Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASH KID Aug07 Jul03 Jun10 May22 May08 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50    
2  JOHNNY OIL Jul24 Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 121 20.00    
3  KRATOS Aug07 Jul17       (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  HERE COMES BILLY Aug07 Jul17 Jul04     (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.00    
5  PAL Aug07 Jul03 Jun18 May29   (frangella james )FERRER C 121 8.00    
6  CRAFTY DON Jul31 Jul04       (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
7  IRISH BOOLUM Aug12 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May30 (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
MTH-2   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENETRATOR May29 May08 Apr10 Mar25 Feb11 (hollendorfer )JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 3.00    
2  NATAVALLI'S KNIGHT Jul26 Jul12 Jun20 May31 May11 (farro patr)ROWLAND MADELINE 111 15.00    
3  TALENTED MAN Aug04 Jul25 Jun25 Jun03 Apr27 (moore mic)VARGAS A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  COPPOLA Jul13         (thomas jona)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
5  MOVING PICTURES Jul17 May21 Apr23     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 1.80 58% 0.70    
6  CANTANKEROUS CAT Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 May29 Feb11 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
 
MTH-3   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKLETSGO         (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 6.00    
2  BROTHER SHOWTYME         (forde jason)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 6.00    
3  YEAGER         (orseno f)FERRER C 117 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  GOING IN STYLE         (camejo jo)VARGAS A 117 4.50    
5  TIEMPO PERFECTO Jul23 Jul02       (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 8.00 8% 11.90    
6  LOGIN REQUIRED         (camejo m)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00 9% 9.90    
7  THE BEARRISH ONE         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
8  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Jul23         (wilson tony)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
MTH-4   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGAL DEAL Jul27 Jul01 Jun03 Apr17 Jan15 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.50    
2  MONTAUK DADDY Aug10 Jul23 Jun19 Jun10 May22 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00    
SCR  ARISTOCRATIC Jul20 Apr30 Mar26 Feb27   (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 120 3.00    
4  COMMANDING GENERAL Jul24 Jun25 Jun09 May27 May13 (breen j)FERRER C 120 6.00    
5  STEADYTILLREADY Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 Feb26 Feb05 (breen kel)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  STRATOFORTRESS Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May08 Apr08 (hollendor)VARGAS A 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
MTH-5   08/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFECTIONER Aug05 Jun18 May28 Mar26 Feb20 (schistl rafael)MARIN SAMUEL 121 30.00    
2  PRINCE OF CAPS Jul31 Jun15 May29     (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  NEXT COWBOY UP Jul24 Jun05 May22     (marquez)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
4  RYE SENSE OF HUMOR Aug05 Jul12 Jun25 May29 May12 (preciado guada)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  TETRAGRAMMATON Jul30 Jul19 Jun25 May28 Apr29 (sweezey ken)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50    
SCR  VALUABLE BREIGH Jul09 Jun17 May28 May14   (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 107 10.00    
7  DOUBLE DAVID Jul30 Jun24 May28 Feb09   (sweezey ken)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 8.00    
8  PANADERO Jul30 Apr27 Apr10 Mar18 Feb20 (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00    
SCR  BIG RED ROCKS Jul30 Jul09       (crook)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00    
 
MTH-6   08/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE OF ME Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 (hernandez)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.00    
2  UNCLE NED Jul08 Jun17 Jun10 May08 Mar16 (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 3.00 13% 7.00    
3  EXCHEQUER Jul29 Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr28 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  ARRIVEDERCI Aug02 Jul19       (velazquez a)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 5.00    
5  I LOVE JAXSON Aug05 Jun04 May12     (englehart jeffre)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
6  RESPECT FOR ALL Aug01 Jul03 Jun26 Jun12 May18 (simmonds mich)CARDENAS LUIS 120 20.00    
7  AWESUMMER Aug13 Jul16 Jul04 Jun11 May14 (king b)PARISH R 120 15.00    
SCR  CLIFFY Aug07 Jul04 Jun17 May28 May14 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
 
MTH-7   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEFALIANI         (captan bassam)PARISH R 119 30.00    
SCR  ONLY DANIELLE Aug08 Jul02 Apr04     (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.50    
3  BAHAMA PEARL Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 Jun24 Jun05 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 19% 4.10    
4  HALF BIRTHDAY Jul14 Jun19 Apr29 Apr22 Mar25 (morle)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 3.00 9% 10.30    
5  CLASSY SADIE Jul25 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 May17 (guerrero )VARGAS A 121 8.00    
6  NONNA PATRIZIA Aug07 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 110 6.00    
7  PEARLS AND HEELS Aug14 Jul24 Jun25 Jun03   (nunn douglas)JUAREZ NIK 117 5.00 9% 9.90    
8  HERALD ANGEL Jul16 Jul02 Jun04     (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 40% 1.50    
9  DEVIOUS (GB) Aug07 Jul23 Jun09 Apr27 Mar20 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR null      
 
MTH-8   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOU SHACK Aug07 Jul29 Jul04 Jun26 Jun11 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
2  THE EQUINEST Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 Jun29 Jun10 (forde jason)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 12.00    
3  PRINCE OF FENTON Aug10 Jun19 Apr29 Apr09 Feb12 (diprima )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.00 ★    
4  RECKLESS PLACE Jul04 May29 May08 Mar26 Feb24 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 123 1.50 71% 0.40    
5  HE'S GOT JUMP Jul30 Jul17 Jun04     (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KINGDA KA Aug14 Jul31 Jun30 Jun16 May26 (follett norma)CARDENAS LUIS 123 10.00    
SCR  SLOE GIN BIZ Aug06 Jun24 Jun10 May20 Feb11 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.00    
8  DADASHEV Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May29 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.