6/7/3) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-2   WIN (6/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/3/2/4)-(4/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/4)-(4/6/7/3)-(2/3/1/4) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-3   WIN (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/6/7/3)-(2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/3)-(2/3/1/4)-(3/4/5/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-4   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(3/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(3/4/5/1)-(7/3/4/8) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-5   WIN (3/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/4/5/1)-(7/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/1)-(7/3/4/8)-(6/4/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-6   WIN (7/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/8)-(7/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/8)-(7/3/4/8)-(7/3/4/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/3/4/8)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/8)-(6/4/3)-(2/4/3/8/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/4/3)-(2/4/3/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
WO-8   WIN (2/4/3/8/6) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/8/6)-(2/4/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/8/6)-(2/4/3/8/6)-(2/4/3/8/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG INVESTMENT Jul06 Jun15 May28 May06 Apr23 (ross john )CAMPOS LUIS 119 8.00    
2  STORMY SOUL Jun22 May27 May06 Apr23 Mar26 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 1.40 65% 0.50    
3  SEA SCOUT Jul08 Jun16 Jun01 Nov26 Nov06 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00    
4  WENJACK Jul07 Jun01 May06 Apr23 Dec10 (grant carlos)MUNGER RYAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TRICKY MAGICIAN Jul08 Jun22 May14 Apr30 Dec10 (armata vito)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
6  RACING IN THE RAIN May27 Apr30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan18 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAXIMUS MOMENTUS Apr30 Dec02 Nov18 Nov06 Oct16 (armata ross)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 9% 10.50    
 
WO-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIDEO VIDA Jul07 Jun18 Jun03     (mcclac)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.50    
2  DIO BRANDO Jul07 Jun16       (cole-simpson krista)ELLIS S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  J M R TUREK Jul14         (chircop steven)JADOO STEVE 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
4  SNOOKERED Jul08 Jun16 May28 Dec11 Dec02 (ranford kathryn)CRAWFORD J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SING DIXIE Jul08 Jun22 May28 Apr06 Oct09 (hall philip)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 6.00    
6  MY SONG BABY         (mcknight nor)WALCOTT W 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  UNEXPECTED OUTCOME (IRE) Jun29 Jun04 May07 Dec17 Oct15 (cox d)FLORES ESWAN 124 3.50    
8  IT'S ME MARIO May26 May07 Dec01 Nov10   (dipaola santin)STEIN JUSTIN 120 8.00    
 
WO-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWN'S WARRIOR Jun24 Jun03 May13 Dec04 Nov06 (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 120 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CODE WARRIOR by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN)
2  SPEEDY N SMART         (lafond renico )FLORES ESWAN 115 20.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of SMART MUSIC by SMART STRIKE)
3  STAR REDEMPTION Jul16         (attard kevin)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SHES INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  ALPHA MEISTER Dec04 Nov13 Sep25     (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TAPIZAR out of AMETHEA by HENNY HUGHES)
5  THE NEW MAYBE         (tiller robert)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 10.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of NEW SENSATION by OLD FORESTER)
6  KID MARVELOUS Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr29   (tiller rober)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by ASTERN out of NUTMEG by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
7  ROYAL QUALITY Jun24 Dec08 Oct08 Jul17   (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SURFSIDE TIARA by SCAT DADDY)
 
WO-4   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE GIANT Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May06 Dec02 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
2  JACK THE CAT Jun29 Jun11 May21 Apr02 Mar15 (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  SOLAR Jun29 May20 Nov25 Oct29 Sep22 (macrae donal)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
4  H C HOLIDAY Jun25 Jan27 Dec31 Nov04 Oct15 (wright michael)HUSBANDS P 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
5  NATIVE PRINCE Jun29 Jun02 May19 Dec11 Nov25 (leblanc jo)CAMPOS LUIS 124 15.00    
6  SUNRISE DRIVE Jul07 May28 May06 Dec11 Oct30 (krczmar z)WILSON JAYNE 122 20.00    
7  DESOLATOR Jul07 Jun11 May14 Dec11 Nov26 (grant carlos)MUNGER RYAN 122 20.00    
8  RELIABILITY May28 Dec11 Nov25 Oct28 Oct09 (ladauceur harol)HOYTE JASON 122 8.00    
 
