Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - October 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMELITA'S MAN Sep02 Aug06 May28 May07 Apr02 (pederson dean)SMITH E 126 3.00 20% 4.10    
PRINCE ABAMA (IRE) Oct01 Sep10 Feb05     (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 7% 14.30    
GREGORIAN CHANT (GB) Oct01 Jul24 Jun11 May06 Mar25 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00 47% 1.20    
LAMBEAU Apr10 Mar25       (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 124 15.00    
AIR FORCE RED Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 Jun12 Apr30 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
MR. IMPOSSIBLE Sep24 Sep03       (callaghan simon)BRAVO J 122 12.00    
 
SA-2   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Sep22         (wicker lloy)HERRERA A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
NIGHT PARTY Sep22 Sep09       (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 120 2.00 47% 1.20    
WINK WISH AND PARK Sep09 Aug19 Jul22     (winick debbie)MATIAS J 120 15.00    
GOLDEN AGAIN Sep22 Sep09       (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
ONLY LIGHTNING Sep04 Aug21 Jul30     (alvarado)ELLINGWOOD A 120 12.00    
SWEET HELLO Sep22         (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 120 3.00 6% 15.80    
TIME TOGETHER Sep03         (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 8.00    
 
SA-3   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COVER VERSION Oct02 Sep18 Aug28 Jul04 May14 (saldana reed)CURATOLO RYAN 122 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VAGUELY FAMILIAR by A.P. INDY)
BURGOO ALLEY (IRE) Sep10 Aug13 Jan29     (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
  (by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND (GB) out of NURAMA by DAYLAMI (IRE))
ENGLAND'S ROSE (IRE) May01 Jan01       (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
AVENUE DE FRANCE (FR) Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 May30 Apr30 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 21% 3.90    
  (by CITYSCAPE out of SHARJA PRINCESS by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
GOING GLOBAL (IRE) Sep10 Aug13 May30 Apr09   (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 0.80 50% 1.00    
  (by MEHMAS out of WROOD by INVASOR (ARG))
KARAKATSIE Sep04 Jul23 Jun25 May21   (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 12.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE (JPN) out of ALEXANDRITE by ORDWAY (BRZ))
 
SA-4   10/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHT NO CHASER Sep10 Jul24       (blacker daniel)MALDONADO E 119 5.00    
REDLINE Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 Jul28 Jun17 (sadler w)CURATOLO RYAN 119 3.00 13% 6.70    
TRAEGAR Sep30 Sep04 Aug05     (glatt mark)SMITH E 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
ALBIZU Sep18 Aug21 Jul08     (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
SAFFA'S DAY Aug21 Jul03 Jun12 Mar12 Feb18 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 19% 4.10    
LOVESICK BLUES Sep25 Aug28 Aug14 Jul08 May21 (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
JOKER BOY Sep03 Aug05 Jul08     (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 12.00    
 
SA-5   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLENDALE Oct07 Aug21       (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00    
VALIANCER Oct10 Sep11 Aug21 May27   (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
FIRST PEACE Sep30 Sep10       (glatt mark)SMITH E 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
SINGLE TRACK MIND (IRE) Sep11         (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
THE SLAP Oct07 Sep11 Jul31     (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
MUCINO Oct10 Sep03 Aug07     (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
EASTBOUND Aug20         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 4.00    
ZIO JO Oct10 Sep03 Aug11     (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
 
SA-6   10/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOLLY Oct10 Sep03 Jul23     (hanson ryan)BAZE C 120 15.00    
SCR  CHISMOSA Sep05 Aug07 Jul23     (deleon rafael)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 1.80 49% 1.10    
FUN MONEY Oct10 Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 Jun04 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00    
BIG CELEBRATION Sep22 Sep03       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 2.50    
SELL THE DREAM Oct09 Sep10 Aug07 Jun10   (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
CAST MEMBER Sep03         (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
SCR  E Z PHARIS Sep05 Aug07 Jun18 Apr30   ( )TBA null      
 
