Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - September 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/07/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRION Jul20 Jun10 May05 Mar16 Feb17 (stidham michael)ACOSTA D 118 0.40 37% 1.70    
2  TOLLER Aug12 Jul09 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  SAAFEN         (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 11% 8.20    
4  FIFTY FIFTY Jul02         (mcdonald t)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 ★    
5  SUPER JORDAN Jul29 Jul02 Jun03 May25 Apr13 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 118 12.00    
6  GOT FLOFFY Aug25 Aug13 Jul21 Jul12 Jun27 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00 ★    
 
CT-2   09/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET J. Aug05 Jul21 May11 Apr20 Feb12 (kopecki sa)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ON A WHIM Aug28 Aug01 Jul22 Jun30 Apr08 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 8.00    
3  SARGENT KOBE Aug27 Jun25 Jun11 Apr14 Mar17 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 120 1.60 51% 1.00    
4  CHASE LIL ME Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 Jun13 Jun04 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEG UP Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun11 May26 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50    
6  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Jul30 Jun30 Jun11 May18 Apr27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Jul22 Jun04 May12 Mar10   (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 12.00 ★    
 
CT-3   09/07/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUJU         (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 12.00 25% 3.00    
2  JUST ASK ME Jun02 May12       (armstrong jay)ADAMS L 112 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  KEY TO THE CASTLE Aug25 May27       (espinosa vict)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
4  A BLONDE THING Aug19         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 4.00 ★    
5  PHILMARY CASTLE         (bourne lori)RAMGEET R 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
6  PRETTY CASTLE Aug19 Jul30 Jul21     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
7  CHURCH KEY Aug25 Jul30 Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 1.20 25% 3.00    
 
CT-4   09/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT FORTITUDE Jun25 May19 May06 Mar24 Feb18 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00 10% 8.80    
2  JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 May28 May21 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
3  POSITIVE PHIL Aug18 Jun28 Jun14 May30 May15 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 12% 7.40    
4  CHARLIE POTATOES Jul07 Jun16 May18 Apr15 Mar25 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
SCR  JUNGLE WARRIOR Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 May21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 40% 1.50    
6  FRANKEE MERCH Aug27 Aug18 Jul29 Jul07 Jun25 (reggetts st)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 ★    
7  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Aug18 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 May05 (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
CT-5   09/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAND BY YOU Jul18 Jul02 May20 Apr13 Mar18 (beattie tod)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  BET THE QUEEN Aug05 Jul18 Jun19 Jun02 Mar18 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 6.00 ★    
3  LONG LEGS LOUISE Aug18 Jul16 Jun24 May25 May04 (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 113 12.00    
SCR  TOOLEGITTOQUIT Aug22 Jul26 Jun23 May27 May07 (viands grego)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
5  NAVY SWORD Jun10 May20 Jan28     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  TIMEISGOLDEN Aug26 Aug16 Jun23 May27 May13 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00    
7  NICE N' BROAD Aug19 Jul28 Jul14 May20 Apr27 (rideout an)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
8  OCEAN LILLY Aug04 Jul02 May20 Apr27 Apr07 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 ★    
 
CT-6   09/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRISTIANO BOY Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 May25 May04 (greaves)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 4.00 ★    
2  S S SPARTAN ENERGY         (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24   (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  POSTED Aug20 Jul20 Jun04 May26   (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 12.00    
5  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Aug11 Jul21 Jul09 Jul01 Jun04 (boggs joanna)LIMA FELINO 113 5.00    
6  BERNIE THE GAMBLER         (jones michae)BATISTA A 124 4.50 ★    
7  DUKE OF CORK Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 Jun04 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  IN THE LIMELIGHT Jul29 Jun17 May25 May04   (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
CT-7   09/07/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEATTLE SAILAWAY         (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 6.00 ★    
2  WARRIOR'S ESTATE Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 May13 Apr27 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 ★    
3  HOPPING HENRY Aug23 Jul23 Jun29 May26 Apr29 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
4  FIGAROS FORTUNE Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 Jun16 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 12.00    
5  SETTLEMENT DATE Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 Jun18 May28 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 4.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  FOREVER TAKES TIME Jul14 Jun09 May19 Apr13   (barber don)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 30.00    
7  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Jul30 Jun30       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 0.60 51% 1.00    
 
CT-8   09/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FU MAN SUE Aug19 Jul29 Apr13 Mar24 Feb26 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00 9% 9.90    
2  STEP OUT DANCING Aug27 Aug12 Jul28 Jul16 May26 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
3  BOBBY TWO TIMES Jul29 Jul07 Jun17     (cornwell jam)MORALES KELVIN 122 20.00 9% 10.30    
4  GAMING JACK Aug18 Aug12 Jul01 May25 May04 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  FIND YOUR BOAZ Aug18 Jul29 Jun11 May18 May04 (geris j)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
6  TOM TERRIFIC Aug18 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May28 (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
7  TOP HAT TREASON Jul21 Jun22 Jun02 Apr27 Mar29 (dollinger-s)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 6% 16.10    
8  FINAL SAY Aug18 Jun25 May28 May07 Apr14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
9  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Aug18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 May25 (schottroffe e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.