WO-5   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR CHAPPELL Jul06 Nov11 Oct24 Aug04 Jul22 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TALL WATER Jun17 Jun09 May27 May07 Dec10 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50    
3  FORESTER'S TURN Jul09 Jun16 Jun01 May14 Apr29 (armata v)FLORES ESWAN 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  SUPREMEACTION Jun23 May20 Dec09 Dec04 Nov11 (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
5  UPSTART GENTLEMAN Apr02 Feb18 Jan21 Nov19 Jul17 (tharrenos will)BYNOE DESEAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOKERMIN Jul06 Jun09 Apr26 Mar20 Feb09 (glennon darren )MUNGER RYAN 122 8.00    
7  BIG WARDEN Jun23 Jun09 Apr23 Dec10 Nov26 (mattine jo)CAMPOS LUIS 122 3.00    
8  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Jun16 Jun01 Apr30 Nov26 Oct15 (banach darwi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
 
WO-6   07/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALVASTON Jun25 Jun09 May19 Dec03 Nov18 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 121 15.00    
SCR  SEA TO AIR Jun02 Jun09 May21     (minshall bar)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 20.00    
3  SILENT RESERVE Jul08 Jun02 May13 Jul17   (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  DISCREET TUNE Apr07 Mar18 Mar08 Feb10 Nov11 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 123 10.00 18% 4.50    
5  ABISKO May28 Apr30 Apr01 Feb25 Nov27 (halden rachel)HUSBANDS P 123 6.00    
6  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) Jun15 Apr23 Mar17 Feb15 Oct30 (dunslow m)WILSON JAYNE 123 2.00    
7  DETERMINED FURY Jun19 May29 Mar24 Feb16 Jan23 (mac)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
8  WESTERN TROUBLE Jul14 Jul06 Jun01 May06 Apr23 (armata v)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 8.00 14% 5.90    
 
WO-7   07/21/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LION KINGDOM Jun29 Jun15 Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 (morden richard )MORENO OMAR 121 3.00    
2  JUST START ME UP Jul06 Jun18 May28 Nov27 Nov04 (cotey )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 10.00    
3  CANADIAN PHAROAH Jun25 May28 Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 (nosowenko )CAMPOS LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAND DANCER Jun18 May28 Feb11 Jan07 Dec16 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 10% 9.50    
5  QUIET OUT EAST Mar26 Mar05 Jan21 Jan04 Dec16 (mac)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 2.00    
6  KIDDIE HOLIDAY May20 Mar25 Mar08 Dec04 Nov11 (dunslow a)HUSBANDS P 123 1.80 61% 0.70    
SCR  FULL EXTREME Jun18 May06 Dec11 Nov25 Oct02 (attard kevin)WALCOTT W 123 5.00    
 
WO-8   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD CONVERSATION Jul08 Jun09 May13 Dec11 Nov27 (morden ric)CAMPOS LUIS 118 12.00    
2  MENTORING Jun10 May22 Apr23 Mar05   (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 124 1.40 70% 0.40    
3  PALACE RING         (lopez )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GIZMO'S MISSION Jun02 May13       (attard kevin)VIVES SOFIA 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. MARSHALL Jul08 Jun02 May13     (cole-simpson krista)ELLIS S 120 12.00    
6  DANCIN' DEPUTY Jul06 Jun10 Nov27     (halden rachel)STEIN JUSTIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TORY'S HOLIDAY Jul08 Jun18 May26 Apr30 Oct14 (dixon patrick)CIVACI SAHIN 120 4.00    
8  CHUNKY MONKEY May12 Oct16 Sep30 Sep11 Jul22 (colbourne)WILSON JAYNE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SEATTLE POINT Jun29 May28 May07 Dec04 Nov11 (dunslow mike)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.