Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - April 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/2/5)-(6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6/5/3)-(4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(4/2)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/1/2/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/1/2/7)-(6/3/2/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7/6)-(5/1/2/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(6/3/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(6/3/2/4)-(1/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/4)-(1/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/4)-(1/3/2)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/4)-(11/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-8   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
SA-9   WIN (11/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/5)-(11/5/9/12/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (11/5)-(11/5/9/12/10)-(11/5/9/12/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   04/01/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER SURGE Apr09 Mar11 Feb06     (koriner bri)HERRERA A 126 4.00    
DENIM IN GOLD Mar05 Jan28 Jan02 Nov13   (kitchingman ada)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
PROCRASTINATION Feb19 Aug13 Jul04     (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 116 2.50 22% 3.50    
LIV AND LET LIV Feb05         (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 15.00    
BENEDICT CANYON Mar24         (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00    
SCR  CARMEN MIRANDA Mar04 Feb04 Dec17 Nov25 May20 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.80 29% 2.50    
 
SA-2   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 35 M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMBALA GIRL         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
DON'S DAYNA         (mulhall kris)CONTRERAS LUIS 126 3.00 17% 4.90    
SHEZA LUCKY CHARM Mar09         (powell leon)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 3.00    
MISS JO'S CANDY Feb03         (rosales richa)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 20.00    
OAK CREEK GAL         (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 118 15.00 17% 5.10    
SMILING AMY Mar03 Feb05 Dec02 Nov05 Oct10 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 118 4.00    
BLURSDAY Mar05 Jan13 Dec02     (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 126 4.00    
 
SA-3   04/01/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO MUCH HEAVEN Apr09 Mar18       (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.50    
ANNIE'S SONG (IRE) Feb04 Nov20 Sep04 Jul24 Jun18 (sadler w)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.50    
VANDALIA Feb18 Dec31 Dec11 Nov19 Oct07 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  A NEW PEACE Mar19 Feb20 Dec18 Nov12 Oct30 (rheinford ma)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 4.00    
FLAT OUT JOY Mar04 Jan22 Dec18 Oct30 Oct10 (treece s)FREY KYLE 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
CODE RIBBON Feb17 Dec30 Dec02 Sep25 Sep03 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
SA-4   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 35 ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALAGIO Jan27 Dec26 Nov18 Sep02 Aug04 (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 126 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOT ROOTS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
LIFT OFF Mar04         (eurton peter)SMITH E 118 6.00 8% 12.30    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BUFF JETT by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  TEXTHELEGEND Feb12 Jan22 Nov26 Oct30   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LIFE'S BLESSINGS by TAPIT)
ULTIMATE GAMBLE Aug13         (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 1.80 21% 3.70    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ELTIMAAS by GHOSTZAPPER)
SEVENTEEN BLACK Mar04         (hofmans dav)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AMERICAN SUGAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
FLAT ON Jan22 Jan02 Nov13     (eurton peter)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SHANON NICOLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
SA-5   04/01/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 35 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIX FEET Feb19 Jan20 May28     (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by DADS CAPS out of MOONIE by SQUARE EDDIE)
PARS AND BIRDIES         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 126 10.00 11% 8.10    
  (by STANFORD out of SEEKITANA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GOLD EXPRESS Mar18         (garcia anto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 30.00    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of PRAISE BE by IRON CAT)
SHIP AND SCAM Feb18 Feb03 Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
TIZZ A GOOD THING         (gaines carla)BRAVO J 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by VRONSKY out of TIZZY MISS by CEE'S TIZZY)
BILLBERNJOEJOHNICK Feb19 Dec02 Oct02     (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 126 2.50    
  (by BOAT TRIP out of REMEMBERING EILEEN by BERTRANDO)
UNCLE JOHN         (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of CAMINO SONG by KODIAC)
GHOSTLY ACT Mar03 Feb04 Jan06     (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 118 6.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
WE NEED MARKETING Mar17 Feb10       (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 20.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of LA PREMIERE ETOILE by SQUARE EDDIE)
 
SA-6   04/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATBERNAY Jan21 Dec18 Oct28 Aug18 Jul10 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.00    
VICENTE'S SHADOW Mar05 Feb05 Sep23 Jul29 Jul02 (stevens satc)OROZCO E 122 20.00 10% 9.50    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Feb11 Jan21 Dec02 Nov06 Oct07 (pederson dea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 3.00 14% 6.10    
MR. CLUTCH Dec09 Sep18 Jul10     (guti)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
AFTERNOON HEAT Feb11         (vallej)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00    
BOX OF CHOCOLATES Feb12 Jan21 Jan06 Nov04 Sep24 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  PEDRO PEREZ Sep23 Jul10 Jul02     (rivera sall)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00    
MIGHTY MATT Mar05 Feb11 Jan15 Dec18 Nov20 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
 
SA-7   04/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC13 FIRM Royal Heroine Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOOL DANCE Mar04 Feb04 Dec26 Nov12 Oct15 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ANN OF THE DANCE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
HONEY JAR Mar04 Jan28 Dec30 Mar05 Jan23 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00 12% 7.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SWEET SPELL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
CLOSING REMARKS Mar04 Feb04 Dec31 Mar26 Mar05 (gaines carla)BRAVO J 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
  (by VRONSKY out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
NADETTE (FR) Mar04 Feb04 Oct29     (drysdale )DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00    
  (by OUTSTRIP out of CIBOULETTE by PIVOTAL (GB))
VERY SCARY Mar11 Feb04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov06 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 120 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SUMMER READING by HARD SPUN)
SEISAI (IRE)         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LILLEBONNE by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
 
SA-8   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 35 ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE CURLY Mar18 Mar04 Jan21 Jan08 Dec17 (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 5.00    
BATUKHAN (IRE) Mar09 Jan06 Dec03 Oct28 Sep30 (powell leon)HERRERA A 126 1.20 42% 1.40    
AGAPETOS Mar17 Feb16       (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 126 15.00    
STORMING CHROME Mar09 Jan29 Nov24 Oct23   (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
TIM'S TRIBUTE Jan21         (azcarate dan)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 12.00    
CHAOKOON Mar17 Jan29 Nov06 Oct15 Sep16 (stute gary)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 15.00    
DONTTESTYOURLUCK Mar26 Feb10 Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 5.00    
SHADY STAR Feb18 Nov20       (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 126 12.00    
 
SA-9   04/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANNING THE GLOBE Mar09 Dec30 Nov27 Nov04   (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00    
GHOSTEM Mar17 Jun05 May27 May06 Apr10 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 126 5.00    
BYE BYE BUGGSY Mar09 Jan29 Dec04 Nov04 Sep24 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
GOOD BOO JOO Feb19 Jan13 Nov04 Oct09 Aug28 (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 15.00 25% 3.00    
PEPPERMINT FLIRT Mar17 Feb19       (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 126 30.00    
WEEMISSGRAMMY Feb04 Nov13 Oct08 Sep09 Jul22 (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 126 12.00    
SLAM DIEGO Feb04 Nov13 Sep02 Aug04 Jun25 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 3.50    
KATERINI Feb19 Dec31 Nov06 Oct22 Sep25 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 15.00    
10  GLENALL (IRE) Feb04 Dec26 Nov12 Oct28 Sep13 (yakteen t)DETTORI LANFRANCO 126 5.00    
11  AN AGENT MISTAKE Mar18 May06 Apr09 Mar06 Feb04 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 4.00 53% 0.90    
12  REAL FIRE Feb20 Jan28 Dec31 Nov13 Oct08 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
SCR  SENSIBLE MOVE Mar09 Feb12 Nov13 Oct15 Aug26 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.