Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY COP Jul25 Jul11       (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 119 1.40 50% 1.00    
2  ANNAKHOZANA Aug16         (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 119 10.00 ★    
3  ADJOURNMENT Aug10         (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 1.60 26% 2.90    
4  ARROGANCE Aug10 Aug02       (brown shelley)CARRENO J 122 4.00 ★    
5  SPITTEN KITTEN Aug16 Aug02       (buffalo marvi)NELSON TYRONE 117 8.00 ★    
 
ASD-2   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LOT OF SPUNK Aug09 Jul01 Apr30 Apr13 Mar06 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 2.00 ★    
2  DANIELA BELLA Aug02 Jul13 May07 Apr01 Mar11 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 12.00 ★    
3  FRENCH ROSE Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun22 Jun07 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.40 40% 1.50    
4  WITT'S TENNY TEN Aug02 Jul27 Jul05 Jun11 May15 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  RAGATAGTAG Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jul13 May30 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00 30% 2.30    
 
ASD-3   08/29/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONT GET SMART Aug16 Aug08 Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 (brown shelley)NELSON C 123 8.00    
2  SARATOGA STYLE Aug16 Jul18 Jul05 Jun07 May23 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.80 19% 4.40    
SCR  SAYITALL Apr27 Apr05 Mar10 Feb25 Feb09 (mooney bill)CHICKENESS S 121 6.00 ★    
4  GOOD TO ME Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06   (miller blair)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.00 ★    
5  CATWALK QUEEN Aug08 Jul27 Jun25 Jun12 May28 (maxwell curtis)BUGEAUD L 121 15.00 ★    
6  TUSCAN DAMSEL Aug08 Jul27 Jun29 Jun14   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
ASD-4   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S THE CHAIRMAN Aug03 Jun21 Jun14 Jun01   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  PONCHIGOL Aug17         (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 15.00    
3  WITT AND WHISKEY Aug22 Jun24       (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
4  STEEP ROCK Aug17 Aug03 Jun15 Jun01   (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.50 ★    
5  OH MAN OH MAN Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 Jun27   (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 124 8.00 ★    
6  TWISTED OLIVER Jul13 Jul05       (stanford maria)BUGEAUD L 124 25.00    
7  STEELY CAPER Aug22 Jul26 Jul13 Jul05 Apr04 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
ASD-5   08/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($1.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELL RINGER Aug17 Aug02 Jul27     (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 12.00 ★    
2  BOMBILLAELGATO Aug17 Aug03 Jul25 Jul13 Jun28 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  OVERANALYZER Jul31 Jul03 Jun18 Jun06   (nelson franci)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 8.00 8% 12.20    
4  ANIAR Aug17 Jul27 Jul19 Jul04 Jun20 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 124 1.80 27% 2.80    
5  JENNA'S GUN RUNNER Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 Jun20 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.00    
6  TUFFENOUGHTOSTART Aug10 Jul26 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 6.00    
7  AZTEC KEY Aug17 Jul19 Jul04     (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 6% 16.60    
 
ASD-6   08/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT NINE Aug10 Jul19       (gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.00 12% 7.10    
2  TWO STEPS FASTER Aug16 Aug08 Jul27 Jul12 Jun20 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.60 34% 1.90    
3  BACK INTHAT ACTION Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun29 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 12.00 12% 7.60    
4  BUTTON MUSHROOM Aug10 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 25.00    
5  DISTINCT APPROVAL Aug08 Jul27 Jun05 May25 Apr15 (keplin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.50 12% 7.50    
6  FAT N BITTER Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 (morse victoria)CHICKENESS S 123 6.00    
7  ASTARTOBE Aug10 Jul27 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00 ★    
 
ASD-7   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO SURPRISE Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 Jun21 May31 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 117 10.00    
2  DOT DASH DOT Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 May31 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 115 3.00 30% 2.40    
3  STORM KITTEN Aug16 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07   (stanford maria)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 30.00    
SCR  REASON TO STORM Jul31 Jul24       (davis peter)CHICKENESS S 121 20.00    
5  I'M SHINING LADY Jul31 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11   (maxwell curtis)BUGEAUD L 117 12.00    
6  MISS GIVING Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 May31 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  HD'S HOPE Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 Jun28 Jun13 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 4.00 ★    
8  NOTABLE NORA Aug24 Aug10 Aug01 Jul20 Jun13 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 117 6.00 9% 10.70    
9  JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Aug10 Jul19 Jul04 Jun21   (gardipy )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 25.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.