SA-7   10/29/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN WONDERS Sep05 Aug13 Jul22     (eurton)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 15.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of WONDERFUL by GALILEO)
GO JOE WON Sep03 Aug04 May14 Apr17 Mar26 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 12.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of BEHAVIORAL FINANCE by TOUCH GOLD)
PERFECT FLIGHT Oct09 Sep11 Aug07 Jun26 Jan02 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DATE TO REMEMBER by BERNARDINI)
HANDY DANDY Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 May06 Apr02 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
  (by FURY KAPCORI out of GOLDEN BUCKET by MASS MEDIA)
CABO SPIRIT Sep03 Aug07 Jun04 Apr30 Apr02 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 4.00 7% 12.90    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
STAYINCOTAI (IRE) Aug07 Jul23       (eurton peter)ESPINOZA V 124 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SEDUCT by INTENSE FOCUS)
DEGREE OF RISK Aug13 Jul23 Jan01     (harty eoin)VAN DRAYDEN 124 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WIPE OUT by HARD SPUN)
SPEAKING SCOUT Oct01 Sep05 Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 (motion g)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 6% 17.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS SCOUT by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  WAR AT SEA Sep03 Jun04 Apr16 Mar05 Feb13 (ellis w)SMITH E 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SERENE MELODY by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
SA-8   10/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING Jun18 Jun04 May14     (knapp )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 15.00    
PASSARANDO Sep09 Jul09 May28 May07   (specht stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 9% 10.60    
MYSTIC FLYER Sep04 Aug14       (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 7% 13.50    
GIVER NOT A TAKER Oct09 Sep09 Aug14     (miller peter)VALDIVIA JR 124 0.80 48% 1.10    
SHIP AND SCAM Sep04 Aug13 Jul24 Jun30   (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 10.00    
GOLF DRAMA Sep23 Sep04 May14     (bonde jeff)BAZE C 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
MERIT SONG Sep09 Aug26 Jul31 Jul04   (palma o)VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00    
 
SA-9   10/29/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM FLYER Sep30 Aug06 Jul22 Jun17 May21 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
LEXINGTON HUMOR Aug27 Aug06 Jun11 May14   (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
CONNIE SWINGLE Oct01 Sep02 Jul28 Jun11 May07 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
ACT OF SERENDIPITY Sep24 Sep09 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 50.00    
LADY JAE Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 Jun03 May06 (baroci)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 30.00    
ROYAL ADDRESS (IRE) Sep02 May21 Apr09 Mar13 Jan28 (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 126 15.00    
SHE'S SO NICE (IRE) Jul29 May22 Mar13 Jan07   (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 8.00    
STELLA NOIR Sep30 Sep02 May21 May01 Mar20 (desormeaux j )CURATOLO RYAN 122 15.00    
AMY C (GB) Jul23 Jun18 May01     (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
10  AQUA SEAFORM SHAME Sep02         (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 124 12.00    
 
SA-10   10/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NADETTE (FR)         (drysdale ne)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
  (by OUTSTRIP out of CIBOULETTE by PIVOTAL (GB))
TEZZARAY (GB) Oct01 Aug20 Jul23     (miller peter)VALDIVIA JR 122 10.00    
  (by BATED BREATH (GB) out of AMBER QUEEN by CADEAUX GENEREUX (GB))
PAMMY'S READY Oct01 Aug19 Aug04 Mar26 Mar06 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 62% 0.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PAMMY WHAMMY by WAR FRONT)
GRACELUND GRAY Aug20 Jul24 May07 Mar26 Feb06 (eurton pete)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GRIT AND GRACE by SET FREE)
LUCKY GIRL (IRE) Aug20 Jul23 May07 Apr09 Mar06 (papaprodromou)CURATOLO RYAN 122 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ABBEY ANGEL by ARCANO (IRE))
HELENS WELL (IRE) Sep04 Jul23 Jun12 Jan02   (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by KODI BEAR out of EVER EVOLVING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
LADY CLEMENTINE (GB) Aug20 Jul30       (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 120 20.00    
  (by CHURCHILL (IRE) out of WIND FIRE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
RHEA MOON (IRE) Aug21 Jul24 Jun04 Apr08 Mar07 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 8% 12.00    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER (AUS) out of CALLISTO STAR by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  GOLD DRAGON QUEEN Sep22 Aug20 Jul23 May29 Apr09 (barocio li)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WATER PARK by STRODES CREEK)
10  CAIRO MEMORIES Aug20 Jul09 May29 Apr09 Mar06 (hess b)SMITH E 124 1.60    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of INCARNATE MEMORIES by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  GIMME MO BABY Sep03 Aug04 Jan29     (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 120 12.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MO BABY by UNCLE MO)
12  KITTY KITANA (GB) Sep10 Aug04 Feb12 Jan08   (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 12.00 5% 18.50    
  (by BOBBY'S KITTEN out of MISTAKEN LOVE by BERNARDINI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.