Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEATIGER Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 Jun29 (grabowski john)COA J 124 1.20 56% 0.80    
2  NAPOLEON COMPLEX Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 Jul20 Jul11 (metivier richard)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 ★    
3  IRIE SPICE Sep13 Aug16 Aug01 Jul04 Jun18 (hillega)NAVARRO J 120 12.00 ★    
4  PAT PAYS Sep12         (salvato john)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 ★    
5  MARSHAL DILLON Sep13 Aug31 Aug15 May25 May05 (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 120 3.50 ★    
6  PARS HEY ZEUS Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 Jul12 (sells rachel)FRET STEVEN 124 12.00    
 
FL-2   09/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST GOT HITCHED Sep13 Aug16       (tebbutt )DAVIS A 121 12.00 12% 7.40    
2  THESIS Jul27 Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 May09 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 121 12.00 5% 18.60    
3  ENGLISH LAUGHTER Aug29 Aug10 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 8.00 ★    
4  PARADE FIELD Aug22 Aug05 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 (lecesse michae)COA J 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  THIS CAT CAN FLY Aug29 Aug03 Jun21 Jun01 May18 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 2.00    
SCR  I LOVE JAXSON Aug22 Aug05 Jun04 May12   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
7  LOUIE'S WISH Aug03 Jun21 Jun07 Apr13 Apr04 (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 121 6.00    
 
FL-3   09/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICA'S JUSTICE Sep13 Jul25 Jul05 Jun07   (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 14% 6.40    
2  DANCERS FOR TOKEN Sep05 Jul25 Jun07     (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  ROYAL REALM Jul19 Jun08 May06 Mar11 Jan22 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50 ★    
4  SIMPLY Sep05 Jul16 Jun21     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
5  STYNER Sep20 Aug15 Jul23 Jun24 May28 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  SNEADS Jul19 Jun27 Jun13     (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00 ★    
 
FL-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 2 F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DAD GOT SHORT LEGS         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  THE HONORABLE EYE         (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 3.50 ★    
2  FRANKIE C Sep05 Jul28       (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 15.00    
3  DR LARCARBEAU Sep05         (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 5.00    
4  CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 10.00 ★    
5  ICE'S IRONICDANCER Sep05 Aug22 Aug08     (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 20.00    
6  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Sep05 Aug08       (ferraro anth)COA J 120 1.50 45% 1.20    
7  PRETTY MISS PENNY         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
8  MADLY         (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 ★    
 
FL-5   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTIFIED FREAK Sep06 Aug02 Jul18     (shaffer richard)GOMEZ O 120 20.00    
2  BISTRITA Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jul04 (hen)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  OVER THE SAND Sep13 Jul06 Jun20 Jun02 Apr22 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 10.00    
SCR  FIFTYSHADESOFRUN Sep13 Aug16 Jul13 Jun28 May23 (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 120 15.00    
5  PURPLE MALINDA Sep07 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jul06 (gutierrez lui)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
6  TOOTSIE'S SONG Aug30 Jun20 May24 Jan22 Jan02 (baker c)NAVARRO J 124 3.50 ★    
7  ANOTHER IMAGE Jul06 Jun08 May16 May02   (miller-sau)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
8  LEMONADE LADY Sep05 Aug22 Jul02 Jun02 Apr16 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
9  WINE TRAIL Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun13 (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
10  SMOKIN ZIVA Sep13 Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 Jul18 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
11  TINA BURNER Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul20 Jun27 (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
12  GRACIE O'MALLEY Sep06 Jul26 Apr21 Mar11 Jan23 (buckley )DAVIS A 120 5.00 ★    
 
FL-6   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA SURGE Sep13         (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
1A  TIZA BROWN Sep13         (bond brent)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 ★    
2  RED FORTRESS         (ferraro michae)COA J 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  BANCO MEDICI Sep14 Aug17 Jun21 May24 Mar27 (sparling wa)IGNACIO RODOLFO 120 12.00 ★    
4  REDEMPTION ROAD Aug30 Aug08       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  CAPT' REMINGTON Aug31 Aug05 Jun29 May31   (davis ed)DAVIS A 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  LUCA AT THE SPA Sep13 Aug03 Jul08 Apr29 Mar19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
7  GREEK EASTER Sep13 Jun08       (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 120 10.00    
8  FULL COMPLEMENT Aug24 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00    
 
FL-7   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGIC PRO Aug30 Aug22 Aug10 Jul25 Jul12 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 120 20.00    
2  THE HEART FIXER Sep13 Aug30 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 124 10.00    
3  UNCLE VIC Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul27 Jul04 (breed a)ALVARADO R 120 8.00    
4  BEAUMONT BEAUX Sep13 Aug22 Jan28     (iorio j)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  DROSEL DIEM Aug31 Aug02 Jun29     (baker c)NAVARRO J 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
6  SMART STORM Sep13 Aug30 Aug22 Aug03 Jul06 (gut)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
7  MO DANCIN Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  NEVER EVER HOME Sep07 Aug10 Jul19 Jul04   (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00 11% 8.50    
9  LEGENDARY BID Sep02 Jul29 Jul06 Jun22 Jun06 (tebbutt )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 12.00    
10  BOY I HOPE SO Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 May09 Apr25 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
FL-8   09/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRISAETUM Sep13 Jul25 Jul12 Jun22 May31 (acquila)NAVARRO J 124 12.00    
2  REMEMBER NORMANDY Sep13 Aug22 Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 15.00    
SCR  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Sep13 Aug30 May28 Apr06   (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  SEA URCHIN Sep13 Aug22 Jul27     (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 15.00    
5  MACLYRICAL Sep13         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 13% 6.90    
6  DR. DARBY Sep13 Aug08       (dixon linda)CAMILO D 120 20.00    
7  SARATOGA SKY Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 (turetsky e)GOMEZ O 120 20.00    
8  SUPPORT THE CAT Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27   (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 120 15.00    
9  ASAP RESTORATION Aug30         (ronen as)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
10  NORTH COAST (IRE) Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13   (ferraro anth)COA J 120 5.00 34% 2.00    
11  WICKOSITY Aug22 Aug09 Jul12 Jun22 May28 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 6.00 ★    
12  LITTLE G T Sep05 Aug23       (garza hector)ROHENA JR 120 8.00 8% 12.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.