Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hastings Racecourse
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HST-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HST-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(3/5)-(1/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HST-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HST-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HST-7   WIN (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HST-1   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK SHACK Jul01 Jun18 May27 Oct08 Sep25 (macpherson c)BALGOBIN RIDGE 113 2.00 24% 3.20    
COUNTERACT Aug22 Jul24       (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 113 5.00    
SHARPZAN Jul01 May22 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (jarvis pat)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 2.50 12% 7.50    
MAJESTIC STREET Jun18 May20 May06 Mar07 Feb08 (leaney patricia)SANTO KIMAL 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
ROAD CLOSURE Jul01 Jun11 May27 Oct01 Sep10 (macpherson )MORALES SILVINO 117 3.50    
 
HST-2   07/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAK TO LIBERTY Jul01 Jun10 May22 May06 Oct22 (mend)REYES AMBROSIO 113 1.80 39% 1.50    
ONE FIFTY ONE Jun25 Jun03 May22 Sep10 Jul31 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
AZOV SEA Jun24 Apr22 Apr02     (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 116 3.00    
JOCK TALK Jul02 Jun04 Mar21 Jan24   (krasner cindy)SANTO KIMAL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
CRYPTO MUNNY May27 May14 Apr23 Mar27 Feb10 (snow john)AEBLY FRASER 113 5.00    
 
HST-3   07/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAB SAV Jun18 May27 Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 (vano)REYES AMBROSIO 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
LOGICAL AL Jun18 May27 Oct22 Oct01 Aug22 (macpherson cra)PEREZ AMADEO 116 3.00 14% 6.30    
SLOOP JOHN B Jun25 Jun17 Jun03 May14 Oct22 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 116 4.50    
ACCORDINGLY Jul01 May27 Jul24     (cloutier mark)SANTO KIMAL 113 4.00    
ERLICH Jun25 Sep25 Sep10 Aug29 Jul31 (anderson ro)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
HST-4   07/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ITSMYDAY Jun23 Jun04 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 5.00    
FORT LANGLEY Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 Apr01 Feb28 (rycroft n)SANCHEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
STAY FANTASTIC Jun25 Jun03 May06 Oct15 Oct08 (mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 122 1.20 58% 0.70    
WISELY PLAYED Jul01 Jun18 May14 Oct16 Sep25 (miller charlene)SANTO KIMAL 120 4.50    
PAINT ME LUCKY Jul02 Feb28 Jan04 Dec19 Dec10 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 116 5.00 11% 8.20    
 
HST-5   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFINITE PATIENCE Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 Aug01 Jul01 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 115 1.00 65% 0.50    
SMART LAD Jun24 May28 Apr30 Oct09 Aug30 (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 120 3.50    
JUST JIMMY Jun25 May20 Oct21 Oct09 Sep10 (macpherson cra)AEBLY FRASER 113 4.50    
SET TO SHINE Jun24 Jun03 May20 Oct09 Sep25 (heads barbar)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
BE QUICK Jul01 Jun03 Oct02 Sep10 Aug22 (pederson ke)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 4.00 6% 17.10    
 
HST-6   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Jun25 Jun04 Feb11 Jan16   (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 120 1.20 29% 2.50    
I'M CORFU Jul02 Feb05 Jan06 Nov20 Oct07 (milburn )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 10.00    
SIR BREGOVIC Jun18 May28 May06 Oct02 Aug13 (strachan )SANCHEZ LUIS 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
ANARCHY Oct02 Sep04 Jul10 Jun17 May15 (bryant stev)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 4.00    
BOLD ARCH Jun24 May28 May14 Oct02 Sep10 (morrison jo)MORALES SILVINO 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
FOREIGN PROTOCOL May28 May06 Mar19 Feb05 Jan29 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 10.00    
 
HST-7   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEYS IMAGE Jul09 Jun03 May22 Oct16 Oct02 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 120 6.00    
THREE DAY BENDER Jun24 Jun04 May13 Aug07 May28 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 124 5.00    
SCR  CHAMPIOSA Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Oct15 (smith ji)SEECHARAN C 120 10.00    
SELF SERVING Jun17 Jun04       (hens)REYES AMBROSIO 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
REMEMBERTHEALAMO Jun25 Jun11 May28 May13 Oct01 (condilenios di)AEBLY FRASER 106 3.00 30% 2.30    
ATOMIC HAZE Jun25 Jun11 May28 May14 Oct15 (miller charl)BALGOBIN RIDGE 116 4.50 5% 19.00    
SETTEBELLO Jun25 Jun04 May20 Dec11 Nov25 (maybin rober)GREGORY GORDON 110 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.