Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - September 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGHITTO May19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 (runco c)CULLUM W 118 4.00    
SCR  I WAS RUN NAN Jul13 Jun18 May21 May04   (viands gregor)ADAMS L 110 5.00    
NEW SOUTH Aug06 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
BOUBOLINO Aug28 Jul29 Jul09 Jun24   (kee willie )MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00    
MY MIRACLE MAN Jul29 Jun30 Jun10     (viands grego)BATISTA A 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
HEROIC DEED Aug26 Jul29 Jun26 May19 Apr29 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.00 15% 5.70    
LITTLE BUD Aug20 Apr30 Mar13     (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
 
CT-2   09/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALID REASON Jul02 Jun11 May05 Apr21 Mar24 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00    
WINDY GLO SAL Aug12 May27 May12 Apr27 Mar15 (patterson k)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50    
SUPER WILDCAT Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 May20 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
K K CAN Jan13         (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
WHYCANTTHISBELOVE Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 Apr30 (laguna homer)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
ORBIT MARS Jul22 Jun25 Jun12 Jun04 Apr15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 61% 0.60    
 
CT-3   09/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEALING ROAD Aug12 Jul22       (perez ernes)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
AMELIA'S DREAM         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
AWESOME MOON         (farrior a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
LUCKY BLONDE         (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
BOUNDTOBEGREAT         (casey a)LARROSA G 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Aug12         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 20.00    
KAALA         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
PATTI BLUE EYES Aug12         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 38% 1.60    
CAT WITH A NOTION Aug12 Jul22       (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   09/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNNAMED SOLDIER Aug18 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 Jun02 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  DOC ELM Jun18 May18 Mar25 Mar19 Mar02 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
SOMERSET BAY Aug18 Jul31 Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.80    
NAUTICAL WARRIOR Jun27 May25 May05 Apr27 Mar26 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
BUCKED TOOTH Jul01 May27 May06 Apr21 Mar31 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 5.00 17% 4.80    
FIT BUT FAT Aug11 Jun25 Jun10 May25 May05 (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50    
 
CT-5   09/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OWE YOU ONE Aug12 Jul22 Jul02     (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 8% 12.30    
SING A LULLABYE         (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 8.00    
STRONG WILLED         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50    
JUBA'S PARADE         (casey a)LARROSA G 122 5.00    
GOLDEN SALLY         (mckee d)MORALES KELVIN 122 15.00    
IMPRESSIONISM         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
VIESTE         (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
LIVANA Aug09 Jul12       (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
LET'S DO THIS Aug12 Jul22       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
 
CT-6   09/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY SPARROW Aug06 Jun18 May25 May11 Apr30 (myers larry)CECIL Y 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
WAGER WORTHY Aug12 Jul28 Jul07 May27 Apr29 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 118 3.50    
SCR  EMBERLY Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 Jun02 Feb10 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 1.40 47% 1.10    
REAL APPEAL (GER) Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 May25 May11 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
YESSIROFFICER Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 Jun09 May19 (barahona isa)MARRERO CARLOS 118 3.00    
CEDAR RUN'S FIRE Aug18 Jul22 Jul15 Jun18   (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   09/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE HEIRESS Jul27 Jul14 Jun09 Apr28 Apr13 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 6.00 23% 3.30    
MS HEADLEY Mar04 Feb17 Jan15 Jan02   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.00    
GARY DOING BIZ Jul23 Jul02 Mar19 Feb26 Jan14 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
SECRET CASTLE Aug20 Jul15 May28 May20 May11 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
SCR  TIZ THE REASON Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May18 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.20 49% 1.00    
WINDSOR'S CHAMPION Jun11 May21 Apr27 Mar26 Mar11 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
SCR  CHEESE LOUISE Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May20 (brown ronn)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   09/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIMPEACHED Aug12 Jul16 May27 Apr30 Apr09 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 10% 9.10    
ROCK FILE Aug11 Jul01 Jun09 May18 Apr29 (o'neill tonya)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00    
SCR  BANDFROMTHEBAR Aug19 Jul27 Jun25     (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
SCR  INDIANA RED Apr23 Mar19 Mar04 Feb10 Jan14 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
IN THE GOSPEL Aug02 Jul01 May26 Apr02 Mar10 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50    
HENRY STANDINGBEAR Aug06 Jul01 Jun09 May07 Apr23 (roman-salon nelsi)LARROSA G 124 20.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  EISELE Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 May17 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.