Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5/7)-(2/3/1/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(1/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/5)-(1/5/3)-(3/2/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/4/2)-(1/5/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(3/2/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(3/2/8/6)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6/7)-(3/2/8/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/8/6)-(5/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/6)-(5/2/1)-(8/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(8/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(8/1/4)-(1/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-5   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/9/2)-(8/1/4/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(1/3/5)-(5/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-6   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/4/6)-(1/3/5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(5/6/4)-(3/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-7   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/7/4)-(3/2/1/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 45 M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY ON TOP Jan13 Nov27 Nov04 Sep30 Aug26 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BOLD CHOICE Dec03 Mar18 Feb19 Jan30   (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of BLAMEITONTHECAT by COWTOWN CAT)
SMART MONIQUE Jan13 Nov27 Sep30 Aug19   (dunham daniel)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of ELEMENTAL METAL by SMART STRIKE)
TAPIT ROCKS Jan13 Dec03 Apr17     (dunham dani)HERRERA A 124 20.00    
  (by HEAVEN'S GLORY out of INCREDIBLE TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
TIZ MY PRINCESS Jan29 Jan13 Nov25 Oct08 Aug19 (winick debbie)CURATOLO RYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZBUD out of BLUSH WITH REALITY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
SHEZMISBEHAVING Nov04 Oct09 Aug28     (gutierrez jo)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 15.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of SHEZROXIIE by SCAT DADDY)
ELEGANCE CODE Jan13 Apr10 Feb19     (gaines carla)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of ELEGANTLY by DESERT SECRET (IRE))
 
SA-2   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS KALINE Jan02 Oct23 Sep22 Aug28 Jul29 (bell r)FREY KYLE 122 2.00 32% 2.20    
ONLY LIGHTNING Jan27 Dec10 Oct29 Sep04 Aug21 (alvarado rub)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 10.00    
PRESTIGIOUS Jan27 Dec04       (mendez luis)HERRERA A 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
JACQUELINE COCHRAN Jan27 Jan02       (miyadi ste)VAN DRAYDEN 122 1.80    
MAGIC CAPITAL Jan27 Jan02 Dec11     (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
SA-3   02/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A CROWN FOR KITTEN Jan13 Nov25 Feb04 Jan08   (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 124 15.00    
ICE QUEEN Jan13 Nov20 Oct15 Sep05 Aug06 (saldana ree)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
DOLLY MAY (IRE) Jan13 Nov18 Oct15 Aug14 Jun12 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
LIZY D Jan13 Nov13 Oct15 Sep05 Apr16 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 121 20.00    
CHEERFUL CHARM Jan13 Oct30 Aug06 Jun12 Mar25 (winick debbie)CURATOLO RYAN 124 12.00    
VIOLET STORM Jan22 Dec18 Oct08 Aug26 Jul31 (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 124 3.00 7% 13.20    
SENSIBLE MOVE Nov13 Oct15 Aug26 Jul29 Jun03 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00    
BALI DANCER Jan13 Nov26 Nov11 Oct30 Aug26 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
SA-4   02/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOX OF CHOCOLATES Jan21 Jan06 Nov04 Sep24 Sep18 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 6% 15.30    
ITALIANO Jan02 Nov13 Sep18 Aug21 Jul23 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 10% 8.50    
HORN OF PLENTY Jan21 Dec18 Nov24 Sep16 Aug19 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 124 5.00    
SCR  GRIT AND CURIOSITY Feb05 Jan22 Jan08 Nov26 Nov04 (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
ESTABLISHED Jan02 Oct07 Sep10 Aug06 Jul23 (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  TIZLIGHTNING Jan21 Sep10 Aug14 Jun18 Feb18 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
MONGOLIAN FORD Jan29 Oct28 Apr08 Mar12 Feb18 (farias adan)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
 
SA-5   02/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WUDI Jan06 Dec02       (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ULTRALIGHT BEAM by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CARSON JEN Dec30 Dec03 Oct08 Aug21   (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MISS MAHALIA by UNCLE MO)
IRISH PATSY Jan22         (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PATSY'S KIM by DIXIE UNION)
TEENA ELLA Jan06 Nov12       (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 14% 6.40    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BEHOLDER by HENNY HUGHES)
IRISH ROSE         (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 10.00    
  (by IRISH SURF out of LILIES AND ROSES by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  BRIC A BRAC         (yaktee)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SENADA by PULPIT)
MAKE IT SNOW         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 12.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SNOW KID by LEMON DROP KID)
FOOLISH Jan20         (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PEARL IN THE SAND by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND)
CRIMSON SONATA         (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STRIKE RED by SMART STRIKE)
10  DISRUPTIVE ARTIST         (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MISCHIEVOUS CHAMP by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
SA-6   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I DON'T GET IT Jan15         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of FLAT OUT GITTIN IT by FLAT OUT)
HORNUNG         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of GOLDEN DOMER by QUALITY ROAD)
YELLOW BRICK Jan22 Dec26       (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
RIVERSIDE Jan02 Nov25 Oct10 Aug26 Jul30 (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RAINIER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SKINNER Oct08 Sep11 Jul24     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 123 5.00 6% 14.80    
  (by CURLIN out of WINDING WAY by MALIBU MOON)
TEXTHELEGEND Jan22 Nov26 Oct30     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LIFE'S BLESSINGS by TAPIT)
SPEED OF THE NILE Jan29 Jan15       (gomez ruben)CEDILLO ABEL 123 50.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of GEM SLEUTH by OFFICER)
 
SA-7   02/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 45 M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENSA ON TAP Jun03 May20 May06 Apr10 Mar19 (dunham danie)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 15.00    
MACHO QUEEN Jan28         (oviedo phil)HERRERA A 124 12.00    
CAT BANDIT Jan22 Dec18       (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
SAPADILLA Jan21 Dec30 Dec02 Nov04 Sep11 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.50 8% 11.50    
SUGAR SUGAR Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
SPOILED ROTTEN         (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00 16% 5.30    
LADY DERBY May20 Apr30       (gomez ruben)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
AMAGE Jan22 Dec31 Oct30 Apr17 Feb27 (metz jeffrey)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
SCR  THUNDER RUN         (metz jeffrey)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  VEGAS DREAM Jan21 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 Sep16 (truman eddie)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00    
 
SA-8   02/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYVAN Jan02 Dec02 Nov05 Sep09   (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00 11% 8.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of FULL OF SUGAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
TEA N CONVERSATION Dec30 Dec03 Nov05 Oct02 Aug20 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50 11% 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LADY TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
THE WILD GRAZER (IRE) Jan08 Nov24       (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by GUSTAV KLIMT out of TEXAS KATIE by CLODOVIL (IRE))
AG BULLET Jan22 Nov12       (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
PRINCESS BETTINA Jan08 Nov12 Oct23 Sep11 Aug07 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of AIDEN'S GIRL by FIRST DUDE)
QUICKLY PARK IT Jan07 Dec03 Oct29 Aug28 Aug19 (mccarthy sean)PYFER JESSICA 124 12.00    
  (by PROSPECT PARK (GB) out of QUICK LUCK by LUCKY J. H.)
BROADWAY GIRLS Jan28 Dec30 Nov13 Oct01 Aug21 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 3.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of FOND HOPE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.