Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Monday - October 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOTOWN MAMMA Aug14 May14 Apr29     (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 1.40 26% 2.90    
BYE BYE JILL Aug17 May07 Mar08 Feb27 Jan30 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
MARILYN MONEYROLL Sep17 Aug07 Jul17 Jun10 May13 (vega)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00    
RATIONAL D'ORO Sep30 Sep17       (vaughn lonnie)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 8.00    
OUR SOARING ANGEL Sep17 Apr03 Mar04 Feb08 Jan11 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Sep30 Sep04 Aug17 Jul24 Jun11 (carter royce )JUAREZ J 123 1.60 23% 3.30    
 
ZIA-2   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTILIANNO Sep03 Apr22       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 5.00    
LARIAT Sep14 Aug21 Aug06 Apr30 Mar19 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 1.00 49% 1.00    
IZERIGHT May07 Feb27 Jan30     (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50    
DESERT REWARD Aug06 Apr22 Mar22 Feb08 Jan15 (marr h)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  TWO STEP JACK Aug10 Apr22 Mar08 Feb25 Jan29 (summers)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
ALL CHROME Sep14 Aug27 May07 Apr23 Mar27 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 123 15.00    
 
ZIA-3   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER SIXTYTWO Sep23 Aug24 Apr02     (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 120 8.00 8% 12.30    
SMARTSREALGOOD Sep25 Sep10 Aug14     (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 2.50 9% 10.50    
DANJERUS STORM Sep10 May20       (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 120 5.00    
NOSTRANGRTOTHERAIN Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 Jun10 (lambert case)FUENTES A 120 1.00 56% 0.80    
SLEEPY EYES Sep25         (gonzalez sal)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 10.00    
CLUE Aug24 Jul30       (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
 
ZIA-4   10/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN SUMMER Sep05 Aug28 Jul30 Jul23 Jun26 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
LIL LATIGO Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jul09 Jun27 (lavanway dayson)BARAJAS J 123 20.00    
NICE WORK Sep28 Aug24 Aug14 Mar26 Mar22 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 1.60    
SCR  RAILROADER (GB) Aug27 Jul17 Jul02 May22 Mar25 (carriza)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00    
SIDNEY'S HOPE Sep14 Aug21 Aug10 Jul30 Jun26 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
OFFENSIVE Sep03 Aug14 May29 May14 Apr23 (cross gary)SCRIVER L 123 8.00    
DECK HUMOR Sep15 Sep05 Aug28 Jul30 Jun25 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.50    
 
ZIA-5   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBIERE Jun17 May13 Apr30 Mar18 Jan29 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 2.00 14% 6.00    
GATLING GOLD Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 May15 Apr22 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 8.00    
KIRBY DERBY Oct01 Aug03 Jul02 May23 May11 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.80 21% 3.80    
HIT A NOTE Sep16 Sep02 Aug07 Apr30 Apr02 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 11% 8.20    
ATTILA'S FLAG Aug13 Jun12 May28 Mar27 Jan30 (vega ra)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
CANYON DEL ORO Sep18 Aug10 May22 Mar27 Feb15 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 123 3.50 33% 2.10    
CEBOLLA Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug13 Aug06 (olguin ever)CEBALLOS F 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-6   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KASEYMEISTER Aug31         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
BRANNY Sep03         (lambert cas)SCRIVER L 120 8.00    
VIPERS PRINCESS Aug24 Jul29 Jun10     (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 15.00    
WHO'STHATGIRL         (barton dalla)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 12.00 7% 13.80    
STORMY DAME Aug14 Jul29 Jul17 Jun24 Jun10 (zamo)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 4.50    
W F PRIMA DONNA Jul03 Jun10       (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 120 10.00    
HUNKALICIOUS         (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 120 20.00 17% 4.90    
FIFTEEN HUNDRED Sep23 Aug31       (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 1.40 31% 2.20    
 
ZIA-7   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 35 ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO'S ON THE RUN Sep28 Sep02 Aug03 May14 Apr22 (green greg)TOHILL S 121 4.50 8% 11.70    
BITTEN Sep17 Aug24 May27 May01   (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 121 8.00    
EIGHT MAKAR Sep17 Aug24 Aug05 May20 Apr30 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00 66% 0.50    
TAB ME OUT Sep21 Aug10 Jul03 Jun12 May30 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 6.00    
WHISKEY THERAPY Jan21 Jan04       (smith p)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
NO HUDDLE Aug07 Jul24 Jun07 May23 Mar12 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 2.50    
GOBLIN Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 Jun17 Jun04 (lambert case)FUENTES A 121 3.50    
ATTILA THE STAR Aug24 Aug10       (cross gary)SCRIVER L 121 12.00    
 
ZIA-8   10/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBTHEQUEEN Sep30 Sep14 Aug17 Aug06 Jun25 (barrios be)RODRIGUEZ H 123 4.00    
MINDOFMYOWN Sep21 Aug24 Aug07 May27 May13 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 0.80 34% 1.90    
BONITA RAPIDS Sep15 Aug11 Jul30 Jul17 Jun19 (woolley benni)JUAREZ J 123 30.00    
RED CLOUD EXPRESS May15 Feb15       (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
MINNIE ME HA Sep14 Mar08 Feb15 Jan23   (lambert case)FUENTES A 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
BINALLOVERDRINKEN Sep23 Sep08 Aug21 Aug12 Apr24 (green greg)SCRIVER L 123 12.00    
TOTHEMOONANDBACK Sep30 Aug17 Aug06 Jul16 Jul04 (lavanwa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
PEGGY B FAST         (rust terri)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
ZIA-9   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNINGINTHERAIN Aug31 Aug03 May08 Apr03 Feb22 (cross gary)SCRIVER L 121 6.00 7% 12.90    
MIDNIGHT SPLIT Aug28 Jul31 May29 May08 Apr29 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
AXEL STEEL Aug14 Jul30 May29 Apr29 Mar27 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
BIG EVENT Sep16 Aug24 Apr30 Apr03 Mar13 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
BAYRON Sep22         (ashford ra)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 1.60 26% 2.80    
BLUEGRASS FAITH May08 Mar01 Jan18     (marr h)TOHILL S 123 10.00 19% 4.40    
SILVER KID Sep16 Aug31 Aug20 Aug03 Jun05 (martinez fran)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00    
CAUCUS RULES Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 Apr21 Mar23 (woolley benn)FUENTES A 123 15.00    
TRY TO CAPTURE Mar23 Jan24 Jan07     (buechler simon)CEBALLOS F 123 20.00    
10  THE RIGHT STUFF (GB)         (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.